US · HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Travel Lodging
- Headquarters
- McLean, VA 22102
- Website
- hilton.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$318.61
Market cap 72.47B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $224.81 | -29.44% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $144.67 | -54.59% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $96.26 | -69.79% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | $0.00 | $15.46 | |||
| 2013 | $44.05 | $37.95 | $4.44 | $0.71 | $17.43 |
| 2014 | $54.60 | $39.71 | $0.00 | $5.98 | $31.96 |
| 2015 | $41.47 | $47.08 | $4.87 | $15.36 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $54.36 | $38.15 | $1,527.48 | $0.00 | $117.03 |
| 2017 | $79.32 | $60.41 | $2.73 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $80.88 | $81.60 | $36,018.49 | $0.00 | $411.61 |
| 2019 | $89.29 | $69.88 | $1,043.97 | $0.00 | $43.16 |
| 2020 | $124.48 | $85.25 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $113.33 |
| 2021 | $139.95 | $90.49 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $60.30 |
| 2022 | $139.36 | $100.04 | $99.73 | $0.00 | $262.35 |
| 2023 | $204.73 | $140.35 | $281.48 | $0.00 | $104.56 |
| 2024 | $246.60 | $168.55 | $144.23 | $0.00 | $105.00 |
| 2025 | $304.80 | $224.81 | $26.33 | $0.00 | $96.26 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s (HLT) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $224.81
- Current price
- $318.61
- AI upside
- -29.44%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$144.67
-54.59% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$96.26
-69.79% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| HLT | Hilton Worldwide Holdings… | $318.61 | 72.47B | -29% | -55% | — | -70% | 49.24 | -13.35 | 5.97 | 30.19 | — | -4.14 | 41.15% | 22.37% | 12.10% | -32.06% | 23.26% | 8.78% | -2.91 | 4.34 | 10.81 | 10.81 | 5.12 | -33.00% | 774.00% | 1174.00% | 2.82% | 8.65 | 24.90% | 0.20% | 9.80% | 4.72% | 32.17 | 42.72 | 7.20 | 3.25 |
| ABNB | Airbnb, Inc. | $135.11 | 81B | 0% | -28% | -76% | -46% | 32.53 | 9.96 | 6.67 | 28.59 | — | 11.00 | 82.96% | 20.78% | 20.51% | 30.23% | -623.69% | 11.63% | 0.25 | — | 1.38 | 1.33 | -1.77 | -195.00% | 1026.00% | 283.00% | 5.69% | 0.34 | -1422.97% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.64% | 28.59 | 15.66 | 5.94 | 4.36 |
| AZO | AutoZone, Inc. | $3,755.58 | 62.47B | -28% | -58% | -86% | -59% | 24.99 | -18.28 | 3.30 | 17.63 | — | -16.79 | 52.62% | 19.06% | 13.19% | -61.20% | 36.15% | 13.68% | -3.60 | 7.42 | 0.88 | 0.10 | 2.85 | -313.00% | 243.00% | -732.00% | 2.87% | 0.33 | 22.49% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.61% | 20.62 | 41.59 | 3.93 | 2.88 |
| CPNG | Coupang, Inc. | $19.08 | 34.85B | +114% | +128% | -84% | -87% | 173.32 | 7.80 | 1.04 | 53.95 | 568.52 | 8.13 | 29.37% | 1.37% | 0.60% | 4.77% | 5.13% | 1.26% | 1.54 | 5.50 | 1.04 | 0.71 | 1.17 | 3049.00% | 1409.00% | -4816.00% | 1.45% | 0.19 | 14.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 77.91 | 70.59 | 1.07 | 3.38 |
| F | Ford Motor Company | $14.10 | 55.23B | -37% | -62% | — | — | -6.53 | 1.48 | 0.28 | 21.39 | — | 1.50 | 12.18% | 1.35% | -4.37% | -20.21% | 1.05% | -2.84% | 4.66 | 2.02 | 1.07 | 0.90 | 16.91 | -24110.00% | 123.00% | 8500.00% | 23.40% | 0.19 | 7.50% | 5.61% | -36.60% | 5.61% | 72.02 | 14.63 | 0.97 | 0.95 |
