US · ARCC
Ares Capital Corporation
- Sector
- Financial Services · Asset Management
- Headquarters
- Los Angeles, CA 90067
- Website
- arescapitalcorp.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$19.25
Market cap 13.37B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $32.91 | +70.96% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $7.59 | -60.57% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $24.02 | +24.8% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $73.41 | +281.37% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $4.36 | $24.45 | $0.00 | $2.87 | $69.66 |
| 2012 | $5.35 | $22.21 | $0.00 | $5.08 | $8.24 |
| 2013 | $5.70 | $13.43 | $0.92 | $4.40 | $19.08 |
| 2014 | $5.91 | $23.27 | $1.64 | $4.19 | $55.37 |
| 2015 | $5.41 | $160.60 | $150.94 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $7.56 | $24.62 | $125.20 | $1.21 | $24.98 |
| 2017 | $7.46 | $25.19 | $0.48 | $1.89 | $61.10 |
| 2018 | $8.90 | $29.55 | $0.39 | $4.11 | $44.89 |
| 2019 | $9.83 | $26.28 | $0.00 | $2.39 | $14.39 |
| 2020 | $11.69 | $23.61 | $1.93 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $13.82 | $39.84 | $0.00 | $14.11 | $495.70 |
| 2022 | $13.32 | $20.65 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $17.11 | $39.80 | $0.00 | $6.04 | $235.72 |
| 2024 | $21.04 | $33.48 | $0.00 | $6.22 | $41.30 |
| 2025 | $18.98 | $32.91 | $0.00 | $24.02 | $73.41 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Ares Capital Corporation's (ARCC) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $32.91
- Current price
- $19.25
- AI upside
- +70.96%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$7.59
-60.57% upside
Graham-Dodd
$24.02
+24.8% upside
Graham Formula
$73.41
+281.37% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ARCC | Ares Capital Corporation | $19.25 | 13.37B | +71% | -61% | +25% | +281% | 9.38 | 0.93 | 4.22 | 12.93 | — | 0.93 | 75.68% | 69.67% | 41.30% | 10.23% | 7.29% | 4.76% | 1.12 | 3.40 | 1.71 | 1.71 | 6.88 | -2377.00% | 3287.00% | -1092.00% | 8.61% | 1.28 | 4.09% | 2.02% | 18.90% | 2.02% | 12.93 | 24.81 | 9.01 | 0.87 |
| CGBD | Carlyle Secured Lending, … | $11.12 | 810.68M | +429% | -60% | +65% | +134% | 445.34 | 0.65 | 3.82 | 13.38 | — | 0.65 | 70.90% | 86.18% | 35.38% | 0.16% | 7.43% | 0.07% | 1.31 | 1.94 | — | — | 8.80 | -3608.00% | 1790.00% | -29619.00% | -27.07% | — | -9.16% | 2.44% | 1084.50% | 4.27% | 12.97 | -10.81 | 11.18 | 0.50 |
| CSWC | Capital Southwest Corpora… | $21.87 | 1.32B | +36% | -65% | — | +5% | 12.75 | 1.02 | 5.49 | 21.25 | — | 1.02 | 66.45% | 48.48% | 43.07% | 8.61% | 4.29% | 4.10% | 1.08 | 1.44 | — | — | 10.70 | -2829.00% | 767.00% | 1525.00% | -24.15% | — | -13.20% | 13.93% | 177.60% | 13.93% | 22.82 | -8.34 | 11.06 | 0.75 |
| GAIN | Gladstone Investment Corp… | $13.69 | 545.16M | +98% | -58% | — | — | 7.17 | 0.94 | 5.21 | 13.92 | — | 0.94 | 68.57% | 72.67% | 72.67% | 13.17% | 7.14% | 6.72% | 0.91 | 2.31 | 3.69 | 3.69 | 6.76 | -2794.00% | -1288.00% | 3249.00% | 24.34% | 18.46 | 12.46% | 13.02% | 93.30% | 13.02% | 13.92 | 7.98 | 10.12 | 0.87 |
| GLAD | Gladstone Capital Corpora… | $18.20 | 411.19M | +289% | -47% | — | +295% | 7.97 | 0.96 | 3.20 | 6.78 | — | 0.96 | 87.27% | 55.53% | 40.14% | 12.10% | 9.75% | 6.76% | 0.83 | 4.02 | 9.90 | 9.90 | 2.99 | -4124.00% | 2037.00% | 124648.00% | 9.41% | 10.08 | 5.29% | 11.97% | 95.50% | 11.97% | 10.31 | 19.00 | 5.73 | 1.16 |
| HRZN | Horizon Technology Financ… | $5.96 | 276.05M | +475% | -8% | — | — | -49.39 | 0.83 | 8.20 | -162.59 | — | 0.83 | 4.97% | -12.25% | -16.60% | -1.71% | -0.56% | -0.69% | 1.39 | -0.13 | 5.08 | 4.89 | -95.66 | -7143.00% | 7771.00% | -2084.00% | 14.25% | 2.23 | 5.38% | 16.67% | -823.20% | 23.12% | -162.59 | 17.05 | 19.91 | 0.16 |
| HTGC | Hercules Capital, Inc. | $14.21 | 2.61B | +149% | -59% | — | +349% | -19.22 | 1.19 | 4.82 | 13.37 | -128.92 | 1.19 | 87.23% | 66.75% | 62.10% | -6.53% | 8.99% | -3.26% | 1.04 | 3.96 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 6.15 | 1491.00% | 2697.00% | 25851.00% | -16.14% | -6.52 | -10.48% | 12.35% | -237.40% | 12.60% | 13.38 | -11.47 | 8.93 | 1.09 |
