US · SM
SM Energy Company
- Sector
- Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
- Headquarters
- Denver, CO 80203
- Website
- sm-energy.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$30.47
Market cap 2.65B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $107.48 | +252.74% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $13.09 | -57.04% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $58.00 | +90.35% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $142.83 | +368.75% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $69.68 | $99.04 | $26.44 | $38.34 | $200.70 |
| 2012 | $52.23 | $72.47 | $43.92 | $16.05 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $66.09 | $102.03 | $1,744.29 | $35.45 | $138.19 |
| 2014 | $38.75 | $101.59 | $406.16 | $82.05 | $188.58 |
| 2015 | $15.08 | $41.53 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $199.19 |
| 2016 | $20.04 | $43.75 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $127.84 |
| 2017 | $16.29 | $24.22 | $2.48 | $12.77 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $13.60 | $55.83 | $46.62 | $47.31 | $168.17 |
| 2019 | $3.48 | $41.93 | $0.00 | $14.62 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $17.42 | $59.47 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $131.83 |
| 2021 | $35.11 | $118.26 | $269.17 | $18.55 | $40.49 |
| 2022 | $26.80 | $116.49 | $0.19 | $68.25 | $324.25 |
| 2023 | $42.73 | $59.97 | $0.00 | $55.87 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $26.60 | $73.55 | $0.41 | $59.37 | $138.04 |
| 2025 | $24.19 | $107.48 | $0.00 | $58.00 | $142.83 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates SM Energy Company's (SM) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $107.48
- Current price
- $30.47
- AI upside
- +252.74%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$13.09
-57.04% upside
Graham-Dodd
$58.00
+90.35% upside
Graham Formula
$142.83
+368.75% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| SM | SM Energy Company | $30.47 | 2.65B | +253% | -57% | +90% | +369% | 4.29 | 0.58 | 0.88 | 2.13 | — | 0.58 | 31.86% | 26.06% | 20.55% | 14.32% | 9.29% | 7.27% | 0.48 | 4.75 | 0.69 | 0.60 | 0.87 | -1544.00% | 1807.00% | -13511.00% | 20.60% | 1.72 | 8.29% | 3.31% | 14.20% | 36.63% | 5.73 | 8.22 | 1.49 | 1.46 |
| BKV | BKV Corporation | $31.33 | 3.2B | +2% | +39% | 0% | +226% | 16.63 | 1.41 | 3.21 | 7.69 | — | 1.43 | 31.68% | 17.79% | 19.33% | 9.62% | 6.57% | 6.46% | 0.24 | 3.72 | 1.78 | 1.43 | 0.70 | -19653.00% | 4816.00% | -42606.00% | -2.00% | 1.11 | -2.85% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.87 | -55.11 | 3.54 | 2.27 |
| CIVI | Civitas Resources, Inc. | $27.38 | 2.34B | +370% | +742% | +26% | +1,622% | 3.71 | 0.47 | 0.60 | 2.09 | — | 0.47 | 41.18% | 29.04% | 16.12% | 13.09% | 11.11% | 5.78% | 0.68 | 3.31 | 0.45 | 0.38 | 1.23 | -621.00% | 4953.00% | 2244.00% | 28.73% | 1.30 | 8.48% | 15.88% | 58.90% | 29.62% | 4.98 | 8.43 | 1.45 | 0.95 |
| CRGY | Crescent Energy Company | $11.66 | 3.83B | +222% | -59% | +45% | +38% | 17.39 | 0.56 | 0.81 | 5.06 | — | 0.56 | 22.58% | 13.23% | 3.71% | 4.03% | 4.67% | 2.33% | 1.07 | 1.59 | 0.02 | 0.59 | 3.32 | -16136.00% | 2214.00% | -353957.00% | 25.08% | 1.33 | 8.67% | 3.96% | 68.90% | 5.11% | 17.81 | 11.57 | 2.36 | 87.16 |
