US · TCBK
TriCo Bancshares
- Sector
- Financial Services · Banks - Regional
- Headquarters
- Chico, CA 95973
- Website
- tcbk.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$50.61
Market cap 1.55B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $64.99 | +28.41% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $39.91 | -21.14% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $50.28 | -0.65% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $36.91 | -27.07% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $11.58 | $77.40 | $22.06 | $13.04 | $8.59 |
| 2012 | $13.15 | $34.09 | $44.86 | $13.91 | $16.25 |
| 2013 | $18.95 | $55.72 | $42.01 | $16.91 | $9.96 |
| 2014 | $18.61 | $40.94 | $36.81 | $20.80 | $23.82 |
| 2015 | $20.25 | $52.59 | $28.20 | $18.90 | $76.09 |
| 2016 | $28.29 | $44.18 | $33.16 | $18.92 | $25.74 |
| 2017 | $31.74 | $38.42 | $33.83 | $18.21 | $25.23 |
| 2018 | $32.35 | $47.01 | $37.09 | $21.91 | $61.66 |
| 2019 | $28.05 | $41.82 | $42.47 | $25.30 | $76.00 |
| 2020 | $44.47 | $30.31 | $47.51 | $21.18 | $15.13 |
| 2021 | $37.00 | $28.64 | $75.52 | $31.01 | $53.39 |
| 2022 | $40.65 | $32.80 | $70.22 | $24.96 | $113.37 |
| 2023 | $33.19 | $30.57 | $53.43 | $25.36 | $94.86 |
| 2024 | $40.45 | $36.29 | $36.02 | $25.27 | $49.48 |
| 2025 | $48.36 | $64.99 | $34.17 | $50.28 | $36.91 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates TriCo Bancshares's (TCBK) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $64.99
- Current price
- $50.61
- AI upside
- +28.41%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$39.91
-21.14% upside
Graham-Dodd
$50.28
-0.65% upside
Graham Formula
$36.91
-27.07% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| TCBK | TriCo Bancshares | $50.61 | 1.55B | +28% | -21% | -1% | -27% | 12.91 | 1.18 | 2.94 | -1.18 | 186.62 | 1.54 | 75.85% | 31.73% | 22.79% | 9.54% | 29.90% | 1.25% | 0.08 | 1.41 | 0.44 | 0.44 | -0.27 | 692.00% | 178.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.70% | -1.27 | — | -0.40 | 0.03 |
| FCF | First Commonwealth Financ… | $17.53 | 1.82B | +87% | -19% | -46% | +53% | 10.88 | 1.10 | 2.22 | 3.33 | — | 1.52 | 64.16% | 25.47% | 20.38% | 10.49% | 20.39% | 1.24% | 0.24 | 0.80 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 1.14 | -974.00% | 1166.00% | -1150.00% | 7.35% | 0.01 | 16.30% | 3.39% | 36.90% | 31.80% | 3.44 | 5.38 | 0.88 | -0.56 |
| FRME | First Merchants Corporati… | $39.08 | 2.46B | -37% | -10% | -29% | -22% | 10.05 | 0.92 | 2.16 | 6.17 | 72.92 | 1.30 | 60.96% | 24.67% | 21.52% | 9.47% | 12.33% | 1.21% | 0.41 | 0.67 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 3.17 | 1378.00% | -32.00% | 655.00% | 12.49% | 0.04 | 15.48% | 3.73% | 37.50% | 5.80% | 6.87 | 6.28 | 1.70 | -0.11 |
| GABC | German American Bancorp, … | $41.34 | 1.55B | -1% | +321% | -56% | +347% | 13.69 | 1.33 | 3.16 | 11.47 | 168.50 | 2.05 | 70.17% | 28.74% | 23.11% | 12.00% | 21.95% | 1.53% | 0.16 | 1.11 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.79 | 813.00% | 5454.00% | -9777.00% | 0.13% | 0.00 | 0.39% | 2.81% | 38.40% | 4.69% | 11.47 | 793.24 | 3.30 | 0.08 |
| LKFN | Lakeland Financial Corpor… | $58.09 | 1.48B | +23% | -29% | -14% | -57% | 14.54 | 1.97 | 3.56 | 11.86 | 138.94 | 1.98 | 60.99% | 29.78% | 24.51% | 14.29% | 23.02% | 1.51% | 0.24 | 0.82 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.97 | 1047.00% | -193.00% | -4163.00% | 3.64% | 0.01 | 12.20% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 12.31 | 28.22 | 3.67 | -0.61 |
