US · DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation
- Sector
- Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
- Headquarters
- Dallas, TX 75201
- Website
- hfsinclair.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$69.17
Market cap 9.36B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $23.30 | -66.31% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $33.67 | -51.32% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $34.88 | -49.57% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $7.43 | -89.27% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $20.13 | $43.23 | $17,672.71 | $30.50 | $581.22 |
| 2012 | $34.04 | $72.75 | $29,940.76 | $12.08 | $311.44 |
| 2013 | $30.46 | $23.25 | $4,980.26 | $0.00 | $31.26 |
| 2014 | $27.15 | $13.64 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $8.87 |
| 2015 | $25.96 | $18.70 | $0.00 | $15.46 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $20.59 | $8.24 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $16.84 |
| 2017 | $36.31 | $21.92 | $0.00 | $20.55 | $191.09 |
| 2018 | $38.87 | $35.51 | $5.17 | $32.33 | $197.43 |
| 2019 | $23.47 | $18.78 | $0.00 | $24.59 | $32.43 |
| 2020 | $35.38 | $14.15 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $97.67 |
| 2021 | $30.76 | $12.30 | $172.92 | $32.73 | $239.48 |
| 2022 | $43.46 | $117.45 | $87,582.33 | $84.12 | $1,605.05 |
| 2023 | $51.99 | $42.97 | $37,388.40 | $52.77 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $30.58 | $12.23 | $2,955.99 | $7.27 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $53.81 | $23.30 | $20.35 | $34.88 | $7.42 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates HF Sinclair Corporation's (DINO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $23.30
- Current price
- $69.17
- AI upside
- -66.31%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$33.67
-51.32% upside
Graham-Dodd
$34.88
-49.57% upside
Graham Formula
$7.43
-89.27% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corporation | $69.17 | 9.36B | -66% | -51% | -50% | -89% | 17.33 | 1.08 | 0.37 | 6.36 | 7.17 | 1.08 | 5.18% | 3.48% | 2.15% | 6.25% | 6.63% | 3.49% | 0.30 | 4.31 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.96 | 24176.00% | -599.00% | 3531.00% | 8.63% | 0.29 | 7.66% | 3.75% | 64.90% | 8.80% | 12.63 | 13.65 | 0.44 | 2.39 |
| AM | Antero Midstream Corporat… | $22.48 | 10.71B | +25% | -58% | — | -43% | 26.50 | 5.55 | 8.70 | 14.93 | 733.17 | 12.19 | 65.30% | 51.20% | 32.81% | 20.22% | 9.21% | 7.02% | 1.63 | 3.39 | 3.41 | 2.60 | 3.25 | 361.00% | 699.00% | 2802.00% | 7.03% | 8.36 | 15.03% | 4.01% | 106.30% | 5.93% | 21.70 | 18.17 | 11.11 | 2.31 |
| APA | APA Corporation | $30.37 | 10.77B | +184% | -21% | +68% | -99% | 7.93 | 1.02 | 1.28 | 2.79 | 10.58 | 1.02 | 37.32% | 30.83% | 16.08% | 17.48% | 12.97% | 7.72% | 0.38 | 24.34 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.69 | 7500.00% | -839.00% | 13134.00% | 15.64% | 1.93 | 13.84% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 15.58% | 5.51 | 8.51 | 1.70 | 2.08 |
| AR | Antero Resources Corporat… | $36.81 | 11.36B | -24% | -57% | -6% | +94% | 18.10 | 1.52 | 2.18 | 9.69 | 1.76 | 1.52 | 22.24% | 17.83% | 12.03% | 8.71% | 6.06% | 4.65% | 0.68 | 11.24 | 0.55 | 0.48 | 2.91 | 102778.00% | 2809.00% | 6634.00% | 10.82% | 1.08 | 10.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.19% | 17.45 | 13.20 | 3.11 | 1.74 |
