US · OTLY
Oatly Group AB
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
- Headquarters
- Malmö 211 19
- Website
- oatly.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$11.04
Market cap 371.89M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $28.16 | +155.07% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $4.68 | -57.61% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | |||||
| 2020 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2021 | $99.80 | $75.81 | $1,289.08 | $1.93 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $40.40 | $16.16 | $52.74 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $20.20 | $8.08 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $9.45 | $11.79 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $11.70 | $28.16 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Oatly Group AB's (OTLY) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $28.16
- Current price
- $11.04
- AI upside
- +155.07%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$4.68
-57.61% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| OTLY | Oatly Group AB | $11.04 | 371.89M | +155% | -58% | — | — | -2.33 | 19.15 | 0.41 | -42.00 | — | -2.98 | 32.12% | -7.85% | -17.71% | -247.92% | -14.04% | -19.20% | 27.69 | — | 0.48 | 0.30 | -23.45 | -2548.00% | 471.00% | -7679.00% | -10.16% | -0.04 | -7.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -11.88 | -22.28 | 0.93 | -1.84 |
| BGS | B&G Foods, Inc. | $5.31 | 424.68M | +166% | -51% | — | — | -2.05 | 0.98 | 0.27 | -29.88 | -0.80 | -0.39 | 21.83% | -9.17% | -13.00% | -36.94% | -4.93% | -7.78% | 3.96 | -1.13 | 3.30 | 0.98 | -23.82 | 25730.00% | -630.00% | -5333.00% | 20.11% | 0.55 | 3.79% | 11.65% | -23.90% | 21.51% | -14.34 | 24.52 | 1.32 | 1.04 |
| BRCB | Black Rock Coffee Bar, In… | $13.34 | 233.16M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49.28% | -1.70% | -2.33% | 72.56% | -1.59% | -3.68% | -12.34 | -0.63 | 0.58 | 0.44 | 99.63 | -5690.00% | 2084.00% | -1445.00% | — | 0.40 | -5.99% | — | -8.70% | — | — | — | — | — |
| BYND | Beyond Meat, Inc. | $0.95 | 428.9M | +2,462% | +42% | — | — | -1.38 | -0.37 | 0.68 | -10.45 | — | -0.37 | 12.77% | -47.82% | -49.10% | 28.76% | -31.16% | -22.07% | -2.03 | -38.11 | 4.66 | 2.58 | -8.69 | -5380.00% | -493.00% | -723.00% | -49.52% | -1.61 | -21.92% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -8.40 | -11.94 | 4.02 | -2.34 |
| DDL | Dingdong (Cayman) Limited | $2.84 | 615.35M | +62% | -34% | -47% | +55% | 16.98 | 6.47 | 0.22 | 7.77 | — | 6.47 | 30.11% | 0.93% | 1.28% | 51.54% | -39.61% | 4.11% | 3.79 | 4.54 | 1.02 | 0.88 | 4.44 | -29565.00% | 1550.00% | -36133.00% | 16.07% | 0.18 | -161.46% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 23.29% | 17.46 | 4.51 | 0.16 | 1.22 |
| HELE | Helen of Troy Limited | $17.64 | 406.99M | +569% | -38% | +175% | +8% | 5.08 | 0.37 | 0.33 | 5.83 | — | -9.49 | 47.93% | 7.48% | 6.49% | 7.45% | 5.78% | 4.15% | 0.57 | 2.75 | 2.00 | 0.97 | 3.49 | -2361.00% | -486.00% | -6914.00% | 13.23% | 0.24 | 3.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 16.41% | 10.97 | 18.84 | 0.82 | 1.78 |
| MAMA | Mama's Creations, Inc. | $17.14 | 696.8M | +165% | +2,003% | -95% | -85% | 65.66 | 9.79 | 1.98 | 36.54 | — | 19.00 | 24.76% | 3.95% | 3.01% | 16.69% | 15.53% | 8.05% | 0.41 | 9.89 | 1.28 | 0.90 | 0.44 | -4465.00% | 1941.00% | -9924.00% | 0.03% | 0.30 | 0.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 50.57 | 3007.53 | 2.00 | 9.69 |
| QSG | QuantaSing Group Ltd | $5.04 | 274.08M | +392% | -67% | +23% | +491% | 1.61 | 1.20 | 0.16 | -0.86 | — | 1.20 | 85.50% | 9.94% | 10.16% | 104.17% | -66.07% | 29.10% | 0.13 | — | 1.53 | 1.39 | -1.80 | -28016.00% | 2317.00% | 2141.00% | 45.04% | 0.33 | -52.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 28.07% | -0.90 | -1.22 | -0.09 | 3.76 |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market, Inc… | $39.15 | 577.6M | +57% | -63% | -5% | +15% | 9.55 | 1.09 | 0.23 | 6.97 | 77.35 | 1.15 | 28.57% | 3.11% | 2.43% | 12.00% | 6.98% | 5.68% | 0.69 | 18.70 | 1.13 | 0.72 | 2.09 | 1235.00% | 376.00% | 9428.00% | 6.40% | 0.51 | 4.84% | 2.47% | 23.60% | 7.03% | 10.66 | 22.30 | 0.33 | 3.80 |
| VSTA | Vasta Platform Limited | $4.90 | 394M | +189% | -73% | +78% | +367% | 2.83 | 0.28 | 0.82 | 3.88 | — | -8.15 | 60.97% | 21.84% | 29.06% | 10.23% | 6.47% | 6.66% | 0.24 | 52.47 | 1.18 | 0.89 | 1.80 | -68725.00% | 1264.00% | -4874.00% | 3.43% | 0.14 | 0.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.64% | 6.44 | 49.96 | 1.41 | 0.84 |
| WEST | Westrock Coffee Company, … | $4.42 | 427.97M | +406% | +1,080% | — | — | -8.07 | 1.75 | 0.76 | -144.94 | -7.55 | 4.62 | 18.08% | -5.77% | -9.44% | -21.15% | -6.38% | -7.75% | 1.36 | -1.45 | 1.20 | 0.45 | -61.57 | 10698.00% | -162.00% | -2446.00% | -26.66% | -0.05 | -22.43% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -22.95 | -6.52 | 1.32 | 0.66 |
About Oatly Group AB
Oatly Group AB, an oatmilk company, provides a range of plant-based dairy products made from oats in Sweden. It offers Barista edition oatmilk, oatgurts, frozen desserts, ice-creams, and yogurts; ready-to-go drinks, such as cold brew latte, mocha latte, matcha latte, and mini oat drink in original and chocolate flavors; and cooking products, including Cooking Cream, in regular and organic, Crème Fraiche, Whipping Cream, Vanilla Custard and Spreads in a variety of flavors. The company was formerly known as Havre Global AB and changed its name to Oatly Group AB in March 2021. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.
- CEO
- Jean-Christophe Flatin
- Employees
- 1.47K
- Beta
- 1.97
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($4.68 ÷ $11.04) − 1 = -57.61% (DCF, example).