US · FOR
Forestar Group Inc.
- Sector
- Real Estate · Real Estate - Development
- Headquarters
- Arlington, TX 76006
- Website
- forestar.com
Price · as of 2025-09-30
$27.50
Market cap 1.46B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $36.20 | +31.64% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $29.51 | +7.31% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $51.23 | +86.28% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $59.00 | +114.55% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $15.72 | $32.20 | $0.00 | $15.29 | $8.17 |
| 2012 | $21.12 | $79.92 | $1.77 | $15.12 | $12.62 |
| 2013 | $19.62 | $223.70 | $94.85 | $22.39 | $79.54 |
| 2014 | $15.64 | $41.49 | $49.34 | $20.58 | $0.49 |
| 2015 | $11.46 | $94.11 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $35.29 |
| 2016 | $12.95 | $50.81 | $16.17 | $23.62 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $23.90 | $78.19 | $7.64 | $20.30 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $14.57 | $61.67 | $11.42 | $27.76 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $19.77 | $48.20 | $1,449.43 | $22.77 | $239.67 |
| 2020 | $19.52 | $44.99 | $139,916.08 | $24.46 | $152.66 |
| 2021 | $21.34 | $22.62 | $278,888.25 | $32.02 | $109.28 |
| 2022 | $15.31 | $74.81 | $19,891.55 | $42.00 | $79.30 |
| 2023 | $31.41 | $55.13 | $837.73 | $44.08 | $9.90 |
| 2024 | $28.34 | $83.33 | $220.38 | $51.81 | $52.11 |
| 2025 | $26.06 | $36.20 | $31.81 | $51.23 | $59.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Forestar Group Inc.'s (FOR) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $36.20
- Current price
- $27.50
- AI upside
- +31.64%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$29.51
+7.31% upside
Graham-Dodd
$51.23
+86.28% upside
Graham Formula
$59.00
+114.55% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| FOR | Forestar Group Inc. | $27.50 | 1.46B | +32% | +7% | +86% | +115% | 7.90 | 0.75 | 0.80 | 7.92 | — | 0.75 | 21.87% | 12.58% | 10.10% | 9.99% | 7.93% | 5.62% | 0.46 | — | 0.94 | 0.91 | 1.97 | -1775.00% | 1014.00% | 2447.00% | -15.07% | -0.45 | -9.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.14% | 8.44 | -8.83 | 1.06 | 1.79 |
| ARI | Apollo Commercial Real Es… | $10.60 | 1.48B | +222% | -28% | -87% | -20% | 11.69 | 0.80 | 2.09 | 15.48 | — | 0.80 | 80.05% | 65.36% | 17.84% | 6.79% | 5.27% | 1.38% | 4.27 | 1.01 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 13.00 | -18351.00% | 128.00% | 3759.00% | 2.86% | 0.20 | 0.48% | 10.36% | 121.20% | 10.36% | 19.94 | 218.85 | 13.03 | 0.16 |
| EFC | Ellington Financial Inc. | $12.42 | 1.18B | -33% | -61% | — | +139% | 7.15 | 0.67 | 3.76 | — | 13.12 | 0.69 | 100.00% | 41.20% | 51.69% | 9.59% | 1.45% | 0.94% | 0.00 | 0.42 | — | — | — | 5455.00% | 1001.00% | 7801.00% | -40.63% | — | -5.38% | 15.43% | 110.40% | 1272.46% | 7.46 | -2.01 | 3.07 | 0.05 |
