US · MGPI
MGP Ingredients, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
- Headquarters
- Atchison, KS 66002
- Website
- mgpingredients.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$19.40
Market cap 404.59M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $31.82 | +64.02% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $7.67 | -60.46% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $73.86 | +280.7% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $5.46 | $0.00 | $3.96 | $0.13 | |
| 2012 | $4.70 | $260.19 | $0.00 | $4.79 | $3.97 |
| 2013 | $5.42 | $391.23 | $0.00 | $2.53 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $14.12 | $85.31 | $0.00 | $12.09 | $7.20 |
| 2015 | $20.08 | $29.27 | $0.00 | $13.48 | $19.17 |
| 2016 | $46.14 | $40.99 | $0.18 | $16.21 | $10.21 |
| 2017 | $73.29 | $47.54 | $0.21 | $6.91 | $42.28 |
| 2018 | $75.47 | $53.84 | $0.33 | $18.11 | $35.31 |
| 2019 | $28.50 | $53.37 | $0.16 | $18.85 | $10.69 |
| 2020 | $64.02 | $57.09 | $0.00 | $20.00 | $39.87 |
| 2021 | $73.96 | $63.25 | $217.64 | $34.98 | $282.00 |
| 2022 | $91.88 | $74.87 | $236.37 | $41.27 | $158.46 |
| 2023 | $80.72 | $73.56 | $124.36 | $41.08 | $72.23 |
| 2024 | $33.45 | $35.39 | $0.00 | $27.27 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $19.17 | $31.82 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $73.86 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates MGP Ingredients, Inc.'s (MGPI) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $31.82
- Current price
- $19.40
- AI upside
- +64.02%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$7.67
-60.46% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$73.86
+280.7% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MGPI | MGP Ingredients, Inc. | $19.40 | 404.59M | +64% | -60% | — | +281% | -3.80 | 0.57 | 0.76 | -8.73 | — | 1.14 | 37.18% | -17.64% | -20.10% | -13.89% | -9.18% | -8.16% | 0.30 | -13.43 | 2.61 | 0.09 | -2.81 | -41987.00% | -2377.00% | 14453.00% | 18.57% | 0.61 | 7.38% | 2.52% | -9.60% | 32.00% | -6.39 | 7.95 | 1.13 | 1.47 |
| ABVE | Above Food Ingredients In… | $1.25 | 63.99M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -1.60% | -11.43% | -14.47% | 621.64% | -39.41% | -61.17% | -2.54 | -5.49 | 0.44 | 0.16 | -3.05 | 25284.00% | -707.00% | -19464.00% | — | 0.05 | 3.27% | — | 0.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| APEI | American Public Education… | $45.82 | 828.66M | +38% | -44% | -71% | -76% | 25.71 | 1.36 | 0.66 | 9.22 | — | 1.92 | 52.65% | 5.29% | 2.58% | 5.41% | 5.83% | 2.86% | 0.66 | 15.55 | 3.29 | 2.47 | 1.31 | -11871.00% | 400.00% | -1211.00% | 6.71% | 0.62 | 7.38% | 1.46% | 37.60% | 7.16% | 14.60 | 17.38 | 0.77 | 2.50 |
| BYND | Beyond Meat, Inc. | $0.95 | 428.9M | +2,462% | +42% | — | — | -1.38 | -0.37 | 0.68 | -10.45 | — | -0.37 | 12.77% | -47.82% | -49.10% | 28.76% | -31.16% | -22.07% | -2.03 | -38.11 | 4.66 | 2.58 | -8.69 | -5380.00% | -493.00% | -723.00% | -49.52% | -1.61 | -21.92% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -8.40 | -11.94 | 4.02 | -2.34 |
| HELE | Helen of Troy Limited | $17.64 | 406.99M | +569% | -38% | +175% | +8% | 5.08 | 0.37 | 0.33 | 5.83 | — | -9.49 | 47.93% | 7.48% | 6.49% | 7.45% | 5.78% | 4.15% | 0.57 | 2.75 | 2.00 | 0.97 | 3.49 | -2361.00% | -486.00% | -6914.00% | 13.23% | 0.24 | 3.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 16.41% | 10.97 | 18.84 | 0.82 | 1.78 |
| LINC | Lincoln Educational Servi… | $36.24 | 1.15B | +19% | +62% | -74% | -55% | 56.99 | 5.71 | 2.20 | 26.12 | 55.26 | 6.03 | 60.37% | 5.59% | 3.86% | 10.58% | 6.61% | 4.30% | 1.02 | 8.54 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 3.48 | 10312.00% | 1776.00% | -86.00% | -2.40% | 0.59 | -8.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 45.37 | -48.13 | 2.54 | 3.82 |
