US · OBK
Origin Bancorp, Inc.
- Sector
- Financial Services · Banks - Regional
- Headquarters
- Ruston, LA 71270
- Website
- origin.bank
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$47.33
Market cap 1.29B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $26.34 | -44.35% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $41.70 | -11.9% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $33.85 | -28.49% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $12.87 | -72.81% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | $16.64 | $5.29 | |||
| 2018 | $30.57 | $57.83 | $21.33 | $31.46 | $80.56 |
| 2019 | $25.83 | $54.15 | $24.61 | $32.12 | $61.27 |
| 2020 | $40.07 | $56.44 | $25.77 | $28.65 | $22.47 |
| 2021 | $40.94 | $351.79 | $52.29 | $45.48 | $42.98 |
| 2022 | $32.17 | $39.50 | $66.39 | $38.37 | $121.31 |
| 2023 | $30.07 | $40.93 | $1,844.85 | $34.87 | $158.89 |
| 2024 | $36.41 | $31.51 | $347.55 | $35.91 | $36.43 |
| 2025 | $42.35 | $26.34 | $57.06 | $33.85 | $12.87 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Origin Bancorp, Inc.'s (OBK) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $26.34
- Current price
- $47.33
- AI upside
- -44.35%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$41.70
-11.9% upside
Graham-Dodd
$33.85
-28.49% upside
Graham Formula
$12.87
-72.81% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| OBK | Origin Bancorp, Inc. | $47.33 | 1.29B | -44% | -12% | -28% | -73% | 17.32 | 1.04 | 2.18 | 10.88 | — | 1.20 | 58.22% | 16.50% | 12.56% | 6.29% | 16.83% | 0.78% | 0.03 | 0.48 | 0.05 | 0.05 | -0.33 | -204.00% | -295.00% | 1450.00% | 7.60% | 0.05 | 21.45% | 2.32% | 40.20% | 3.54% | 12.48 | 12.46 | 2.06 | 0.04 |
| BFC | Bank First Corporation | $134.67 | 1.51B | +1% | +12% | -13% | -16% | 19.02 | 0.82 | 5.65 | 14.38 | 169.33 | 0.82 | 70.34% | 36.67% | 29.73% | 6.22% | 7.08% | 1.60% | 0.07 | 1.26 | 0.05 | 0.05 | -0.13 | 1123.00% | 771.00% | -11989.00% | -0.86% | 0.00 | -1.15% | 4.22% | 80.20% | 5.84% | 15.29 | -115.62 | 5.61 | -0.28 |
| CNOB | ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. | $26.53 | 1.33B | +66% | -60% | -11% | +26% | 16.81 | 0.86 | 2.23 | 10.46 | — | 1.05 | 44.17% | 18.59% | 13.26% | 5.72% | 5.25% | 0.67% | 0.74 | 0.39 | 391.51 | 391.51 | 9.56 | -1591.00% | 1344.00% | 7750.00% | 7.47% | 3.28 | 6.59% | 2.81% | 47.20% | 2.81% | 10.46 | 11.68 | 1.94 | 1.29 |
| DCOM | Dime Community Bancshares… | $32.35 | 1.42B | +29% | +425% | +35% | +63% | 12.81 | 0.96 | 1.94 | -8.70 | 3.87 | 1.08 | 56.12% | 21.47% | 15.15% | 7.71% | -100.70% | 0.75% | 0.25 | 0.57 | 0.25 | 0.25 | -12.65 | 33091.00% | 1303.00% | 9659.00% | 12.87% | 0.01 | -165.98% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 118.47% | -8.70 | -7.48 | -1.87 | -0.53 |
| OCFC | OceanFirst Financial Corp… | $18.06 | 1.04B | +134% | +26% | -25% | -76% | 15.02 | 0.64 | 1.63 | 15.21 | — | 0.94 | 54.48% | 14.11% | 10.83% | 4.22% | 3.54% | 0.51% | 1.03 | 0.33 | 3.86 | 3.86 | 16.99 | -2909.00% | -470.00% | -1028.00% | 7.12% | 0.02 | 3.79% | 4.52% | 67.90% | 4.52% | 15.21 | 18.52 | 2.15 | 0.87 |
| OSBC | Old Second Bancorp, Inc. | $19.63 | 1.03B | +16% | +209% | +13% | +97% | 13.06 | 1.17 | 2.64 | 9.86 | — | 1.41 | 78.14% | 27.90% | 20.23% | 10.24% | 27.92% | 1.28% | 0.38 | 1.78 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 1.78 | -1337.00% | 1809.00% | 126.00% | 11.66% | 0.06 | 41.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.76 | 9.74 | 3.00 | 0.01 |
| PEBO | Peoples Bancorp Inc. | $32.27 | 1.15B | +79% | -4% | +22% | -19% | 10.74 | 0.95 | 1.85 | 12.55 | — | 1.41 | 67.46% | 21.80% | 17.27% | 9.21% | 10.71% | 1.13% | 0.61 | 0.85 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 4.05 | -967.00% | 40.00% | -120.00% | 11.75% | 0.02 | 13.51% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 12.55 | 12.56 | 2.74 | 0.10 |
| PFBC | Preferred Bank | $87.72 | 1.07B | +27% | +45% | +32% | -50% | 8.42 | 1.43 | 2.26 | 3.79 | 106.97 | 1.43 | 54.97% | 37.98% | 26.78% | 17.21% | 49.09% | 1.84% | 0.53 | 0.88 | 0.29 | 0.29 | -2.52 | 788.00% | -411.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.79 | — | 1.44 | 0.07 |
| RBCAA | Republic Bancorp, Inc. | $69.00 | 1.2B | +52% | +11% | +26% | +19% | 10.49 | 1.25 | 2.64 | 5.40 | 37.49 | 1.30 | 74.02% | 31.79% | 25.19% | 12.54% | 19.16% | 1.89% | 0.57 | 1.60 | 14.82 | 14.82 | 2.46 | 2799.00% | 431.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.40 | — | 1.72 | 0.50 |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares,… | $95.30 | 4.35B | -29% | +12% | +17% | +63% | 13.14 | 1.20 | 2.17 | -2.77 | 3.05 | 1.20 | 60.62% | 22.20% | 16.52% | 9.44% | -136.18% | 1.06% | 0.26 | 0.60 | 0.16 | 0.28 | -1.97 | 43125.00% | 1354.00% | -1650.00% | 8.01% | 0.01 | -139.78% | 0.40% | 5.20% | 4.68% | -3.00 | -3.83 | -0.67 | -0.52 |
About Origin Bancorp, Inc.
Origin Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Origin Bank that provides banking and financial services to small and medium-sized businesses, municipalities, and retail clients in Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi. It offers noninterest and interest-bearing checking accounts, savings deposits, money market accounts, and time deposits; and offers commercial real estate, construction and land development, consumer, residential real estate, commercial and industrial, mortgage warehouse, residential mortgage, and paycheck protection program loans. The company also offers personal and commercial property, and casualty insurance products; and Internet banking and voice response information, mobile applications, cash management, overdraft protection, direct deposit, safe deposit box, U.S. savings bonds, and automatic account transfer services; and treasury management, mortgage origination and servicing facilities, peer-to-peer electronic pay solutions, and personal financial management solutions. The company was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Ruston, Louisiana.
- CEO
- Drake D. Mills
- Employees
- 1.03K
- Beta
- 0.75
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($41.70 ÷ $47.33) − 1 = -11.9% (DCF, example).