US · ORC
Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
- Sector
- Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
- Headquarters
- Vero Beach, FL 32963
- Website
- orchidislandcapital.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$7.08
Market cap 1.13B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $114.90 | +1,522.88% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $5.17 | -26.98% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $282.77 | +3,893.87% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $11.71 | $0.00 | |||
| 2012 | $8.71 | $35,432.62 | $10.18 | $26.03 | $17.96 |
| 2013 | $8.91 | $377.24 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $10.95 | $2,312.46 | $0.00 | $0.52 | $4,042.00 |
| 2015 | $9.55 | $447.28 | $2,522,365.90 | $0.00 | $26.11 |
| 2016 | $10.74 | $60.15 | $27,917.20 | $0.00 | $16.61 |
| 2017 | $9.38 | $37.84 | $105.70 | $0.00 | $14.42 |
| 2018 | $10.15 | $269.58 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $6.10 |
| 2019 | $10.51 | $481.64 | $21.93 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $12.24 | $394.10 | $18.49 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $8.35 | $183.03 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $1,240.73 |
| 2022 | $5.82 | $36.61 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |
| 2023 | $6.02 | $14.07 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |
| 2024 | $7.05 | $18.10 | $48.49 | $0.00 | |
| 2025 | $7.46 | $114.90 | $4.59 | $0.00 | $282.77 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s (ORC) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $114.90
- Current price
- $7.08
- AI upside
- +1,522.88%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$5.17
-26.98% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$282.77
+3,893.87% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ORC | Orchid Island Capital, In… | $7.08 | 1.13B | +1,523% | -27% | — | +3,894% | 6.02 | 0.70 | 5.33 | 22.54 | 5.29 | 0.70 | 97.78% | 88.59% | 88.59% | 15.59% | 2.83% | 1.83% | 7.47 | 0.52 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 20.48 | 11379.00% | 22995.00% | 7980.00% | 12.58% | 0.01 | 2.14% | 18.69% | 112.50% | 18.69% | 65.88 | 86.98 | 58.36 | -0.86 |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT, … | $17.95 | 2.01B | +1,612% | -22% | — | +8,183% | 7.93 | 0.74 | 1.29 | 20.27 | — | 0.74 | 97.02% | 73.91% | 24.72% | 11.69% | 9.00% | 1.23% | 7.94 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 18.53 | -74706.00% | 44408.00% | -5250.00% | 7.40% | 0.01 | 1.16% | 16.89% | 133.90% | 18.08% | 20.27 | 157.46 | 14.98 | -0.96 |
| DX | Dynex Capital, Inc. | $14.03 | 2.06B | +766% | -52% | +133% | +613% | 5.40 | 0.70 | 4.10 | 19.92 | 8.20 | 0.70 | 100.00% | 175.59% | 75.89% | 17.50% | 6.46% | 2.50% | 5.65 | 1.76 | — | — | 17.59 | 6577.00% | 3220.00% | 73950.00% | 7.02% | — | 1.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.92 | 121.70 | 34.97 | 0.27 |
| EARN | Ellington Credit Company | $4.89 | 183.72M | +1,390% | +26% | — | -100% | 22.55 | 0.77 | 2.93 | 95.78 | — | 0.77 | 31.34% | 14.00% | 13.00% | 3.99% | 0.85% | 0.74% | 2.91 | 0.20 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 74.85 | -2258.00% | -845.00% | -19092.00% | 6.14% | 0.02 | 1.17% | 14.96% | 337.30% | 122.60% | 95.78 | 74.59 | 13.41 | -0.79 |
| EFC | Ellington Financial Inc. | $12.42 | 1.18B | -33% | -61% | — | +139% | 7.15 | 0.67 | 3.76 | — | 13.12 | 0.69 | 100.00% | 41.20% | 51.69% | 9.59% | 1.45% | 0.94% | 0.00 | 0.42 | — | — | — | 5455.00% | 1001.00% | 7801.00% | -40.63% | — | -5.38% | 15.43% | 110.40% | 1272.46% | 7.46 | -2.01 | 3.07 | 0.05 |
| OXLC | Oxford Lane Capital Corp. | $8.39 | 814.74M | -3% | +59% | — | — | 32.95 | 0.82 | 16.67 | 36.90 | — | 0.82 | 59.84% | 50.60% | 50.60% | 3.10% | 2.79% | 2.11% | 0.25 | 1.26 | 220.74 | 220.74 | 3.95 | -9046.00% | -6574.00% | 46852.00% | -44.08% | -485.50 | -40.54% | 19.32% | 636.70% | 19.32% | 36.90 | -2.54 | 18.67 | 0.98 |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investment Co… | $10.33 | 1.09B | +746% | +219% | — | — | -2.34 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 5.39 | — | -1.68 | 98.66% | 44.15% | -47.70% | -23.24% | 14.27% | -3.94% | 4.79 | 0.86 | 0.19 | 0.97 | 18.36 | -28397.00% | 1260.00% | -11734.00% | -1.42% | 0.01 | -0.51% | 20.91% | -49.00% | 21.08% | 5.39 | -150.52 | 2.38 | -1.01 |
About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company's RMBS is backed by single-family residential mortgage loans, referred as Agency RMBS. Its portfolio includes traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations; and structured Agency RMBS comprising interest only securities, inverse interest only securities, and principal only securities. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.
- CEO
- Robert E. Cauley
- Employees
- 0
- Beta
- 1.67
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($5.17 ÷ $7.08) − 1 = -26.98% (DCF, example).