US · HCC
Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
- Sector
- Energy · Coal
- Headquarters
- Brookwood, AL 35444
- Website
- warriormetcoal.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$86.20
Market cap 4.38B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $87.24 | +1.21% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $32.45 | -62.35% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $41.08 | -52.35% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | $3.71 | $48.01 | |||
| 2017 | $17.35 | $306.15 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $1,857.28 |
| 2018 | $20.46 | $70.01 | $13.56 | $0.00 | $331.91 |
| 2019 | $14.91 | $44.20 | $13.43 | $0.00 | $2.81 |
| 2020 | $17.32 | $32.78 | $3.43 | $7.63 | $19.86 |
| 2021 | $37.90 | $64.99 | $10.97 | $28.60 | $123.31 |
| 2022 | $36.90 | $137.15 | $18.13 | $67.01 | $863.88 |
| 2023 | $60.32 | $101.37 | $23.26 | $64.48 | $43.16 |
| 2024 | $46.52 | $69.80 | $6.93 | $51.38 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $81.13 | $87.24 | $4.89 | $41.08 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (HCC) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $87.24
- Current price
- $86.20
- AI upside
- +1.21%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$32.45
-62.35% upside
Graham-Dodd
$41.08
-52.35% upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| HCC | Warrior Met Coal, Inc. | $86.20 | 4.38B | +1% | -62% | -52% | — | 74.81 | 1.99 | 3.26 | 17.73 | — | 1.99 | 97.89% | 3.49% | 4.35% | 2.69% | 2.40% | 2.12% | 0.13 | 4.69 | 3.19 | 2.08 | -0.12 | -7745.00% | -1411.00% | 138.00% | -2.13% | 0.89 | -4.77% | 0.42% | 31.30% | 0.64% | 91.49 | -45.95 | 3.19 | 5.70 |
| AMR | Alpha Metallurgical Resou… | $162.65 | 2.12B | +32,387% | +1,088,733,738% | +58,129% | — | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -128.78 | — | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | -2.90% | -7.97% | 0.00% | -5.40% | 0.01 | 0.00 | 4.47 | 2.02 | -113.51 | -13326.00% | 7190797.00% | 456396.00% | 827.93% | 0.71 | 3.11% | 19.33% | -0.70% | 18524.06% | -102013.09 | -22.51 | -0.19 | 1.31 |
| ARLP | Alliance Resource Partner… | $26.49 | 3.4B | +23,240% | -55% | -0% | — | 11.13 | 1.88 | 1.58 | 5.74 | — | 1.88 | 21.34% | 17.56% | 14.18% | 16.93% | 16.41% | 10.79% | 0.26 | 9.70 | 2.10 | 0.99 | 0.61 | -1264.00% | -1037.00% | 10349678.00% | 11197.07% | 3185.19 | 17494.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.05 | 0.01 | 1.76 | 3.40 |
| BTU | Peabody Energy Corporatio… | $31.54 | 3.84B | -12% | -57% | -29% | -100% | -77.73 | 1.16 | 1.06 | 9.35 | — | 1.16 | 2.73% | 0.02% | -1.37% | -1.47% | 0.02% | -0.90% | 0.14 | 0.01 | 1.85 | 1.06 | -0.15 | -11593.00% | -886.00% | 15897.00% | 12.90% | 1.13 | 15.34% | 0.89% | -69.30% | 0.89% | 6720.39 | 7.63 | 1.04 | 2.24 |
