US · EFC
Ellington Financial Inc.
- Sector
- Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
- Headquarters
- Old Greenwich, CT 06870
- Website
- ellingtonfinancial.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$13.24
Market cap 1.18B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $8.38 | -36.71% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $4.88 | -63.14% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $29.72 | +124.46% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $4.11 | $1.64 | $32.17 | $7.56 | $0.00 |
| 2011 | $3.73 | $54.83 | $19.30 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $5.49 | $19.36 | $0.00 | $15.69 | $1,899.16 |
| 2013 | $6.13 | $24.77 | $10.47 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $5.74 | $2.30 | $13.21 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $5.65 | $100.47 | $15.42 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $5.74 | $38.50 | $16.98 | $0.00 | $40.71 |
| 2017 | $6.04 | $314.17 | $13.12 | $0.00 | $66.72 |
| 2018 | $7.91 | $22.16 | $0.00 | $1.19 | $919.09 |
| 2019 | $8.04 | $135.82 | $5.12 | $9.49 | $33.35 |
| 2020 | $9.13 | $49.13 | $15.40 | $0.79 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $10.75 | $94.15 | $21.89 | $13.68 | $1,362.59 |
| 2022 | $7.89 | $168.53 | $9.24 | $0.00 | $79.03 |
| 2023 | $8.98 | $203.49 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $585.66 |
| 2024 | $12.20 | $8.38 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $29.72 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Ellington Financial Inc.'s (EFC) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $8.38
- Current price
- $13.24
- AI upside
- -36.71%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$4.88
-63.14% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$29.72
+124.46% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| EFC | Ellington Financial Inc. | $13.24 | 1.18B | -37% | -63% | — | +124% | 7.15 | 0.67 | 3.76 | — | 13.12 | 0.69 | 100.00% | 41.20% | 51.69% | 9.59% | 1.45% | 0.94% | 0.00 | 0.42 | — | — | — | 5455.00% | 1001.00% | 7801.00% | -40.63% | — | -5.38% | 15.43% | 110.40% | 1272.46% | 7.46 | -2.01 | 3.07 | 0.05 |
| ARI | Apollo Commercial Real Es… | $10.60 | 1.48B | +222% | -28% | -87% | -20% | 11.69 | 0.80 | 2.09 | 15.48 | — | 0.80 | 80.05% | 65.36% | 17.84% | 6.79% | 5.27% | 1.38% | 4.27 | 1.01 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 13.00 | -18351.00% | 128.00% | 3759.00% | 2.86% | 0.20 | 0.48% | 10.36% | 121.20% | 10.36% | 19.94 | 218.85 | 13.03 | 0.16 |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT, … | $17.95 | 2.01B | +1,612% | -22% | — | +8,183% | 7.93 | 0.74 | 1.29 | 20.27 | — | 0.74 | 97.02% | 73.91% | 24.72% | 11.69% | 9.00% | 1.23% | 7.94 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 18.53 | -74706.00% | 44408.00% | -5250.00% | 7.40% | 0.01 | 1.16% | 16.89% | 133.90% | 18.08% | 20.27 | 157.46 | 14.98 | -0.96 |
| CIM | Chimera Investment Corpor… | $13.61 | 1.13B | +899% | +24% | +118% | +4,369% | 4.23 | 0.44 | 1.37 | 17.51 | 2.82 | 0.44 | 94.87% | 93.16% | 28.08% | 10.45% | 5.44% | 1.84% | 5.08 | 1.38 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 16.09 | 15000.00% | 21822.00% | -22101.00% | -22.07% | -0.04 | -1.79% | 7.63% | 32.30% | 7.63% | 18.20 | -55.93 | 16.96 | -0.34 |
| IIPR | Innovative Industrial Pro… | $52.96 | 1.49B | -8% | -23% | +62% | — | 13.14 | 0.81 | 5.65 | 8.86 | — | 0.82 | 88.65% | 46.67% | 43.03% | 6.05% | 5.80% | 4.82% | 0.21 | 6.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 1.66 | -2880.00% | -1380.00% | -3238.00% | 11.62% | 0.62 | 8.16% | 0.05% | 0.70% | 1.39% | 14.90 | 10.58 | 6.95 | 1.69 |
