US · AESI
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
- Sector
- Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
- Headquarters
- Austin, TX 78730
- Website
- atlas.energy
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$17.13
Market cap 1.2B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $14.86 | -13.25% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $3.98 | -76.77% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | |||||
| 2020 | |||||
| 2021 | $2.10 | $2.55 | |||
| 2022 | $14.43 | $37.61 | $0.00 | $9.21 | $391.27 |
| 2023 | $18.54 | $35.55 | $18.69 | $5.10 | $54.62 |
| 2024 | $17.01 | $28.60 | $2,400.15 | $0.00 | $42.65 |
| 2025 | $9.96 | $14.86 | $12.20 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.'s (AESI) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $14.86
- Current price
- $17.13
- AI upside
- -13.25%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$3.98
-76.77% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| AESI | Atlas Energy Solutions In… | $17.13 | 1.2B | -13% | -77% | — | — | -24.24 | 1.01 | 1.11 | 9.83 | — | 1.40 | 11.12% | -1.07% | -4.59% | -4.48% | -0.53% | -2.39% | 0.48 | -0.20 | 1.46 | 1.05 | 3.01 | -17455.00% | 373.00% | -7369.00% | -2.54% | 0.56 | -1.91% | 7.57% | -183.40% | 7.58% | -150.12 | -56.84 | 1.60 | 1.21 |
| DNOW | Dnow Inc. | $11.78 | 1.39B | +119% | +3,472% | -15% | — | -15.99 | 0.64 | 0.50 | -40.17 | — | 1.35 | 16.95% | -2.87% | -3.16% | -5.29% | -3.90% | -3.21% | 0.30 | — | 2.34 | 1.07 | -10.52 | -20000.00% | 1884.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -23.80 | — | 0.68 | 1.26 |
| EFXT | Enerflex Ltd. | $22.40 | 2.75B | +23% | +939% | -74% | +27% | 44.86 | 2.68 | 1.12 | 11.68 | 24.82 | 4.62 | 21.70% | 12.06% | 2.49% | 7.02% | 10.76% | 2.76% | 0.07 | 3.78 | 1.13 | 0.75 | -0.04 | 18077.00% | 4870.00% | 494.00% | 8.01% | 0.40 | 19.95% | 0.59% | 26.60% | 17.99% | 9.23 | 12.44 | 1.11 | 2.57 |
| FLOC | Flowco Holdings Inc. | $22.56 | 630.07M | +284% | -58% | +3% | +932% | 4.83 | 2.78 | 0.84 | 2.28 | — | -2.16 | 34.03% | 19.61% | 17.11% | 24.66% | 16.66% | 8.14% | 0.18 | 7.87 | 3.34 | 1.35 | 0.13 | -9558.00% | 4193.00% | 8838.00% | 26.29% | 3.77 | 18.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 102.28% | 4.51 | 4.03 | 0.89 | 2.84 |
| GLP | Global Partners LP | $46.98 | 1.59B | -27% | -58% | -61% | -28% | 16.85 | 2.44 | 0.09 | 13.79 | — | 6.87 | 5.72% | 1.03% | 0.39% | 14.11% | 7.55% | 2.57% | 2.40 | 1.39 | 1.14 | 0.50 | 6.80 | -1245.00% | 814.00% | -16742.00% | 11.71% | 0.26 | 7.71% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 24.98% | 17.03 | 16.84 | 0.18 | 5.34 |
| INVX | Innovex International, In… | $26.35 | 1.82B | +68% | +10% | -24% | +148% | 21.98 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 9.11 | — | 2.18 | 24.79% | 11.63% | 8.51% | 8.26% | 7.56% | 6.76% | 0.11 | 44.05 | 4.91 | 2.98 | -0.43 | -5668.00% | 4804.00% | 9510.00% | 8.51% | 1.29 | 15.97% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.51% | 15.36 | 11.22 | 1.79 | 7.15 |
| MRC | MRC Global Inc. | $13.78 | 1.17B | +96% | -66% | -84% | — | 12.61 | 1.91 | 0.33 | 8.78 | — | 9.03 | 20.59% | 4.48% | 1.83% | 11.48% | 8.85% | 4.44% | 1.12 | 5.19 | 1.81 | 0.87 | 2.97 | -7143.00% | -1175.00% | 4940.00% | 25.21% | 0.54 | 21.89% | 2.34% | 29.50% | 2.85% | 11.12 | 6.05 | 0.50 | 2.40 |
| NESR | National Energy Services … | $25.05 | 2.52B | +26% | +58% | -77% | -80% | 47.54 | 2.51 | 1.84 | 11.06 | — | 8.81 | 11.02% | 7.43% | 3.86% | 5.45% | 6.93% | 2.82% | 0.36 | 3.02 | 1.04 | 0.79 | 0.94 | -3500.00% | 172.00% | -277.00% | 4.97% | 0.44 | 10.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.13% | 27.01 | 21.99 | 2.01 | 2.61 |
| NEXT | NextDecade Corporation | $5.39 | 1.43B | — | — | — | — | 6.55 | 4.81 | — | 15.44 | — | 4.81 | 0.00% | — | — | 83.37% | -5.25% | 5.70% | 10.77 | -1.95 | 0.69 | 0.25 | 10.55 | -7447.00% | — | 4705.00% | -146.54% | -0.16 | -81.80% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.37% | -33.53 | -2.15 | — | 0.01 |
| WKC | World Kinect Corporation | $24.95 | 1.39B | +66% | -60% | — | +76% | -2.24 | 1.05 | 0.04 | -3.52 | — | 5.48 | 1.45% | 0.69% | -1.66% | -37.67% | 9.49% | -9.71% | 0.54 | 2.32 | 1.06 | 0.73 | -0.95 | -107611.00% | -1269.00% | 1857.00% | 16.60% | 0.09 | 10.27% | 3.02% | -6.80% | 21.68% | 7.37 | 8.24 | 0.05 | 6.97 |
| XPRO | Expro Group Holdings N.V. | $17.86 | 2.03B | +52% | -61% | -38% | -94% | 38.82 | 1.31 | 1.25 | 6.95 | — | 2.15 | 12.77% | 7.21% | 3.22% | 3.42% | 4.52% | 2.17% | 0.15 | 8.11 | 2.16 | 1.59 | 0.09 | 0.00% | -617.00% | 27750.00% | 4.87% | 0.47 | 6.37% | 0.54% | 21.10% | 2.54% | 17.56 | 20.80 | 1.27 | 2.31 |
About Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. provides proppant and logistics services to the oil and natural gas industry within the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico. The company was founded in 2017 and is based in Austin, Texas.
- CEO
- John G. Turner
- Employees
- 1.14K
- Beta
- 1.17
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($3.98 ÷ $17.13) − 1 = -76.77% (DCF, example).