| CNR | Core Natural Resources, I… | $82.08 | 4.21B | -7% | +10,949% | -40% | — | -29.19 | 1.22 | 1.07 | 10.85 | — | 1.22 | -0.03% | -5.19% | -3.68% | -5.84% | -5.75% | -3.40% | 0.10 | -5.38 | 1.60 | 0.93 | -0.19 | -13088.00% | 9383.00% | -9291.00% | 0.47% | 0.36 | 0.86% | 0.59% | -17.10% | 5.60% | -20.35 | 207.58 | 1.06 | 1.76 |
| CVI | CVR Energy, Inc. | $24.16 | 2.43B | +32% | -59% | -64% | -97% | 92.80 | 3.43 | 0.35 | 6.96 | 33.99 | 3.43 | 4.18% | 2.02% | 0.38% | 3.77% | 7.84% | 0.67% | 2.51 | 1.38 | 1.79 | 1.06 | 2.40 | 27303.00% | -590.00% | -12384.00% | -1.64% | 0.20 | -2.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 26.38 | -93.30 | 0.53 | 2.42 |
| ENPH | Enphase Energy, Inc. | $42.27 | 5.54B | +13% | -49% | -69% | -43% | 34.07 | 5.39 | 3.98 | 19.16 | 47.32 | 6.90 | 46.64% | 11.18% | 11.69% | 17.93% | 20.96% | 5.09% | 1.11 | 36.42 | 2.07 | 1.38 | 2.52 | 7200.00% | 1072.00% | -8002.00% | 1.64% | 0.11 | 14.53% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.17% | 33.74 | 57.93 | 3.77 | 2.41 |
| GPOR | Gulfport Energy Corporati… | $208.66 | 4.03B | 0% | +1,092% | +4% | +564% | 9.62 | 2.08 | 2.68 | 5.05 | — | 2.08 | 68.85% | 42.21% | 30.07% | 22.11% | 18.79% | 13.44% | 0.43 | 11.06 | 0.68 | 0.15 | 0.87 | -24592.00% | 5320.00% | 4067.00% | 7.23% | 2.20 | 10.95% | 0.04% | 0.40% | 8.51% | 7.58 | 16.52 | 3.20 | 3.84 |
| MUR | Murphy Oil Corporation | $33.15 | 4.73B | +14% | -53% | -40% | — | 35.90 | 0.97 | 1.83 | 5.45 | — | 0.97 | 71.85% | 11.08% | 3.83% | 2.69% | 2.59% | 1.42% | 0.43 | 3.14 | 0.85 | 0.62 | 1.46 | -7333.00% | -993.00% | -5171.00% | 7.95% | 1.17 | 5.75% | 3.74% | 134.20% | 5.80% | 22.60 | 17.18 | 2.50 | 1.01 |
| RIG | Transocean Ltd. | $6.48 | 5.85B | +152% | -61% | — | — | -2.06 | 0.74 | 1.51 | -6.15 | -0.51 | 0.74 | 22.70% | 17.78% | -73.52% | -31.70% | 4.69% | -16.65% | 0.70 | 1.27 | 1.56 | 1.15 | -2.69 | 40667.00% | 1251.00% | 22435.00% | 10.43% | 0.56 | 4.21% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 33.78% | 15.12 | 17.03 | 2.69 | 0.27 |
| SEI | Solaris Energy Infrastruc… | $49.63 | 3.56B | -18% | +443% | -92% | -84% | 23.52 | 1.91 | 2.17 | 9.33 | — | 3.78 | 25.86% | 16.87% | 5.05% | 10.30% | 10.11% | 3.63% | 0.92 | 4.47 | 3.83 | 2.84 | 2.24 | -3462.00% | 688.00% | -64058.00% | -18.97% | 0.91 | -31.55% | 2.15% | 50.50% | 3.58% | 16.94 | -6.93 | 2.86 | 1.55 |
About Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. produces and exports non-thermal metallurgical coal for the steel industry. It operates two underground mines located in Alabama. The company sells its metallurgical coal to a customer base of blast furnace steel producers located primarily in Europe, South America, and Asia. It also sells natural gas, which is extracted as a byproduct from coal production. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.
- CEO
- Walter J. Scheller
- Employees
- 1.34K
- Beta
- 0.69
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($32.45 ÷ $86.20) − 1 = -62.35% (DCF, example).