US · MFA
MFA Financial, Inc.
- Sector
- Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
- Headquarters
- New York City, NY 10017
- Website
- mfafinancial.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$10.39
Market cap 1.03B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $36.26 | +248.99% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $4.09 | -60.64% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $20.32 | +95.57% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $361.25 | +3,376.85% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $5.15 | $23.99 | $6.35 | $0.00 | $104.62 |
| 2012 | $7.36 | $18.98 | $5.66 | $0.00 | $19.41 |
| 2013 | $7.40 | $44.41 | $24.34 | $0.00 | $19.50 |
| 2014 | $8.31 | $35.42 | $30.07 | $1.28 | $45.18 |
| 2015 | $8.10 | $35.15 | $27.26 | $0.00 | $24.80 |
| 2016 | $10.53 | $135.28 | $28.66 | $0.00 | $29.98 |
| 2017 | $10.89 | $112.74 | $29.62 | $0.13 | $39.70 |
| 2018 | $11.66 | $108.76 | $28.39 | $0.00 | $4.69 |
| 2019 | $13.35 | $66.95 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $106.18 |
| 2020 | $8.98 | $31.28 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $1,263.38 |
| 2021 | $9.49 | $17.73 | $16.59 | $11.66 | |
| 2022 | $6.32 | $46.37 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $239.44 |
| 2023 | $8.48 | $100.76 | $10.27 | $0.00 | |
| 2024 | $9.41 | $63.26 | $34.14 | $0.00 | $30.75 |
| 2025 | $10.23 | $36.26 | $0.00 | $20.32 | $361.25 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates MFA Financial, Inc.'s (MFA) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $36.26
- Current price
- $10.39
- AI upside
- +248.99%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$4.09
-60.64% upside
Graham-Dodd
$20.32
+95.57% upside
Graham Formula
$361.25
+3,376.85% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MFA | MFA Financial, Inc. | $10.39 | 1.03B | +249% | -61% | +96% | +3,377% | 6.00 | 0.58 | 1.21 | 1.23 | 5.72 | 0.58 | 96.18% | 78.84% | 20.20% | 9.64% | 11.21% | 1.45% | 0.00 | 1.34 | — | — | -0.31 | 10488.00% | 21302.00% | -6190.00% | 7.19% | — | 1.24% | 3.80% | 22.80% | 860.43% | 1.23 | 11.12 | 0.97 | 0.11 |
| CIM | Chimera Investment Corpor… | $13.61 | 1.13B | +899% | +24% | +118% | +4,369% | 4.23 | 0.44 | 1.37 | 17.51 | 2.82 | 0.44 | 94.87% | 93.16% | 28.08% | 10.45% | 5.44% | 1.84% | 5.08 | 1.38 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 16.09 | 15000.00% | 21822.00% | -22101.00% | -22.07% | -0.04 | -1.79% | 7.63% | 32.30% | 7.63% | 18.20 | -55.93 | 16.96 | -0.34 |
| FBRT | Franklin BSP Realty Trust… | $9.13 | 745.07M | +400% | -59% | +147% | +2% | 9.42 | 0.51 | 1.40 | 12.52 | — | 0.59 | 91.96% | 68.52% | 14.82% | 5.41% | 6.78% | 1.36% | 2.77 | 1.32 | 1.22 | 24.38 | 10.51 | -2195.00% | 112.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.59% | 12.70 | — | 8.70 | 0.32 |
| GPMT | Granite Point Mortgage Tr… | $1.74 | 82.76M | +3,095% | -55% | +316% | — | -2.08 | 0.16 | 0.59 | 20.64 | — | 0.16 | 83.02% | 43.59% | -28.33% | -7.02% | 3.47% | -2.13% | 2.09 | 0.65 | 0.20 | 3.60 | 18.89 | -7370.00% | -18777.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 362.67% | 18.54 | — | 8.08 | -0.51 |
| MITT | TPG Mortgage Investment T… | $8.09 | 256.81M | +2,704% | -60% | +74% | +324% | 5.19 | 0.45 | 0.53 | 17.38 | — | 0.45 | 94.73% | 96.86% | 10.30% | 8.82% | 5.86% | 0.62% | 14.45 | 1.13 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 16.85 | -2683.00% | 1440.00% | 668.00% | 23.60% | 0.07 | 0.78% | 9.69% | 50.30% | 9.69% | 18.08 | 138.94 | 17.51 | 0.06 |
| PMT | PennyMac Mortgage Investm… | $12.26 | 1.07B | +1,511% | -50% | — | +2,817% | 8.29 | 0.56 | 0.61 | 20.42 | — | -0.60 | 91.61% | 78.96% | 7.33% | 6.68% | 5.31% | 0.72% | 10.12 | 1.58 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 19.52 | -2774.00% | 24581.00% | -10521.00% | 13.42% | 0.02 | 0.86% | 17.09% | 141.70% | 17.19% | 14.29 | 138.40 | 11.29 | -0.15 |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investment Co… | $10.33 | 1.09B | +746% | +219% | — | — | -2.34 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 5.39 | — | -1.68 | 98.66% | 44.15% | -47.70% | -23.24% | 14.27% | -3.94% | 4.79 | 0.86 | 0.19 | 0.97 | 18.36 | -28397.00% | 1260.00% | -11734.00% | -1.42% | 0.01 | -0.51% | 20.91% | -49.00% | 21.08% | 5.39 | -150.52 | 2.38 | -1.01 |
About MFA Financial, Inc.
MFA Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage assets, including non-agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), agency MBS, and credit risk transfer securities; residential whole loans, including purchased performing loans, purchased credit deteriorated, and non-performing loans; and mortgage servicing rights related assets. The company has elected to be taxed as a REIT and would not be subject to federal income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. MFA Financial, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
- CEO
- Craig L. Knutson
- Employees
- 348
- Beta
- 1.65
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($4.09 ÷ $10.39) − 1 = -60.64% (DCF, example).