US · HPK
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
- Sector
- Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
- Headquarters
- Fort Worth, TX 76102
- Website
- highpeakenergy.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$6.70
Market cap 654.31M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $37.22 | +455.52% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $8.56 | +27.76% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $13.93 | +107.88% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $3.41 | -49.07% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | $9.99 | ||||
| 2020 | $6.85 | $54.81 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $20.52 | $406.76 | $0.00 | $6.89 | $457.95 |
| 2022 | $22.02 | $133.31 | $0.00 | $20.81 | $544.88 |
| 2023 | $14.25 | $91.07 | $24.43 | $20.65 | $97.15 |
| 2024 | $11.73 | $37.22 | $34.02 | $13.93 | $3.41 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates HighPeak Energy, Inc.'s (HPK) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $37.22
- Current price
- $6.70
- AI upside
- +455.52%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$8.56
+27.76% upside
Graham-Dodd
$13.93
+107.88% upside
Graham Formula
$3.41
-49.07% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| HPK | HighPeak Energy, Inc. | $6.70 | 654.31M | +456% | +28% | +108% | -49% | 17.11 | 0.92 | 1.37 | 3.07 | — | 0.92 | 35.23% | 31.55% | 8.89% | 5.45% | 9.66% | 2.80% | 0.66 | 2.00 | 0.69 | 0.60 | 1.22 | -5759.00% | -377.00% | -11873.00% | 4.71% | 2.43 | 2.73% | 1.51% | 25.80% | 3.90% | 7.21 | 35.15 | 2.28 | 1.48 |
| BORR | Borr Drilling Limited | $3.03 | 743.78M | +558% | +74% | +73% | -49% | 35.74 | 1.32 | 1.58 | 7.19 | — | 1.32 | 36.46% | 31.52% | 4.41% | 4.06% | 5.59% | 1.28% | 1.76 | 1.41 | 2.11 | 2.02 | 3.77 | -4688.00% | 101.00% | -13836.00% | 7.92% | 0.72 | 4.22% | 0.29% | 10.40% | 17.70% | 10.50 | 26.51 | 3.31 | 0.63 |
| CAPL | CrossAmerica Partners LP | $20.04 | 763.89M | +11% | +719,313% | -95% | — | 18.75 | -10.89 | 0.21 | 8.51 | 17.11 | -3.37 | 9.18% | 5.63% | 1.14% | -86.41% | 21.24% | 4.02% | -11.34 | 4.28 | 0.72 | 0.20 | 4.33 | 10962.00% | -1063.00% | -927.00% | 7.11% | 0.59 | 6.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.69% | 7.75 | 28.65 | 0.44 | 4.90 |
| GRNT | Granite Ridge Resources, … | $5.28 | 692.99M | +309% | -62% | — | -87% | 34.21 | 1.01 | 1.69 | 3.66 | — | 1.01 | 31.59% | 15.59% | 4.94% | 2.87% | 5.86% | 1.91% | 0.32 | 3.21 | 1.33 | 1.09 | 0.89 | -7705.00% | -356.00% | 2650.00% | -11.10% | 2.71 | -9.38% | 8.96% | 306.50% | 9.03% | 13.59 | -11.30 | 2.12 | 1.58 |
| KOS | Kosmos Energy Ltd. | $1.37 | 655.31M | +1,584% | +90% | +233% | +94% | 5.43 | 0.86 | 0.62 | 4.14 | — | 0.86 | 41.07% | 28.12% | 11.33% | 17.01% | 7.10% | 3.71% | 2.30 | 5.95 | 0.75 | 0.42 | 2.99 | -909.00% | -154.00% | 5254.00% | -24.77% | 1.14 | -7.09% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.87 | -14.51 | 2.21 | 0.44 |
| NBR | Nabors Industries Ltd. | $51.84 | 754.85M | +229% | -33% | +155% | +494% | 4.09 | 1.72 | 0.32 | 2.89 | — | 1.72 | 19.50% | 8.27% | 7.80% | 68.44% | 8.18% | 5.34% | 4.34 | 1.22 | 1.56 | 1.34 | 1.78 | -17671.00% | 869.00% | -26785.00% | -2.24% | 0.70 | -1.01% | 0.60% | 2.40% | 51.83% | 10.02 | -116.36 | 0.83 | 0.63 |
| PDS | Precision Drilling Corpor… | $57.65 | 786.63M | +63% | -38% | +47% | -99% | 903.03 | 1.05 | 0.90 | 4.84 | — | 1.06 | 15.52% | 9.31% | 0.10% | 0.11% | 2.87% | 0.06% | 0.50 | 3.00 | 1.62 | 1.46 | 1.44 | -9821.00% | -316.00% | -4402.00% | 8.94% | 1.37 | 6.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.09% | 13.80 | 15.93 | 1.28 | 1.38 |
| TK | Teekay Corporation | $9.70 | 827.09M | +253% | +120% | -91% | — | 1.33 | 0.75 | 0.44 | -0.24 | — | 0.78 | 32.27% | 29.93% | 10.96% | 55.70% | 200.30% | 18.47% | 0.09 | 48.43 | 6.99 | 6.48 | -1.23 | -779.00% | -1670.00% | -3676.00% | 73.41% | 3.52 | 215.10% | 15.93% | 21.20% | 106.46% | -0.32 | -0.30 | -0.10 | 2.93 |
| TXO | TXO Partners, L.P. | $13.08 | 716.58M | +1% | -18% | +23% | — | -29.51 | 0.70 | 1.55 | 10.01 | — | 0.70 | 10.63% | 5.42% | -5.25% | -2.85% | 2.28% | -1.81% | 0.32 | 1.31 | 0.62 | 0.40 | 3.06 | -16615.00% | 4549.00% | -17583.00% | 18.52% | 0.77 | 12.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 41.28 | 7.78 | 2.24 | 1.17 |
| VTS | Vitesse Energy, Inc. | $20.82 | 805.19M | +109% | -58% | — | -62% | 30.89 | 1.30 | 2.69 | 5.53 | — | 1.30 | 30.00% | 16.93% | 8.70% | 4.02% | 4.81% | 2.67% | 0.24 | 4.11 | 0.51 | 0.43 | 0.85 | -18767.00% | 346.00% | 8651.00% | 6.10% | 1.54 | 6.36% | 9.77% | 301.80% | 10.92% | 18.76 | 19.37 | 3.18 | 1.64 |
About HighPeak Energy, Inc.
HighPeak Energy, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the Midland Basin in West Texas. As of December 31, 2021, the company had approximately 64,213 MBoe of proved reserves. HighPeak Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
- CEO
- Michael L. Hollis
- Employees
- 47
- Beta
- 0.67
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($8.56 ÷ $6.70) − 1 = +27.76% (DCF, example).