US · CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Trucking
- Headquarters
- Chattanooga, TN 37419
- Website
- covenantlogistics.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$33.68
Market cap 739.03M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $44.85 | +33.17% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $18.26 | -45.78% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $13.31 | -60.5% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $3.18 | -90.55% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $1.58 | $60.19 | $0.00 | $0.54 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $3.08 | $14.83 | $0.00 | $4.24 | $2.34 |
| 2013 | $5.51 | $28.52 | $0.00 | $4.27 | $1.71 |
| 2014 | $17.52 | $25.51 | $0.00 | $8.47 | $7.54 |
| 2015 | $10.39 | $25.43 | $0.00 | $11.37 | $10.32 |
| 2016 | $9.04 | $22.73 | $0.00 | $8.82 | $0.49 |
| 2017 | $13.20 | $28.48 | $0.00 | $15.66 | $19.87 |
| 2018 | $10.74 | $22.56 | $2.37 | $14.02 | $37.80 |
| 2019 | $5.75 | $26.92 | $0.00 | $9.49 | $1.87 |
| 2020 | $10.14 | $36.37 | $0.00 | $0.99 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $10.54 | $29.36 | $0.00 | $18.18 | $57.56 |
| 2022 | $17.24 | $39.09 | $84.90 | $26.59 | $86.25 |
| 2023 | $22.48 | $57.34 | $0.00 | $19.82 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $24.43 | $38.93 | $0.00 | $17.18 | $14.50 |
| 2025 | $29.71 | $44.85 | $9.94 | $13.30 | $3.18 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.'s (CVLG) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $44.85
- Current price
- $33.68
- AI upside
- +33.17%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$18.26
-45.78% upside
Graham-Dodd
$13.31
-60.5% upside
Graham Formula
$3.18
-90.55% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| CVLG | Covenant Logistics Group,… | $33.68 | 739.03M | +33% | -46% | -60% | -91% | 102.64 | 1.84 | 0.64 | 3.95 | — | 1.84 | 8.01% | 1.20% | 0.62% | 1.72% | 2.73% | 0.71% | 0.00 | 1.16 | 2.39 | 2.39 | -2.62 | -7923.00% | 292.00% | -47796.00% | 15.29% | 0.92 | 28.15% | 0.96% | 98.90% | 80.92% | 31.97 | 3.93 | 0.38 | 2.05 |
| ASC | Ardmore Shipping Corporat… | $16.38 | 667.18M | +161% | -46% | -20% | — | 18.99 | 1.23 | 2.51 | 10.62 | — | 1.23 | 34.21% | 26.12% | 13.22% | 6.46% | 11.94% | 5.49% | 0.20 | 13.26 | 4.33 | 3.65 | 1.01 | -7124.00% | -2356.00% | -13930.00% | -5.02% | 3.16 | -5.79% | 1.97% | 37.40% | 1.97% | 10.62 | -22.03 | 2.78 | 4.22 |
| BXC | BlueLinx Holdings Inc. | $65.92 | 518.46M | — | -61% | +6% | -100% | 2336.84 | 0.83 | 0.17 | 11.05 | — | 1.10 | 15.29% | 1.10% | 0.01% | — | — | — | 1.09 | 1.00 | 4.66 | 2.86 | 3.98 | — | — | — | 6.42% | 0.28 | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.95% | 24.63 | 24.35 | 0.27 | 3.38 |
| BYRN | Byrna Technologies Inc. | $12.78 | 289.74M | +713% | +1,090% | -61% | +48% | 34.37 | 5.06 | 2.82 | 23.16 | — | 5.51 | 60.51% | 10.02% | 8.20% | 16.13% | 22.84% | 12.39% | 0.06 | — | 3.73 | 1.54 | -0.70 | -2727.00% | 3774.00% | -19790.00% | -2.76% | -0.09 | -21.51% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.33% | 27.15 | -34.96 | 2.72 | 12.41 |
| CASS | Cass Information Systems,… | $44.38 | 580.68M | +173% | -42% | -32% | — | 16.87 | 2.44 | 3.10 | -14.72 | 19.22 | 2.66 | 100.00% | 20.28% | 18.38% | 14.88% | -6.02% | 1.40% | 0.00 | — | 1.10 | 1.10 | -10.12 | 8777.00% | -1310.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.43% | -14.72 | — | -2.99 | 0.41 |
