US · ARR
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
- Sector
- Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
- Headquarters
- Vero Beach, FL 32963
- Website
- armourreit.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$17.73
Market cap 2.01B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $307.30 | +1,633.22% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $14.04 | -20.81% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $1,486.72 | +8,285.36% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $37.47 | $67.74 | $10,443.09 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $42.86 | $1,531.67 | $2,178,197.71 | $0.00 | $111,030.44 |
| 2013 | $31.86 | $731.48 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $5,082.74 |
| 2014 | $27.31 | $621.39 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |
| 2015 | $26.52 | $1,847.69 | $68.17 | $0.00 | |
| 2016 | $32.10 | $5,553.86 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $884.20 |
| 2017 | $36.26 | $1,480.64 | $125.06 | $83.29 | |
| 2018 | $34.54 | $346.05 | $83.27 | $0.00 | $942.00 |
| 2019 | $38.35 | $1,376.77 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $14,058.84 |
| 2020 | $26.91 | $325.57 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |
| 2021 | $21.16 | $49.19 | $108.70 | $0.00 | |
| 2022 | $14.94 | $3,139.33 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $176,837.94 |
| 2023 | $14.10 | $5.64 | $6.63 | $0.00 | |
| 2024 | $15.96 | $7.56 | $64.64 | $0.00 | $10.06 |
| 2025 | $17.86 | $307.30 | $88.40 | $0.00 | $1,486.72 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s (ARR) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $307.30
- Current price
- $17.73
- AI upside
- +1,633.22%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$14.04
-20.81% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$1,486.72
+8,285.36% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT, … | $17.73 | 2.01B | +1,633% | -21% | — | +8,285% | 7.93 | 0.74 | 1.29 | 20.27 | — | 0.74 | 97.02% | 73.91% | 24.72% | 11.69% | 9.00% | 1.23% | 7.94 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 18.53 | -74706.00% | 44408.00% | -5250.00% | 7.40% | 0.01 | 1.16% | 16.89% | 133.90% | 18.08% | 20.27 | 157.46 | 14.98 | -0.96 |
| ARI | Apollo Commercial Real Es… | $10.60 | 1.48B | +222% | -28% | -87% | -20% | 11.69 | 0.80 | 2.09 | 15.48 | — | 0.80 | 80.05% | 65.36% | 17.84% | 6.79% | 5.27% | 1.38% | 4.27 | 1.01 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 13.00 | -18351.00% | 128.00% | 3759.00% | 2.86% | 0.20 | 0.48% | 10.36% | 121.20% | 10.36% | 19.94 | 218.85 | 13.03 | 0.16 |
| DX | Dynex Capital, Inc. | $14.03 | 2.06B | +766% | -52% | +133% | +613% | 5.40 | 0.70 | 4.10 | 19.92 | 8.20 | 0.70 | 100.00% | 175.59% | 75.89% | 17.50% | 6.46% | 2.50% | 5.65 | 1.76 | — | — | 17.59 | 6577.00% | 3220.00% | 73950.00% | 7.02% | — | 1.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.92 | 121.70 | 34.97 | 0.27 |
| EFC | Ellington Financial Inc. | $12.42 | 1.18B | -33% | -61% | — | +139% | 7.15 | 0.67 | 3.76 | — | 13.12 | 0.69 | 100.00% | 41.20% | 51.69% | 9.59% | 1.45% | 0.94% | 0.00 | 0.42 | — | — | — | 5455.00% | 1001.00% | 7801.00% | -40.63% | — | -5.38% | 15.43% | 110.40% | 1272.46% | 7.46 | -2.01 | 3.07 | 0.05 |
| EPR | EPR Properties | $59.41 | 4.52B | -25% | -60% | -21% | +19% | — | 1.96 | 6.34 | 7.71 | — | 1.96 | 44.67% | 52.48% | 38.27% | 0.00% | 9.81% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 2.83 | — | — | -0.16 | 10500.00% | 1207.00% | 708.00% | 9.24% | — | 11.06% | 0.17% | — | 69.09% | 11.85 | 10.61 | 6.22 | 1.32 |
| FBRT | Franklin BSP Realty Trust… | $9.13 | 745.07M | +400% | -59% | +147% | +2% | 9.42 | 0.51 | 1.40 | 12.52 | — | 0.59 | 91.96% | 68.52% | 14.82% | 5.41% | 6.78% | 1.36% | 2.77 | 1.32 | 1.22 | 24.38 | 10.51 | -2195.00% | 112.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.59% | 12.70 | — | 8.70 | 0.32 |
| GNL | Global Net Lease, Inc. | $9.42 | 2.07B | +221% | -57% | -77% | +205% | — | 1.30 | 4.34 | 17.15 | — | 1.98 | 12.92% | 33.81% | -45.28% | 0.00% | 3.12% | 0.00% | 1.58 | 0.88 | 2.19 | 2.19 | 9.12 | 2895.00% | -3815.00% | -2539.00% | 8.76% | 2.35 | 3.51% | 0.00% | — | 93.88% | 27.42 | 24.37 | 9.27 | -0.08 |
| LADR | Ladder Capital Corp | $10.37 | 1.32B | +157% | -57% | -97% | — | 20.63 | 0.89 | 3.35 | 17.63 | — | 1.68 | 71.77% | 62.04% | 16.36% | 4.22% | 5.55% | 1.27% | 2.37 | 1.39 | 0.50 | 20.40 | 12.79 | -4070.00% | -2326.00% | -3502.00% | 6.62% | 0.80 | 2.09% | 8.94% | 184.30% | 9.83% | 19.67 | 55.00 | 12.20 | 0.36 |
| NTST | NETSTREIT Corp. | $20.77 | 1.72B | +26% | -60% | -75% | -89% | 249.61 | 1.20 | 9.55 | 20.20 | — | 1.36 | 89.96% | 30.36% | 3.80% | 0.50% | 2.29% | 0.28% | 0.78 | 1.17 | 7.06 | 5.55 | 7.88 | -15125.00% | 2091.00% | 2141.00% | 6.32% | 3.25 | 4.59% | 4.08% | 1017.40% | 4.08% | 51.56 | 25.94 | 15.66 | 0.99 |
| PMT | PennyMac Mortgage Investm… | $12.26 | 1.07B | +1,511% | -50% | — | +2,817% | 8.29 | 0.56 | 0.61 | 20.42 | — | -0.60 | 91.61% | 78.96% | 7.33% | 6.68% | 5.31% | 0.72% | 10.12 | 1.58 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 19.52 | -2774.00% | 24581.00% | -10521.00% | 13.42% | 0.02 | 0.86% | 17.09% | 141.70% | 17.19% | 14.29 | 138.40 | 11.29 | -0.15 |
About ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. The company's securities portfolio primarily consists of the United States Government-sponsored entity's (GSE) and the Government National Mortgage Administration's issued or guaranteed securities backed by fixed rate, hybrid adjustable rate, and adjustable-rate home loans, as well as unsecured notes and bonds issued by the GSE and the United States treasuries, as well as money market instruments. It also invests in other securities backed by residential mortgages for which the payment of principal and interest is not guaranteed by a GSE or government agency. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust under the Internal Revenue Code. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to shareholders. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.
- CEO
- Scott Jeffrey Ulm
- Employees
- 0
- Beta
- 1.43
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($14.04 ÷ $17.73) − 1 = -20.81% (DCF, example).