| CSAN | Cosan S.A. | $4.96 | 4.61B | +117% | -26% | — | — | -2.59 | 2.24 | 0.56 | 5.84 | — | -1.58 | 31.20% | 21.15% | -21.44% | -59.16% | 14.46% | -6.70% | 6.69 | 1.30 | 1.72 | 1.34 | 4.24 | -99828.00% | 1136.00% | 3089.00% | 21.50% | 0.73 | 8.16% | 14.13% | -36.60% | 15.76% | 8.31 | 14.71 | 1.76 | 0.77 |
| DHT | DHT Holdings, Inc. | $19.49 | 3.13B | +21% | -50% | -87% | — | 14.96 | 2.79 | 6.35 | 10.57 | 88.17 | 2.79 | 38.16% | 34.16% | 42.46% | 19.44% | 11.87% | 13.66% | 0.38 | 11.99 | 2.80 | 1.77 | 1.05 | 1696.00% | -1304.00% | -11651.00% | -1.05% | 3.70 | -2.33% | 3.77% | 56.30% | 3.77% | 20.65 | -105.35 | 7.05 | 4.71 |
| DK | Delek US Holdings, Inc. | $38.11 | 2.29B | +244% | -57% | -87% | — | 54.91 | 4.59 | 0.23 | 2.59 | — | -7.52 | 5.41% | 2.97% | 0.43% | 10.63% | 26.07% | 0.68% | 0.15 | 0.92 | 0.82 | 0.50 | -0.72 | -9567.00% | -953.00% | -10442.00% | 0.88% | 0.22 | 1.80% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 109.58% | 6.17 | 89.39 | 0.18 | 1.81 |
| KNTK | Kinetik Holdings Inc. | $45.49 | 2.91B | +71% | -50% | — | +66% | 5.53 | -5.14 | 1.65 | 5.77 | 3.50 | -2.59 | 18.39% | 9.35% | 10.10% | -29.70% | 7.58% | 7.56% | -7.05 | 0.71 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 3.34 | 15784.00% | 1898.00% | 6713.00% | 20.78% | 3.66 | 30.45% | 6.66% | 36.80% | 6.66% | 41.76 | 11.40 | 3.90 | 0.59 |
| NOG | Northern Oil and Gas, Inc… | $27.59 | 2.69B | +140% | -9% | — | -93% | 70.41 | 1.28 | 1.30 | 2.59 | — | 1.28 | 32.23% | 29.30% | 1.85% | 1.74% | 11.17% | 0.70% | 0.00 | 3.56 | 1.09 | 0.68 | -0.01 | -9241.00% | -318.00% | -63156.00% | 55.16% | 2.79 | 44.32% | 6.35% | 447.40% | 95.46% | 4.42 | 1.80 | 1.30 | 1.40 |
| TNK | Teekay Tankers Ltd. | $78.27 | 2.7B | -9% | -38% | +2% | — | 7.70 | 1.32 | 2.84 | 6.32 | — | 1.32 | 27.48% | 22.59% | 36.90% | 18.48% | 17.00% | 16.66% | 0.03 | 74.24 | 7.98 | 7.44 | -2.57 | -1301.00% | -2258.00% | -7160.00% | 4.17% | 2.26 | 8.90% | 2.55% | 19.60% | 14.62% | 8.86 | 16.92 | 2.00 | 9.44 |
| TRMD | TORM plc | $30.13 | 3.05B | -5% | -51% | -81% | — | 10.26 | 1.38 | 2.19 | 6.72 | — | 1.39 | 34.12% | 25.58% | 21.30% | 13.86% | 11.34% | 8.67% | 0.46 | 4.64 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.47 | -5346.00% | -1086.00% | -1530.00% | 6.50% | 1.29 | 6.50% | 6.82% | 70.00% | 10.31% | 10.93 | 19.67 | 2.80 | 3.12 |
About SM Energy Company
SM Energy Company, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the state of Texas. As of February 24, 2022, it had 492.0 million barrels of oil equivalent of estimated proved reserves. It also has working interests in 825 gross productive oil wells and 483 gross productive gas wells in the Midland Basin and South Texas. The company was formerly known as St. Mary Land & Exploration Company and changed its name to SM Energy Company in May 2010. SM Energy Company was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
- CEO
- Elizabeth Anne McDonald
- Employees
- 663
- Beta
- 1.06
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($13.09 ÷ $30.47) − 1 = -57.04% (DCF, example).