| CODI | Compass Diversified | $7.49 | 563.52M | +327% | -61% | — | — | — | 1.25 | 0.29 | -19.30 | — | -0.41 | 43.47% | 2.28% | -12.08% | 0.00% | 1.33% | 0.00% | 4.25 | 0.24 | 2.42 | 0.77 | -14.79 | -142609.00% | 479.00% | -5887.00% | -9.29% | -0.02 | -1.60% | 0.00% | — | 302.26% | 55.37 | -46.14 | 1.26 | 0.39 |
| HTLD | Heartland Express, Inc. | $11.03 | 854.25M | +153% | -60% | -80% | -15% | -16.50 | 1.15 | 1.07 | 9.83 | -21.61 | 2.38 | -0.95% | -7.68% | -6.51% | -6.65% | -6.46% | -4.15% | 0.21 | -5.38 | 1.04 | 0.85 | 1.39 | 7632.00% | -2308.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.11% | -16.30 | — | 1.25 | 2.83 |
| KFRC | Kforce Inc. | $27.02 | 490.17M | +131% | -61% | — | -79% | 13.50 | 3.77 | 0.35 | 10.24 | — | 4.72 | 26.77% | 3.77% | 2.62% | 24.94% | 18.85% | 9.63% | 0.56 | — | 1.78 | 1.69 | 1.29 | -2519.00% | -543.00% | -4098.00% | 9.96% | 0.54 | 23.75% | 5.85% | 78.90% | 16.68% | 10.74 | 11.49 | 0.40 | 7.66 |
| SB | Safe Bulkers, Inc. | $6.56 | 671.27M | +164% | -58% | +24% | +120% | 4.04 | 0.47 | 1.28 | 4.21 | 11.20 | 0.47 | 45.56% | 36.37% | 31.65% | 11.99% | 9.13% | 7.10% | 0.65 | 3.20 | 1.91 | 1.66 | 2.38 | 3607.00% | 817.00% | -8352.00% | -3.64% | 1.51 | -1.17% | 7.50% | 30.30% | 16.16% | 7.16 | -55.99 | 2.61 | 1.47 |
| ULH | Universal Logistics Holdi… | $16.63 | 437.87M | +193% | -34% | +111% | +454% | 5.56 | 1.12 | 0.39 | 4.60 | 14.01 | 2.50 | 17.11% | 11.00% | 7.04% | 22.03% | 12.45% | 8.55% | 1.30 | 5.89 | 1.35 | 1.27 | 2.46 | 3966.00% | 1106.00% | 35939.00% | -19.28% | 0.37 | -11.42% | 1.53% | 8.50% | 1.55% | 7.53 | -10.99 | 0.83 | 2.35 |
About Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation and logistics services in the United States. It operates through four segments: Expedited, Dedicated, Managed Freight, and Warehousing. The Expedited segment primarily provides truckload services with high service freight and delivery standards, such as 1,000 miles in 22 hours or 15-minute delivery windows. The Dedicated segment provides customers with committed truckload capacity over contracted periods using equipment either owned or leased by the company. The Managed Freight segment offers brokerage services, including logistics capacity by outsourcing the carriage of customers' freight to third parties; and transport management services, such as logistics services on a contractual basis to customers who prefer to outsource their logistics needs. The Warehousing segment provides day-to-day warehouse management services to customers. The segment also provides shuttle and switching services to shuttling containers and trailers. The company also engages in used equipment sales and leasing business. It serves transportation companies, such as parcel freight forwarders, less-than-truckload carriers, and third-party logistics providers; and traditional truckload customers, including manufacturers, retailers, and food and beverage shippers. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 2,291 tractors and 5,331 trailers. The company was formerly known as Covenant Transportation Group, Inc. and changed its name to Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. in July 2020. Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is based in Chattanooga, Tennessee.
- CEO
- David Ray Parker
- Employees
- 3.1K
- Beta
- 1.20
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($18.26 ÷ $33.68) − 1 = -45.78% (DCF, example).