US · ABR
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
- Sector
- Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
- Headquarters
- Uniondale, NY 11553
- Website
- arbor.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$7.93
Market cap 1.55B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $40.65 | +412.61% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $17.33 | +118.54% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $17.64 | +122.46% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $1.48 | $1,657.15 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $2.43 | $2,632.38 | $0.00 | $7.03 | $18.31 |
| 2013 | $2.18 | $26.18 | $3.95 | $3.84 | $41.61 |
| 2014 | $2.40 | $16.76 | $0.38 | $10.04 | $32.48 |
| 2015 | $2.46 | $20.09 | $1.95 | $5.43 | $3.12 |
| 2016 | $3.10 | $261.65 | $5.33 | $2.94 | $96.22 |
| 2017 | $3.82 | $197.65 | $4.61 | $3.25 | $82.09 |
| 2018 | $6.23 | $136.13 | $4.75 | $3.19 | $56.67 |
| 2019 | $6.48 | $47.81 | $0.00 | $0.43 | $20.54 |
| 2020 | $9.94 | $58.75 | $1.97 | $0.00 | $38.36 |
| 2021 | $11.25 | $59.43 | $0.00 | $4.73 | $139.16 |
| 2022 | $9.13 | $66.03 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $13.76 |
| 2023 | $10.39 | $60.64 | $2.41 | $0.00 | $35.60 |
| 2024 | $10.82 | $37.46 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $8.59 | $40.65 | $18.12 | $17.64 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.'s (ABR) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $40.65
- Current price
- $7.93
- AI upside
- +412.61%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$17.33
+118.54% upside
Graham-Dodd
$17.64
+122.46% upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. | $7.93 | 1.55B | +413% | +119% | +122% | — | 10.50 | 0.56 | 15.12 | 1.36 | — | 0.58 | -58.87% | 19.47% | 98.00% | 5.28% | 0.28% | 1.13% | 0.00 | 0.03 | — | — | -0.56 | -5254.00% | -8253.00% | -1931.00% | 22.47% | — | 4.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 604.87% | 55.02 | 3.15 | 10.72 | 0.13 |
| ADC | Agree Realty Corporation | $80.48 | 9.66B | -40% | -60% | -77% | -45% | 43.82 | 1.43 | 12.50 | 19.97 | — | 1.70 | 87.73% | 47.38% | 28.45% | 3.48% | 3.76% | 2.24% | 0.53 | 2.53 | 0.83 | 0.81 | 5.41 | -56.00% | 1642.00% | 1671.00% | 5.61% | 2.94 | 5.62% | 3.87% | 169.80% | 3.92% | 36.20 | 24.44 | 17.15 | 1.62 |
| ARI | Apollo Commercial Real Es… | $10.60 | 1.48B | +222% | -28% | -87% | -20% | 11.69 | 0.80 | 2.09 | 15.48 | — | 0.80 | 80.05% | 65.36% | 17.84% | 6.79% | 5.27% | 1.38% | 4.27 | 1.01 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 13.00 | -18351.00% | 128.00% | 3759.00% | 2.86% | 0.20 | 0.48% | 10.36% | 121.20% | 10.36% | 19.94 | 218.85 | 13.03 | 0.16 |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT, … | $17.95 | 2.01B | +1,612% | -22% | — | +8,183% | 7.93 | 0.74 | 1.29 | 20.27 | — | 0.74 | 97.02% | 73.91% | 24.72% | 11.69% | 9.00% | 1.23% | 7.94 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 18.53 | -74706.00% | 44408.00% | -5250.00% | 7.40% | 0.01 | 1.16% | 16.89% | 133.90% | 18.08% | 20.27 | 157.46 | 14.98 | -0.96 |
| DX | Dynex Capital, Inc. | $14.03 | 2.06B | +766% | -52% | +133% | +613% | 5.40 | 0.70 | 4.10 | 19.92 | 8.20 | 0.70 | 100.00% | 175.59% | 75.89% | 17.50% | 6.46% | 2.50% | 5.65 | 1.76 | — | — | 17.59 | 6577.00% | 3220.00% | 73950.00% | 7.02% | — | 1.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.92 | 121.70 | 34.97 | 0.27 |