| GM | General Motors Company | $78.71 | 73.43B | -18% | -42% | -11% | -74% | 25.72 | 1.17 | 0.39 | 11.00 | — | 1.26 | 6.27% | 1.57% | 1.46% | 4.48% | 1.57% | 0.99% | 2.13 | 4.00 | 1.17 | 0.44 | 6.91 | -4867.00% | -129.00% | -28518.00% | 15.49% | 0.29 | 6.70% | 0.92% | 23.60% | 11.45% | 59.85 | 15.72 | 0.94 | 1.21 |
| MAR | Marriott International, I… | $341.73 | 90.55B | -30% | -59% | — | -65% | 34.11 | -23.53 | 3.39 | 23.50 | 244.98 | -3.86 | 21.34% | 15.81% | 9.93% | -76.92% | 25.59% | 9.68% | -4.53 | 5.12 | 0.43 | 0.39 | 3.73 | 1393.00% | 433.00% | 3047.00% | 2.94% | 0.38 | 21.03% | 0.81% | 27.60% | 4.53% | 25.47 | 40.44 | 4.03 | 3.87 |
| RACE | Ferrari N.V. | $379.92 | 67.35B | -25% | -47% | — | -59% | 19.64 | 14.17 | 7.75 | 23.71 | 332.33 | 37.32 | 51.68% | 29.53% | 22.35% | 75.74% | 31.51% | 29.47% | 0.74 | 51.25 | 2.02 | 1.49 | 0.59 | 591.00% | 703.00% | 18350.00% | 4.80% | 1.75 | 51.19% | 1.92% | 37.80% | 4.69% | 26.87 | 21.33 | 7.93 | 7.58 |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean Cruises L… | $310.96 | 84.8B | -44% | +40% | -68% | -16% | 19.00 | 8.12 | 4.55 | 14.94 | 44.51 | 8.83 | 46.84% | 27.37% | 23.82% | 48.76% | 16.38% | 10.91% | 2.26 | 4.95 | 0.18 | 0.10 | 3.16 | 4269.00% | 880.00% | -3811.00% | 1.52% | 0.54 | 4.14% | 0.32% | 6.20% | 1.75% | 21.03 | 83.51 | 5.76 | 2.29 |
| ROST | Ross Stores, Inc. | $205.64 | 66.88B | -50% | -65% | -87% | -64% | 22.07 | 8.37 | 2.18 | 14.41 | 161.44 | 8.37 | 27.78% | 12.24% | 9.89% | 40.28% | 32.12% | 14.32% | 1.03 | 40.79 | 1.62 | 1.05 | 0.29 | 1367.00% | 369.00% | -655.00% | 3.55% | 0.51 | 26.82% | 1.06% | 23.40% | 3.52% | 18.21 | 28.77 | 2.23 | 5.56 |
| TCOM | Trip.com Group Limited | $52.62 | 34.39B | -8% | +275% | -32% | +88% | 17.20 | 2.08 | 5.56 | 17.29 | 25.42 | 4.31 | 81.25% | 26.60% | 32.02% | 13.01% | 11.49% | 7.46% | 0.28 | 8.17 | 1.51 | 1.33 | -0.54 | 6766.00% | 1973.00% | -1105.00% | 6.42% | 0.27 | 17.76% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.82% | 18.32 | 13.65 | 4.87 | 2.66 |
About Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., a hospitality company, engages in managing, franchising, and leasing hotels and resorts. It operates in two segments, Management and Franchise, and Ownership. The company engages in the hotel management and licensing of its brand names, trademarks, and service marks. It operates a brand portfolio of luxury, lifestyle, full service, focused service, all-suites hotel, and timeshare under the Waldorf Astoria Hotels & Resorts, LXR Hotels & Resorts, Conrad Hotels & Resorts, Signia by Hilton, NoMad, Canopy by Hilton, Graduate by Hilton, Tempo by Hilton, Motto by Hilton, Hilton Hotels & Resorts, DoubleTree by Hilton, Curio Collection by Hilton, Tapestry Collection by Hilton, Outset Collection by Hilton, Embassy Suites by Hilton, Homewood Suites by Hilton, Home2 Suites by Hilton, LivSmart Studios by Hilton, Hilton Garden Inn, Hampton by Hilton, Tru by Hilton, Spark by Hilton, Hilton Grand Vacations, Small Luxury Hotels of the World, AutoCamp, and Hilton Honors brand names. The company has operations in North America, South America, and Central America, including various Caribbean nations; Europe, the Middle East, and Africa; and the Asia Pacific. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
- CEO
- Christopher J. Nassetta
- Employees
- 182K
- Beta
- 1.11
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($144.67 ÷ $318.61) − 1 = -54.59% (DCF, example).