Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
---|---|---|
Artificial intelligence (AI) | 147.20 | -48 |
Intrinsic value (DCF) | 97.66 | -65 |
Graham-Dodd Method | n/a | |
Graham Formula | 114.31 | -60 |
Marriott International, Inc. (NASDAQ: MAR) is a global leader in the hospitality industry, operating, franchising, and licensing a diverse portfolio of hotel, residential, and timeshare properties. With a presence in 139 countries and territories, Marriott manages approximately 7,989 properties under 30 renowned brands, including luxury names like The Ritz-Carlton, St. Regis, and JW Marriott, as well as mid-scale and budget-friendly options such as Courtyard and Fairfield by Marriott. Headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, Marriott has been a dominant force in travel lodging since its founding in 1927. The company’s asset-light business model—focusing on franchising and management contracts—ensures scalability and resilience in cyclical markets. As a key player in the Consumer Cyclical sector, Marriott benefits from global travel demand, loyalty programs like Marriott Bonvoy, and strategic partnerships. Its diversified brand portfolio caters to business and leisure travelers, positioning it for sustained growth in both developed and emerging markets.
Marriott International presents a compelling investment case due to its strong brand equity, asset-light business model, and global diversification. The company’s revenue of $25.1 billion (FY 2024) and net income of $2.38 billion reflect robust operational efficiency, while its diluted EPS of $8.33 underscores profitability. However, investors should note its high beta (1.39), indicating sensitivity to economic cycles, and substantial total debt ($15.24 billion). The dividend yield (~1.5% based on a $2.56/share payout) is modest but stable. Marriott’s competitive advantages—scale, loyalty program, and brand diversity—position it well for long-term growth, though macroeconomic risks (e.g., recessionary pressures, geopolitical instability) could impact near-term performance.
Marriott’s competitive advantage lies in its unparalleled scale, brand diversification, and loyalty program (Marriott Bonvoy, with over 180 million members). Its asset-light model minimizes capital intensity while maximizing fee-based revenue from franchising and management contracts. The company’s luxury and premium brands (e.g., Ritz-Carlton, W Hotels) command pricing power, while its mid-scale and extended-stay brands (e.g., Residence Inn) cater to cost-conscious travelers. Competitively, Marriott outperforms peers in global footprint and brand recognition but faces pressure from Hilton’s aggressive digital strategy and Hyatt’s focus on high-margin luxury segments. Airbnb’s disruptive presence in alternative accommodations poses a long-term threat, though Marriott’s timeshare and residential offerings partially mitigate this. Operational efficiency (operating cash flow of $2.75 billion in FY 2024) and strategic acquisitions (e.g., Starwood Hotels in 2016) further solidify its market leadership. However, reliance on business travel (~50% of pre-pandemic revenue) exposes it to corporate budget cuts and remote work trends.