| EFC | Ellington Financial Inc. | $12.42 | 1.18B | -33% | -61% | — | +139% | 7.15 | 0.67 | 3.76 | — | 13.12 | 0.69 | 100.00% | 41.20% | 51.69% | 9.59% | 1.45% | 0.94% | 0.00 | 0.42 | — | — | — | 5455.00% | 1001.00% | 7801.00% | -40.63% | — | -5.38% | 15.43% | 110.40% | 1272.46% | 7.46 | -2.01 | 3.07 | 0.05 |
| FBRT | Franklin BSP Realty Trust… | $9.13 | 745.07M | +400% | -59% | +147% | +2% | 9.42 | 0.51 | 1.40 | 12.52 | — | 0.59 | 91.96% | 68.52% | 14.82% | 5.41% | 6.78% | 1.36% | 2.77 | 1.32 | 1.22 | 24.38 | 10.51 | -2195.00% | 112.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.59% | 12.70 | — | 8.70 | 0.32 |
| LADR | Ladder Capital Corp | $10.37 | 1.32B | +157% | -57% | -97% | — | 20.63 | 0.89 | 3.35 | 17.63 | — | 1.68 | 71.77% | 62.04% | 16.36% | 4.22% | 5.55% | 1.27% | 2.37 | 1.39 | 0.50 | 20.40 | 12.79 | -4070.00% | -2326.00% | -3502.00% | 6.62% | 0.80 | 2.09% | 8.94% | 184.30% | 9.83% | 19.67 | 55.00 | 12.20 | 0.36 |
| PMT | PennyMac Mortgage Investm… | $12.26 | 1.07B | +1,511% | -50% | — | +2,817% | 8.29 | 0.56 | 0.61 | 20.42 | — | -0.60 | 91.61% | 78.96% | 7.33% | 6.68% | 5.31% | 0.72% | 10.12 | 1.58 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 19.52 | -2774.00% | 24581.00% | -10521.00% | 13.42% | 0.02 | 0.86% | 17.09% | 141.70% | 17.19% | 14.29 | 138.40 | 11.29 | -0.15 |
| TRTX | TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc… | $8.46 | 662.87M | +278% | -60% | -100% | +1,033% | 11.21 | 0.63 | 2.03 | 2.24 | — | 0.63 | 79.30% | 72.97% | 18.14% | 5.53% | 10.78% | 1.48% | 0.00 | 1.28 | 60.19 | 60.19 | -0.33 | -2597.00% | 12325.00% | -1540.00% | 13.36% | 46.58 | 4.04% | 13.47% | 151.00% | 381.82% | 2.43 | 6.52 | 1.77 | 0.20 |
About Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. invests in a diversified portfolio of structured finance assets in the multifamily, single-family rental, and commercial real estate markets in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Structured Business and Agency Business. It primarily invests in bridge and mezzanine loans, including junior participating interests in first mortgages, and preferred and direct equity, as well as real estate-related joint ventures, real estate-related notes, and various mortgage-related securities. The company offers bridge financing products to borrowers who seek short-term capital to be used in an acquisition of property; financing by making preferred equity investments in entities that directly or indirectly own real property; mezzanine financing in the form of loans that are subordinate to a conventional first mortgage loan and senior to the borrower's equity in a transaction; junior participation financing in the form of a junior participating interest in the senior debt; and financing products to borrowers who are looking to acquire conventional, workforce, and affordable single-family housing. Further, it underwrites, originates, sells, and services multifamily mortgage loans through conduit/commercial mortgage-backed securities programs. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Uniondale, New York.
- CEO
- Ivan Paul Kaufman
- Employees
- 659
- Beta
- 0.61
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($17.33 ÷ $7.93) − 1 = +118.54% (DCF, example).