| KREF | KKR Real Estate Finance T… | $6.95 | 455.15M | +603% | -0% | — | +39% | -9.59 | 0.41 | 1.06 | 18.53 | — | 0.41 | 88.30% | 59.31% | -10.27% | -4.01% | 4.54% | -0.79% | 4.00 | 0.84 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 16.76 | -65263.00% | -2272.00% | -4641.00% | 13.77% | 0.21 | 1.12% | 18.20% | -174.60% | 65.31% | 18.75 | 76.36 | 11.12 | 0.11 |
| LADR | Ladder Capital Corp | $10.37 | 1.32B | +157% | -57% | -97% | — | 20.63 | 0.89 | 3.35 | 17.63 | — | 1.68 | 71.77% | 62.04% | 16.36% | 4.22% | 5.55% | 1.27% | 2.37 | 1.39 | 0.50 | 20.40 | 12.79 | -4070.00% | -2326.00% | -3502.00% | 6.62% | 0.80 | 2.09% | 8.94% | 184.30% | 9.83% | 19.67 | 55.00 | 12.20 | 0.36 |
| ORC | Orchid Island Capital, In… | $7.44 | 1.13B | +1,444% | -31% | — | +3,701% | 6.02 | 0.70 | 5.33 | 22.54 | 5.29 | 0.70 | 97.78% | 88.59% | 88.59% | 15.59% | 2.83% | 1.83% | 7.47 | 0.52 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 20.48 | 11379.00% | 22995.00% | 7980.00% | 12.58% | 0.01 | 2.14% | 18.69% | 112.50% | 18.69% | 65.88 | 86.98 | 58.36 | -0.86 |
| PMT | PennyMac Mortgage Investm… | $12.26 | 1.07B | +1,511% | -50% | — | +2,817% | 8.29 | 0.56 | 0.61 | 20.42 | — | -0.60 | 91.61% | 78.96% | 7.33% | 6.68% | 5.31% | 0.72% | 10.12 | 1.58 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 19.52 | -2774.00% | 24581.00% | -10521.00% | 13.42% | 0.02 | 0.86% | 17.09% | 141.70% | 17.19% | 14.29 | 138.40 | 11.29 | -0.15 |
| TRTX | TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc… | $8.46 | 662.87M | +278% | -60% | -100% | +1,033% | 11.21 | 0.63 | 2.03 | 2.24 | — | 0.63 | 79.30% | 72.97% | 18.14% | 5.53% | 10.78% | 1.48% | 0.00 | 1.28 | 60.19 | 60.19 | -0.33 | -2597.00% | 12325.00% | -1540.00% | 13.36% | 46.58 | 4.04% | 13.47% | 151.00% | 381.82% | 2.43 | 6.52 | 1.77 | 0.20 |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investment Co… | $10.33 | 1.09B | +746% | +219% | — | — | -2.34 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 5.39 | — | -1.68 | 98.66% | 44.15% | -47.70% | -23.24% | 14.27% | -3.94% | 4.79 | 0.86 | 0.19 | 0.97 | 18.36 | -28397.00% | 1260.00% | -11734.00% | -1.42% | 0.01 | -0.51% | 20.91% | -49.00% | 21.08% | 5.39 | -150.52 | 2.38 | -1.01 |
About Ellington Financial Inc.
Ellington Financial Inc., through its subsidiary, Ellington Financial Operating Partnership LLC, acquires and manages mortgage-related, consumer-related, corporate-related, and other financial assets in the United States. The company acquires and manages residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) backed by prime jumbo, Alt-A, manufactured housing, and subprime residential mortgage loans; RMBS for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the U.S. government agency or the U.S. government-sponsored entity; residential mortgage loans; commercial mortgage-backed securities; and commercial mortgage loans and other commercial real estate debt. It also provides collateralized loan obligations; mortgage-related and non-mortgage-related derivatives; corporate debt and equity securities; corporate loans; and other strategic investments. In addition, the company offers consumer loans and asset-backed securities backed by consumer and commercial assets. Ellington Financial LLC was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Old Greenwich, Connecticut.
- CEO
- Laurence Eric Penn
- Employees
- 400
- Beta
- 0.94
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($4.88 ÷ $13.24) − 1 = -63.14% (DCF, example).