| DTM | DT Midstream, Inc. | $138.84 | 14.12B | -34% | -59% | -91% | +6% | 32.58 | 3.03 | 11.56 | 17.14 | 141.33 | 6.87 | 73.53% | 49.40% | 35.48% | 9.42% | 5.77% | 4.35% | 0.72 | 3.81 | 1.07 | 0.82 | 3.24 | 2306.00% | 2671.00% | 1864.00% | 3.41% | 3.09 | 6.06% | 2.25% | 73.50% | 2.97% | 28.86 | 36.16 | 14.26 | 2.01 |
| NFG | National Fuel Gas Company | $91.03 | 8.65B | -19% | -62% | -65% | +55% | 14.18 | 2.38 | 3.23 | 7.76 | 2.46 | 2.38 | 66.13% | 35.72% | 22.77% | 17.45% | 10.59% | 6.09% | 0.92 | 5.22 | 0.44 | 0.29 | 2.14 | 57619.00% | 1711.00% | 3895.00% | 2.55% | 1.19 | 3.26% | 2.56% | 36.30% | 3.37% | 12.47 | 54.18 | 4.45 | 1.61 |
| OVV | Ovintiv Inc. | $50.59 | 14.33B | +68% | -43% | -22% | -64% | 10.80 | 1.20 | 1.54 | 6.16 | 79.78 | 1.56 | 28.57% | 21.65% | 14.22% | 11.54% | 10.80% | 6.27% | 0.67 | 5.03 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 2.24 | 1354.00% | -455.00% | 614.00% | 11.22% | 1.31 | 8.59% | 2.30% | 24.80% | 4.58% | 10.93 | 13.73 | 2.37 | 1.70 |
| PAA | Plains All American Pipel… | $20.91 | 14.75B | -10% | -50% | +16% | — | 10.47 | 1.53 | 0.34 | 9.26 | 8.22 | 1.86 | 6.04% | 3.24% | 3.24% | 14.61% | 8.39% | 5.06% | 1.15 | 2.59 | 0.96 | 1.76 | 2.82 | 12740.00% | -1161.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.60 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.77% | 15.06 | — | 0.49 | 2.14 |
| PR | Permian Resources Corpora… | $18.29 | 13.62B | +152% | -54% | -37% | -34% | 12.24 | 1.31 | 2.66 | 3.63 | — | 1.31 | 32.72% | 29.04% | 18.46% | 11.32% | 10.06% | 6.31% | 0.01 | 5.20 | 0.78 | 0.59 | -0.01 | -1172.00% | 129.00% | 9133.00% | 4.14% | 2.15 | 4.80% | 3.33% | 40.70% | 32.47% | 9.13 | 24.10 | 2.65 | 1.92 |
| RRC | Range Resources Corporati… | $41.28 | 9.78B | +15% | -50% | -36% | +131% | 15.14 | 2.31 | 3.33 | 8.41 | 10.00 | 2.31 | 34.08% | 27.91% | 21.98% | 15.94% | 11.98% | 8.91% | 0.29 | 7.97 | 0.67 | 0.54 | 0.95 | 15138.00% | 2756.00% | 8670.00% | 5.92% | 1.77 | 10.69% | 0.86% | 13.00% | 5.69% | 13.44 | 19.04 | 3.75 | 2.50 |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | $63.79 | 8.71B | +49% | +3,907% | — | +13% | 16.58 | 1.09 | 0.35 | 13.18 | — | 3.40 | 8.35% | 3.69% | 2.09% | 8.73% | 4.72% | 2.47% | 2.01 | 1.72 | 1.38 | 0.72 | 8.37 | -3900.00% | 1105.00% | 20000.00% | 7.04% | 0.30 | 3.49% | 7.52% | 124.70% | 7.52% | 25.79 | 38.95 | 0.95 | 1.32 |
About HF Sinclair Corporation
HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company. It produces and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, specialty and modified asphalt, and others. The company also owns and operates refineries located in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming; and markets its refined products principally in the Southwest United States and Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and in other neighboring Plains states. In addition, it supplies fuels to approximately 1,300 independent Sinclair-branded stations and licenses the use of the Sinclair brand at approximately 300 additional locations, as well as engages in the growing renewables business. Further, the company produces base oils and other specialized lubricants; and provides petroleum product and crude oil transportation, terminalling, storage, and throughput services to the petroleum industry. HF Sinclair Corporation was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
- CEO
- Franklin Myers
- Employees
- 5.3K
- Beta
- 0.81
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($33.67 ÷ $69.17) − 1 = -51.32% (DCF, example).