US · GSHD
Goosehead Insurance, Inc
- Sector
- Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified
- Headquarters
- Westlake, TX 76262
- Website
- goosehead.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$43.52
Market cap 2.07B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $138.06 | +217.23% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $39.66 | -8.87% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $26.33 | -39.5% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | $0.00 | $29.87 | |||
| 2018 | $24.36 | $79.73 | $385.32 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $56.00 | $78.93 | $66.78 | $0.00 | $8.56 |
| 2020 | $131.51 | $95.98 | $643.40 | $0.00 | $31.49 |
| 2021 | $63.05 | $66.21 | $122.31 | $0.00 | $10.21 |
| 2022 | $47.03 | $67.66 | $358.34 | $0.64 | $1.21 |
| 2023 | $75.04 | $74.51 | $263.61 | $5.32 | $18.82 |
| 2024 | $117.24 | $99.52 | $243.95 | $7.95 | $34.11 |
| 2025 | $55.33 | $138.06 | $41.90 | $0.00 | $26.33 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (GSHD) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $138.06
- Current price
- $43.52
- AI upside
- +217.23%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$39.66
-8.87% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$26.33
-39.5% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| GSHD | Goosehead Insurance, Inc | $43.52 | 2.07B | +217% | -9% | — | -40% | 31.09 | -14.47 | 3.78 | 20.38 | — | -10.22 | 46.25% | 20.38% | 7.62% | -172.24% | 31.25% | 10.94% | -4.22 | 3.13 | 7.60 | 20.55 | 4.30 | -1034.00% | 1615.00% | 2200.00% | 6.23% | 7.87 | 41.33% | 10.55% | 328.00% | 16.46% | 23.52 | 20.34 | 4.79 | 2.68 |
| ARX | Accelerant Holdings | $11.80 | 2.62B | — | — | -74% | +17% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57.46% | 5.51% | 4.65% | 6.23% | -4.16% | 0.46% | 0.30 | 1.69 | 9.69 | 9.27 | -14.17 | -14828.00% | 7961.00% | 19192.00% | — | 1.45 | -134.97% | — | 0.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| BHF | Brighthouse Financial, In… | $59.98 | 3.43B | +104% | -60% | +116% | +512% | 7.91 | 0.51 | 0.55 | 1.91 | 31.91 | 0.51 | 70.94% | 7.63% | 6.97% | 7.38% | 11.52% | 0.18% | 0.47 | 3.12 | — | — | -3.57 | 2478.00% | 4216.00% | -6483.00% | -2.98% | — | -2.68% | 2.98% | 23.60% | 15.94% | 2.52 | -11.69 | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| BOH | Bank of Hawaii Corporatio… | $75.77 | 3.01B | -33% | -3% | -62% | -10% | 15.04 | 1.67 | 2.86 | 7.17 | 44.87 | 1.70 | 67.44% | 26.75% | 19.00% | 11.70% | 57.25% | 0.86% | 0.05 | 0.83 | 11.00 | 11.00 | -2.73 | 3353.00% | 525.00% | 919.00% | 5.95% | 2.36 | 46.30% | 3.65% | 54.90% | 30.97% | 7.74 | 12.17 | 2.07 | 0.34 |
| CVBF | CVB Financial Corp. | $19.23 | 2.61B | +72% | -10% | -3% | -54% | 12.86 | 1.17 | 4.18 | 3.17 | 231.49 | 1.77 | 79.87% | 43.78% | 32.53% | 9.34% | 13.19% | 1.36% | 0.43 | 2.12 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 3.13 | 556.00% | -233.00% | -2007.00% | 7.26% | 0.02 | 12.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.17 | 4.56 | 1.39 | -0.48 |
| HCI | HCI Group, Inc. | $176.42 | 2.29B | +13% | +3,630% | +26% | +308% | 6.18 | 1.90 | 2.20 | 0.46 | 3.44 | 1.91 | 73.16% | 47.65% | 33.19% | 42.88% | -55.79% | 13.46% | 0.03 | 46.89 | 145.90 | 145.90 | -2.62 | 17975.00% | 2021.00% | 3560.00% | 22.44% | 34.77 | -77.40% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 42.01% | 0.48 | 0.46 | 0.23 | 2.97 |
| HG | Hamilton Insurance Group,… | $31.59 | 3.17B | +214% | +652% | +78% | +308% | 3.81 | 1.13 | 1.17 | 2.53 | 6.96 | 1.17 | 60.27% | 30.08% | 21.03% | 32.62% | 59.24% | 9.67% | 0.05 | 40.86 | 0.85 | 1.53 | -1.19 | 5477.00% | 1529.00% | 1094.00% | 26.31% | 0.61 | 60.50% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.01% | 2.64 | 2.59 | 0.79 | 1.08 |
| KMPR | Kemper Corporation | $32.32 | 1.9B | -18% | -60% | -52% | -17% | 14.05 | 0.75 | 0.42 | 10.35 | — | 2.60 | 29.68% | 3.35% | 2.99% | 5.24% | 4.05% | 1.14% | 0.35 | 4.17 | — | — | 2.99 | -5336.00% | 362.00% | 6800.00% | 27.51% | — | 16.92% | 3.95% | 55.50% | 44.20% | 17.62 | 5.11 | 0.59 | 0.79 |
About Goosehead Insurance, Inc
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. operates as a holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC that provides personal lines insurance agency services in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Corporate Channel and Franchise Channel. It offers homeowner's, insurance, automotive, dwelling property insurance, flood, wind, earthquake, excess liability or umbrella, motorcycle, recreational vehicle, general liability, property, and life insurance products and services. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 2,151 total franchises. Goosehead Insurance, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Westlake, Texas.
- CEO
- Mark K. Miller
- Employees
- 1.58K
- Beta
- 1.54
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($39.66 ÷ $43.52) − 1 = -8.87% (DCF, example).