| MAIN | Main Street Capital Corpo… | $56.80 | 5.09B | -10% | -59% | -5% | — | -94.34 | 1.72 | 7.99 | 14.54 | — | 1.72 | 100.00% | 80.71% | 58.89% | -1.88% | 9.63% | -1.01% | 0.82 | — | — | — | 4.64 | -564.00% | -1106.00% | -4754.00% | -0.89% | — | -0.89% | 0.07% | -7.00% | 0.27% | 14.54 | -165.51 | 11.74 | 1.71 |
| PFLT | PennantPark Floating Rate… | $8.16 | 809.62M | +259% | -31% | — | -10% | 12.84 | 0.79 | 4.97 | 37.13 | — | 0.79 | 45.65% | 39.35% | 38.69% | 6.80% | 2.84% | 2.64% | 1.65 | 0.72 | 2.94 | 2.98 | 24.51 | -4857.00% | 220.00% | -11186.00% | 11.16% | 2.05 | 4.07% | 13.10% | 168.10% | 13.10% | 37.13 | 26.37 | 14.61 | 0.38 |
| PSEC | Prospect Capital Corporat… | $2.72 | 1.31B | +828% | -61% | — | +5,556% | -2.45 | 0.39 | -4.16 | -6.80 | — | 0.39 | 147.00% | 169.75% | 169.75% | -14.03% | -8.47% | -6.41% | 0.70 | -3.61 | 0.51 | 0.50 | -4.34 | -47500.00% | -15923.00% | 8686.00% | 45.42% | 5.57 | 9.43% | 28.86% | -70.70% | 55.98% | -6.80 | 6.10 | -11.54 | -0.35 |
| SCM | Stellus Capital Investmen… | $10.02 | 290.05M | +136% | -31% | -86% | +993% | 7.01 | 0.87 | 3.89 | 18.85 | 5.67 | 0.87 | 61.91% | 57.38% | 55.42% | 13.29% | 5.06% | 4.85% | 1.60 | 1.51 | 2.92 | 2.84 | 12.07 | 12375.00% | 5537.00% | 6593.00% | -8.91% | -3.20 | -3.16% | 11.68% | 81.90% | 11.68% | 18.85 | -31.22 | 10.81 | 0.57 |
| TPVG | TriplePoint Venture Growt… | $5.19 | 209.67M | +2,342% | -10% | — | +16,529% | 7.92 | 0.73 | 3.56 | 18.93 | — | 0.73 | 63.96% | 45.02% | 45.02% | 9.26% | 4.27% | 3.68% | 1.15 | 1.25 | — | — | 11.01 | -17321.00% | 109241.00% | 21063.00% | 60.27% | — | 20.40% | 20.53% | 162.50% | 60.59% | 18.93 | 3.97 | 8.52 | 0.36 |
| TSLX | Sixth Street Specialty Le… | $17.32 | 1.64B | +62% | -55% | — | -13% | -3977.62 | 1.04 | 4.64 | 14.71 | — | 1.04 | 72.84% | 53.55% | 47.34% | -0.03% | 5.46% | -0.01% | 1.08 | 1.83 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 7.47 | -1084.00% | 13.00% | 11446.00% | 24.04% | 1.34 | 11.75% | 10.20% | -40553.60% | 20.53% | 17.60 | 8.45 | 9.42 | 0.79 |
About Ares Capital Corporation
Ares Capital Corporation is a business development company specializing in acquisition, recapitalization, mezzanine debt, restructurings, rescue financing, and leveraged buyout transactions of middle market companies. It also makes growth capital and general refinancing. It prefers to make investments in companies engaged in the basic and growth manufacturing, business services, consumer products, health care products and services, and information technology service sectors. The fund will also consider investments in industries such as restaurants, retail, oil and gas, and technology sectors. It focuses on investments in Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Southeast and Southwest regions from its New York office, the Midwest region, from the Chicago office, and the Western region from the Los Angeles office. The fund typically invests between $20 million and $200 million and a maximum of $400 million in companies with an EBITDA between $10 million and $250 million. It makes debt investments between $10 million and $100 million The fund invests through revolvers, first lien loans, warrants, unitranche structures, second lien loans, mezzanine debt, private high yield, junior capital, subordinated debt, and non-control preferred and common equity. The fund also selectively considers third-party-led senior and subordinated debt financings and opportunistically considers the purchase of stressed and discounted debt positions. The fund prefers to be an agent and/or lead the transactions in which it invests. The fund also seeks board representation in its portfolio companies.
- CEO
- Kort Schnabel
- Employees
- 1.2K
- Beta
- 0.62
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($7.59 ÷ $19.25) − 1 = -60.57% (DCF, example).