| LOB | Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. | $36.27 | 1.66B | +15% | +125% | -20% | +28% | 16.79 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 6.92 | 550.72 | 1.30 | 42.68% | 9.60% | 8.34% | 8.14% | -50.69% | 0.64% | 0.11 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 0.05 | -4.41 | 305.00% | 1967.00% | -1502.00% | 37.48% | 0.05 | -318.95% | 0.42% | 7.00% | 0.42% | 8.72 | 1.60 | 0.84 | -0.79 |
| MBIN | Merchants Bancorp | $42.28 | 1.94B | +86% | -48% | +28% | -69% | 9.09 | 0.87 | 1.46 | 18.77 | — | 0.88 | 41.29% | 19.32% | 16.02% | 9.67% | 3.89% | 1.14% | 1.68 | 0.39 | 1.61 | 1.61 | 14.51 | -4000.00% | -565.00% | -6003.00% | -17.16% | -0.05 | -6.06% | 2.99% | 27.20% | 4.63% | 18.77 | -14.51 | 3.63 | 0.57 |
| NBHC | National Bank Holdings Co… | $39.99 | 1.51B | -21% | -17% | -39% | -54% | 14.17 | 1.12 | 2.66 | 4.13 | — | 1.51 | 69.18% | 24.44% | 18.76% | 8.15% | 18.22% | 1.11% | 0.05 | 0.83 | 0.27 | 0.27 | -2.10 | -747.00% | -175.00% | 979.00% | 8.53% | 0.05 | 20.63% | 2.97% | 42.00% | 25.88% | 4.76 | 5.13 | 1.16 | -0.01 |
| SRCE | 1st Source Corporation | $67.01 | 1.64B | -46% | +37% | -14% | +27% | 10.45 | 1.30 | 2.76 | 1.88 | 50.93 | 1.39 | 70.32% | 34.18% | 26.38% | 13.27% | 72.43% | 1.76% | 0.27 | 1.23 | 12.62 | 12.62 | 1.27 | 2052.00% | 520.00% | 1771.00% | 12.91% | 1.77 | 97.42% | 2.32% | 24.30% | 3.16% | 1.97 | 1.89 | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| STBA | S&T Bancorp, Inc. | $41.81 | 1.6B | -9% | -13% | -40% | -28% | 12.34 | 1.13 | 2.91 | 11.44 | 466.07 | 1.52 | 69.43% | 29.54% | 23.61% | 9.44% | 12.62% | 1.37% | 0.18 | 1.01 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 1.58 | 265.00% | 63.00% | -2437.00% | 7.78% | 0.03 | 12.11% | 3.19% | 39.40% | 5.38% | 11.44 | 14.91 | 3.38 | -0.39 |
| STEL | Stellar Bancorp, Inc. | $37.66 | 1.93B | +27% | -9% | -14% | -80% | 19.06 | 1.18 | 3.29 | -2.28 | — | 1.78 | 69.31% | 21.43% | 17.25% | 6.28% | -20.51% | 0.95% | 0.02 | 0.74 | 0.02 | 0.42 | -2.97 | -744.00% | -467.00% | -2419.00% | 4.95% | 0.02 | -19.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -2.28 | -3.01 | -0.49 | -0.30 |
About TriCo Bancshares
TriCo Bancshares operates as a bank holding company for Tri Counties Bank that provides commercial banking services to individual and corporate customers. The company accepts demand, savings, and time deposits. It also provides small business loans; real estate mortgage loans, such as residential and commercial loans; consumer loans; commercial loans, including agricultural loans; and real estate construction loans. In addition, the company offers treasury management services; and other customary banking services, including safe deposit boxes; and independent financial and broker-dealer services. It operates 61 traditional branches, 7 in-store branches, and 7 loan production offices in 31 counties throughout California. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Chico, California.
- CEO
- Richard Smith
- Employees
- 1.19K
- Beta
- 0.63
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($39.91 ÷ $50.61) − 1 = -21.14% (DCF, example).