US · MOMO
Hello Group Inc.
- Sector
- Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
- Headquarters
- Beijing 100102
- Website
- ir.hellogroup.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$6.21
Market cap 1.13B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $1.40 | -77.46% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $6.08 | -2.09% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $4.30 | -30.76% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | $6.36 | $39.83 | $283,753.99 | $1.60 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $8.34 | $31.21 | $2.35 | $2.90 | $15.40 |
| 2016 | $19.54 | $28.15 | $3,203,363.42 | $7.00 | $251.00 |
| 2017 | $23.84 | $39.45 | $1,849,894.60 | $12.20 | $187.30 |
| 2018 | $20.81 | $34.81 | $48,015.46 | $13.60 | $113.70 |
| 2019 | $18.31 | $29.38 | $1,765.84 | $7.50 | $67.30 |
| 2020 | $11.15 | $21.55 | $8.35 | $2.30 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $4.63 | $2.78 | $2.94 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $6.69 | $11.18 | $5.98 | $4.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $5.89 | $17.67 | $6.06 | $5.10 | $3.80 |
| 2024 | $7.23 | $9.73 | $5.03 | $4.30 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Hello Group Inc.'s (MOMO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $1.40
- Current price
- $6.21
- AI upside
- -77.46%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$6.08
-2.09% upside
Graham-Dodd
$4.30
-30.76% upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MOMO | Hello Group Inc. | $6.21 | 1.13B | +57% | -2% | -31% | — | 9.28 | 0.84 | 0.91 | 4.02 | — | 0.86 | 38.96% | 14.51% | 9.84% | 8.95% | 9.91% | 6.01% | 0.40 | 11.99 | 1.88 | 0.99 | 0.23 | -4329.00% | -1198.00% | -2037.00% | 14.04% | 0.26 | 15.87% | 7.42% | 68.90% | 19.84% | 5.27 | 5.97 | 0.76 | 2.56 |
| ATHM | Autohome Inc. | $19.18 | 569.68M | +126% | +36% | -59% | -33% | 16.26 | 1.10 | 3.75 | 2.55 | — | 1.33 | 78.93% | 14.26% | 25.46% | 6.78% | 147.66% | 5.32% | 0.00 | — | 5.56 | 5.47 | -1.28 | -7828.00% | -201.00% | -4802.00% | 4.67% | 0.30 | 188.48% | 5.61% | 91.20% | 6.45% | 3.17 | 2.58 | 0.45 | 5.09 |
| CRTO | Criteo S.A. | $17.87 | 914.08M | +343% | -32% | +43% | +35% | 6.39 | 0.83 | 0.49 | 2.22 | 16.19 | 2.07 | 53.96% | 10.42% | 7.43% | 13.59% | 16.78% | 6.69% | 0.13 | 116.21 | 1.27 | 1.21 | -0.58 | 3947.00% | 60.00% | 1580.00% | 21.84% | 0.37 | 23.52% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 16.88% | 3.65 | 3.55 | 0.38 | 2.28 |
| FUBO | fuboTV Inc. | $1.17 | 412.68M | +2,109% | +4,557,058% | — | — | -5.72 | 5.18 | 0.63 | -10.85 | — | -1.84 | 12.57% | -12.08% | -10.61% | -72.28% | -43.24% | -15.39% | 1.93 | -9.40 | 0.53 | 0.45 | -1.91 | -4808.00% | 1861.00% | -4666.00% | -9.38% | -0.15 | -21.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -6.29 | -12.94 | 0.76 | -1.30 |
| GIBO | GIBO Holdings Limited | $1.43 | 758.48M | — | — | — | — | -2.39 | 0.70 | 1.98 | -3.00 | — | 0.70 | 85.44% | -82.88% | 0.88% | -54.64% | -57.71% | -41.32% | 0.01 | — | 0.07 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -34788.00% | — | -4684.00% | -10.75% | 0.89 | -14.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.09% | -2.44 | -9.47 | 2.02 | -0.05 |
| GLIBA | GCI Liberty, Inc. | $39.74 | 1.23B | — | — | — | — | -3.95 | 0.72 | 1.17 | 4.43 | — | 2.42 | 29.73% | 17.02% | -29.54% | — | — | — | 0.68 | 3.96 | 3.14 | 2.88 | 1.66 | — | — | — | 10.00% | 1.89 | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.95 | 15.98 | 1.86 | 0.78 |
| IDT | IDT Corporation | $50.95 | 1.28B | +47% | -50% | -55% | -39% | 14.46 | 3.85 | 0.95 | 7.25 | 78.16 | 4.29 | 36.23% | 8.15% | 6.18% | 29.43% | 142.58% | 13.80% | 0.01 | — | 1.78 | 1.01 | -1.77 | 1850.00% | 213.00% | 7934.00% | 9.06% | 0.43 | 196.84% | 0.47% | 6.80% | 7.23% | 9.18 | 8.67 | 0.75 | 5.66 |
| OPRA | Opera Limited | $16.04 | 1.44B | +134% | +10% | -75% | +62% | 15.17 | 1.59 | 3.11 | 12.01 | — | 3.64 | 72.42% | 19.20% | 16.80% | 10.58% | 9.13% | 9.52% | 0.01 | 174.08 | 2.29 | 2.22 | -1.02 | -4675.00% | 2112.00% | -260.00% | 4.98% | 1.04 | 8.96% | 2.51% | 38.00% | 4.78% | 14.91 | 18.49 | 2.86 | 9.36 |
| SSTK | Shutterstock, Inc. | $16.80 | 597.19M | +184% | -11% | — | +5% | -36.26 | 1.00 | 0.59 | 3.59 | -152.60 | -2.78 | 58.15% | 11.11% | 4.60% | -2.91% | 9.24% | -1.20% | 0.55 | 6.54 | 0.54 | 0.46 | 0.69 | 2376.00% | 584.00% | -94996.00% | 21.32% | 0.27 | 17.22% | 8.01% | -290.50% | 18.37% | 6.55 | 5.82 | 0.73 | 1.54 |
| TBLA | Taboola.com Ltd. | $3.17 | 940.6M | +1,667% | +9,065% | -43% | +703% | 19.64 | 1.09 | 0.52 | 7.71 | — | 2.92 | 29.79% | 2.30% | 2.21% | 5.12% | 4.44% | 3.01% | 0.21 | 9.38 | 1.04 | 0.89 | 0.53 | -129266.00% | 18767.00% | 957.00% | 16.60% | 0.39 | 16.49% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 24.02 | 6.47 | 0.55 | 2.04 |
About Hello Group Inc.
Hello Group Inc. provides mobile-based social and entertainment services in the People's Republic of China. It operates Momo platform that includes its Momo mobile application, as well as various related properties, features, functionalities, tools, and services. The company's Momo mobile application connects people and facilitates interactions based on location and interests; and various recreational activities, including live talent shows, short videos, and social games, as well as other video- and audio-based interactive experiences, such as online parties, mobile karaoke, and user participated reality shows. It also operates Tantan, a social and dating application, which enables users to find and establish romantic connections, and meet interesting people; and provides live video, quick chat, value-added, mobile marketing, and other services, as well as mobile games and audio chatrooms. In addition, it allows its platform's users to livestream a variety of content and activities that comprise talent shows, such as singing, dancing, and talk shows, as well as casual chatting, and other forms of interactions between broadcasters and viewers. The company was formerly known as Momo Inc. and changed its name to Hello Group Inc. in August 2021. Hello Group Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
- CEO
- Yan Tang
- Employees
- 1.39K
- Beta
- 0.46
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($6.08 ÷ $6.21) − 1 = -2.09% (DCF, example).