US · PROV
Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.
- Sector
- Financial Services · Banks - Regional
- Headquarters
- Riverside, CA 92506
- Website
- myprovident.com
Price · as of 2025-06-30
$17.15
Market cap 102M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $35.89 | +109.27% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $16.57 | -3.38% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $15.39 | -10.29% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $9.89 | -42.34% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $5.25 | $490.61 | $9.64 | $17.65 | $11.21 |
| 2012 | $8.65 | $42.60 | $11.09 | $15.62 | $8.38 |
| 2013 | $11.74 | $733.86 | $38.64 | $23.66 | $80.77 |
| 2014 | $9.89 | $69.19 | $13.31 | $12.03 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $11.38 | $344.36 | $14.32 | $14.38 | $24.28 |
| 2016 | $13.98 | $307.33 | $13.36 | $13.25 | $3.34 |
| 2017 | $14.19 | $42.04 | $14.44 | $11.68 | $2.83 |
| 2018 | $13.74 | $135.20 | $13.60 | $8.97 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $15.56 | $52.49 | $13.93 | $10.66 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $9.96 | $183.36 | $14.79 | $13.35 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $14.11 | $39.03 | $15.44 | $13.73 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $12.27 | $32.44 | $16.33 | $15.12 | $9.04 |
| 2023 | $11.53 | $35.32 | $16.85 | $15.77 | $40.84 |
| 2024 | $13.45 | $150.79 | $18.14 | $15.61 | $26.03 |
| 2025 | $15.23 | $35.89 | $18.28 | $15.38 | $9.89 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.'s (PROV) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $35.89
- Current price
- $17.15
- AI upside
- +109.27%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$16.57
-3.38% upside
Graham-Dodd
$15.39
-10.29% upside
Graham Formula
$9.89
-42.34% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| PROV | Provident Financial Holdi… | $17.15 | 102M | +109% | -3% | -10% | -42% | 16.35 | 0.80 | 1.70 | 21.21 | — | 0.80 | 65.94% | 14.75% | 10.40% | 4.84% | 2.07% | 0.50% | 1.66 | 0.42 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 12.94 | -1226.00% | 253.00% | 9910.00% | 7.97% | 0.01 | 2.70% | 3.68% | 60.20% | 34.57% | 29.55 | 32.15 | 4.36 | -0.44 |
| AFBI | Affinity Bancshares, Inc. | $19.90 | 122.74M | +217% | -4% | +22% | -22% | 21.58 | 0.91 | 2.35 | 17.67 | — | 1.06 | 61.50% | 13.97% | 10.88% | 4.34% | 5.16% | 0.64% | 0.47 | 0.37 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 2.25 | -1531.00% | 1068.00% | -1328.00% | 5.42% | 0.01 | 6.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.54 | 21.42 | 2.73 | -0.57 |
| FGBI | First Guaranty Bancshares… | $8.81 | 139.14M | +779% | -54% | — | +400% | -2.15 | 0.53 | 0.62 | -4.17 | — | 0.54 | -6.18% | -34.99% | -28.59% | -23.28% | -3719.92% | -1.39% | 0.82 | -0.54 | 0.01 | 0.01 | -2.41 | -61481.00% | -1995.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -4.17 | — | 1.46 | -0.45 |
| IROQ | IF Bancorp, Inc. | $27.75 | 93M | +122% | +3% | -8% | -32% | 19.19 | 1.01 | 1.71 | 23.03 | 13.67 | 1.03 | 54.72% | 12.23% | 8.90% | 5.53% | 8.66% | 0.48% | 0.89 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 8.08 | 14035.00% | 661.00% | 22019.00% | 7.89% | 0.01 | 13.11% | 1.56% | 29.90% | 17.75% | 25.44 | 23.09 | 3.11 | -0.76 |
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp, Inc. | $15.48 | 121.14M | +713% | -17% | -17% | -47% | 17.74 | 0.97 | 2.30 | 1.23 | 270.53 | 0.98 | 67.82% | 15.39% | 12.94% | 5.60% | 55.27% | 0.70% | 0.11 | 0.43 | 0.16 | 0.16 | -3.46 | 656.00% | 472.00% | -5686.00% | 2.87% | 0.00 | 28.11% | 1.24% | 21.90% | 6.29% | 1.38 | 3.23 | 0.21 | -0.50 |
| MGYR | Magyar Bancorp, Inc. | $17.52 | 113.49M | +149% | +23% | +28% | +75% | 10.76 | 0.88 | 1.80 | 8.89 | 40.12 | 0.89 | 60.27% | 23.64% | 16.71% | 8.51% | 8.04% | 1.00% | 0.41 | 0.61 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 2.85 | 2683.00% | 1208.00% | 7826.00% | 9.34% | 0.01 | 8.08% | 1.74% | 18.70% | 2.54% | 9.50 | 13.36 | 2.24 | -0.68 |
| RBKB | Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. | $16.00 | 178.33M | +1,014% | -60% | +7% | +167% | 17.10 | 1.26 | 2.27 | 1.70 | — | 1.28 | 68.17% | 16.72% | 13.24% | 7.77% | 53.49% | 0.79% | 0.22 | 0.56 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.99 | -21500.00% | 3979.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 24.66% | 1.81 | — | 0.30 | 1.13 |
| RVSB | Riverview Bancorp, Inc. | $5.35 | 110.8M | +484% | +34% | +5% | -26% | 23.69 | 0.73 | 1.59 | 18.64 | 85.28 | 0.87 | 68.97% | 8.52% | 6.70% | 3.11% | 2.99% | 0.32% | 0.66 | 0.28 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 7.96 | 2778.00% | 961.00% | -2219.00% | 4.78% | 0.01 | 3.38% | 2.18% | 51.70% | 19.11% | 28.58 | 32.08 | 2.43 | -0.71 |
| SFBC | Sound Financial Bancorp, … | $42.47 | 108.98M | +356% | +7% | -10% | -17% | 26.80 | 1.20 | 2.00 | 15.73 | — | 1.26 | 57.51% | 9.10% | 7.48% | 4.54% | 4.83% | 0.47% | 0.39 | 0.21 | 0.07 | 0.07 | -0.40 | -3706.00% | 1161.00% | -5567.00% | 2.30% | 0.00 | 2.97% | 1.57% | 42.00% | 9.61% | 20.13 | 39.80 | 1.83 | -0.67 |
| UNB | Union Bankshares, Inc. | $23.25 | 106.54M | +22% | -17% | -87% | +94% | 14.43 | 1.90 | 1.62 | 19.90 | — | 1.95 | 60.84% | 11.71% | 11.24% | 13.25% | 98.59% | 0.58% | 4.15 | 0.31 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 24.37 | -2258.00% | 1586.00% | 5293.00% | 8.77% | 0.01 | 124.68% | 5.10% | 73.60% | 5.10% | 23.38 | 19.26 | 2.74 | -0.56 |
About Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.
Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. operates as the holding company for Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B. that provides community banking services to consumers and small to mid-sized businesses in the Inland Empire region of Southern California. Its deposit products include checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as time deposits; and loan portfolio consists of single-family, multi-family, commercial real estate, construction, mortgage, commercial business, and consumer loans. The company also offers investment services comprising the sale of investment products, such as annuities and mutual funds; and trustee services for real estate transactions. It operates through 12 full-service banking offices in Riverside County and one full-service banking office in San Bernardino County. The company was founded in 1956 and is based in Riverside, California.
- CEO
- Donavon Ternes
- Employees
- 94
- Beta
- 0.31
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($16.57 ÷ $17.15) − 1 = -3.38% (DCF, example).