| HBNB | Hotel101 Global Holdings … | $8.12 | 1.9B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43.34% | -81.55% | -108.70% | -245.56% | 97.57% | -9.80% | 0.78 | -2.95 | 0.94 | 0.20 | 3.30 | — | 41629958.00% | -7830.00% | — | -0.09 | 151.41% | — | 0.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| HOUS | Anywhere Real Estate Inc. | $17.64 | 1.98B | -12% | -91% | — | — | -3.05 | 0.25 | 0.07 | 12.70 | -9.95 | -0.37 | 34.68% | 1.12% | -2.25% | -7.83% | 1.37% | -2.21% | 1.95 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.27 | 11.22 | 3068.00% | 99.00% | -7739.00% | 6.71% | 0.07 | 0.57% | 0.77% | -2.40% | 18.83% | 51.98 | 127.95 | 0.58 | 0.13 |
| IIPR | Innovative Industrial Pro… | $52.96 | 1.49B | -8% | -23% | +62% | — | 13.14 | 0.81 | 5.65 | 8.86 | — | 0.82 | 88.65% | 46.67% | 43.03% | 6.05% | 5.80% | 4.82% | 0.21 | 6.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 1.66 | -2880.00% | -1380.00% | -3238.00% | 11.62% | 0.62 | 8.16% | 0.05% | 0.70% | 1.39% | 14.90 | 10.58 | 6.95 | 1.69 |
| KREF | KKR Real Estate Finance T… | $6.95 | 455.15M | +603% | -0% | — | +39% | -9.59 | 0.41 | 1.06 | 18.53 | — | 0.41 | 88.30% | 59.31% | -10.27% | -4.01% | 4.54% | -0.79% | 4.00 | 0.84 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 16.76 | -65263.00% | -2272.00% | -4641.00% | 13.77% | 0.21 | 1.12% | 18.20% | -174.60% | 65.31% | 18.75 | 76.36 | 11.12 | 0.11 |
| LADR | Ladder Capital Corp | $10.37 | 1.32B | +157% | -57% | -97% | — | 20.63 | 0.89 | 3.35 | 17.63 | — | 1.68 | 71.77% | 62.04% | 16.36% | 4.22% | 5.55% | 1.27% | 2.37 | 1.39 | 0.50 | 20.40 | 12.79 | -4070.00% | -2326.00% | -3502.00% | 6.62% | 0.80 | 2.09% | 8.94% | 184.30% | 9.83% | 19.67 | 55.00 | 12.20 | 0.36 |
| SDHC | Smith Douglas Homes Corp. | $15.70 | 141.58M | +997% | +340% | — | +300% | 1.70 | 2.59 | 0.20 | 1.49 | — | 3.98 | 26.20% | 12.22% | 1.65% | 79.16% | 68.79% | 26.99% | 0.16 | 47.87 | 8.75 | 0.77 | -0.08 | -2458.00% | 2757.00% | -7966.00% | 8.00% | 0.40 | 9.20% | 20.98% | 35.70% | 58.83% | 1.51 | 11.82 | 0.18 | 5.40 |
| SILA | Sila Realty Trust, Inc. | $25.73 | 1.42B | +34% | -53% | +5% | -68% | 43.08 | 1.07 | 7.22 | 9.76 | — | 1.19 | 87.95% | 32.86% | 16.77% | 2.42% | 4.02% | 1.61% | 0.00 | 1.98 | — | — | -0.23 | -2000.00% | 572.00% | -825.00% | 8.35% | — | 7.39% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 38.96% | 21.48 | 11.70 | 7.06 | 1.35 |
| VRE | Veris Residential, Inc. | $18.85 | 1.76B | +117% | -33% | -13% | — | 23.39 | 1.53 | 216.16 | 2.13 | — | 1.53 | -3398.49% | -2836.40% | 924.20% | 6.68% | -17.13% | 2.64% | 1.19 | -2.61 | 0.08 | 6.29 | 5.41 | -42000.00% | -9700.00% | 1852.00% | 3.12% | 0.21 | 4.09% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17.79% | -2.30 | 9.68 | 65.35 | -0.44 |
About Forestar Group Inc.
Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. The acquires land and develops infrastructure for single-family residential communities. It sells its residential single-family finished lots to homebuilders. The company is headquartered in Arlington, Texas. Forestar Group Inc. is a subsidiary of D.R. Horton, Inc.
- CEO
- Anthony W. Oxley
- Employees
- 440
- Beta
- 1.44
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($29.51 ÷ $27.50) − 1 = +7.31% (DCF, example).