| NUS | Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. | $8.48 | 408.12M | +1,041% | -54% | +222% | — | 2.49 | 0.49 | 0.27 | 3.65 | — | 0.59 | 69.45% | 6.12% | 10.79% | 22.00% | 7.97% | 11.15% | 0.45 | 6.52 | 2.08 | 1.06 | 0.88 | -20780.00% | -1426.00% | -3442.00% | 11.55% | 0.30 | 4.94% | 2.97% | 7.40% | 49.61% | 5.75 | 11.36 | 0.35 | 3.76 |
| OTLY | Oatly Group AB | $11.91 | 371.89M | +136% | -61% | — | — | -2.33 | 19.15 | 0.41 | -42.00 | — | -2.98 | 32.12% | -7.85% | -17.71% | -247.92% | -14.04% | -19.20% | 27.69 | — | 0.48 | 0.30 | -23.45 | -2548.00% | 471.00% | -7679.00% | -10.16% | -0.04 | -7.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -11.88 | -22.28 | 0.93 | -1.84 |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market, Inc… | $39.15 | 577.6M | +57% | -63% | -5% | +15% | 9.55 | 1.09 | 0.23 | 6.97 | 77.35 | 1.15 | 28.57% | 3.11% | 2.43% | 12.00% | 6.98% | 5.68% | 0.69 | 18.70 | 1.13 | 0.72 | 2.09 | 1235.00% | 376.00% | 9428.00% | 6.40% | 0.51 | 4.84% | 2.47% | 23.60% | 7.03% | 10.66 | 22.30 | 0.33 | 3.80 |
| VSTA | Vasta Platform Limited | $4.90 | 394M | +189% | -73% | +78% | +367% | 2.83 | 0.28 | 0.82 | 3.88 | — | -8.15 | 60.97% | 21.84% | 29.06% | 10.23% | 6.47% | 6.66% | 0.24 | 52.47 | 1.18 | 0.89 | 1.80 | -68725.00% | 1264.00% | -4874.00% | 3.43% | 0.14 | 0.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.64% | 6.44 | 49.96 | 1.41 | 0.84 |
| WEST | Westrock Coffee Company, … | $4.42 | 427.97M | +406% | +1,080% | — | — | -8.07 | 1.75 | 0.76 | -144.94 | -7.55 | 4.62 | 18.08% | -5.77% | -9.44% | -21.15% | -6.38% | -7.75% | 1.36 | -1.45 | 1.20 | 0.45 | -61.57 | 10698.00% | -162.00% | -2446.00% | -26.66% | -0.05 | -22.43% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -22.95 | -6.52 | 1.32 | 0.66 |
About MGP Ingredients, Inc.
MGP Ingredients, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and supplies distilled spirits, branded spirits, and food ingredients. It operates through three segments: Distillery Products; Branded Spirits; and Ingredient Solutions. The Distillery Products segment provides food grade alcohol for beverage applications that include bourbon and rye whiskeys, as well as grain neutral spirits, including vodka and gin; and food-grade industrial alcohol, which is used as an ingredient in foods, personal care products, cleaning solutions, pharmaceuticals, and various other products. This segment also provides fuel-grade alcohol for blending with gasoline; distillers feed and related co-products, such as distillers feed and corn oil; and warehouse services, including barrel put away, storage, and retrieval services, as well as blending services. The Branded Spirits segment provides ultra-premium, premium, mid, and value branded distilled spirits. The Ingredient Solutions segment provides specialty wheat starches for food applications under the Fibersym, Resistant Starch, and FiberRite RW Resistant Starch names; specialty wheat proteins for food applications under the Arise and Proterra names; gluten-free textured pea proteins; commodity wheat starch for food and non-food applications; and commodity wheat proteins. The company sells its products directly or through distributors to manufacturers and processors of finished packaged goods or to bakeries primarily in the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan, Thailand, Mexico, and Canada. MGP Ingredients, Inc. was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Atchison, Kansas.
- CEO
- Brandon Gall
- Employees
- 660
- Beta
- 0.41
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($7.67 ÷ $19.40) − 1 = -60.46% (DCF, example).