US · MGY
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
- Sector
- Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
- Headquarters
- Houston, TX 77046
- Website
- magnoliaoilgas.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$30.09
Market cap 5.03B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $34.43 | +14.42% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $12.93 | -57.03% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $10.08 | -66.52% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $13.58 | -54.87% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | $8.83 | ||||
| 2018 | $11.07 | $42.10 | $0.00 | $13.73 | $95.49 |
| 2019 | $5.67 | $32.55 | $1.85 | $12.52 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $11.52 | $22.91 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $237.05 |
| 2021 | $20.67 | $56.53 | $0.00 | $15.43 | $246.54 |
| 2022 | $19.40 | $69.91 | $0.00 | $26.23 | $299.69 |
| 2023 | $22.50 | $36.66 | $0.70 | $12.29 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $22.65 | $34.18 | $0.97 | $12.22 | $29.48 |
| 2025 | $28.55 | $34.43 | $2.37 | $10.07 | $13.58 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation's (MGY) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $34.43
- Current price
- $30.09
- AI upside
- +14.42%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$12.93
-57.03% upside
Graham-Dodd
$10.08
-66.52% upside
Graham Formula
$13.58
-54.87% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MGY | Magnolia Oil & Gas Corpor… | $30.09 | 5.03B | +14% | -57% | -67% | -55% | 15.71 | 2.73 | 4.04 | 6.14 | — | 2.73 | 46.70% | 33.48% | 24.79% | 17.50% | 17.18% | 11.78% | 0.20 | 20.32 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.14 | -979.00% | -31.00% | -523.00% | 7.72% | 3.05 | 19.81% | 2.13% | 33.50% | 6.46% | 12.35 | 13.26 | 4.14 | 4.93 |
| AROC | Archrock, Inc. | $35.33 | 6.2B | +22% | +17% | -86% | +86% | 19.91 | 4.30 | 4.31 | 10.39 | 26.46 | 5.25 | 48.57% | 38.65% | 21.63% | 22.90% | 11.79% | 7.89% | 1.62 | 3.48 | 1.54 | 0.01 | 2.85 | 7524.00% | 2870.00% | 6956.00% | 1.86% | 3.16 | 3.22% | 2.21% | 43.90% | 2.21% | 15.34 | 73.85 | 5.93 | 1.43 |
| CNX | CNX Resources Corporation | $41.78 | 5.95B | +68% | +235% | +21% | +594% | 9.36 | 1.37 | 2.77 | 5.41 | — | 1.50 | 46.84% | 37.07% | 29.55% | 15.01% | 9.52% | 7.19% | 0.57 | 4.66 | 0.44 | 0.29 | 1.58 | -75833.00% | 5919.00% | 9386.00% | 9.01% | 0.92 | 8.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.84% | 10.55 | 15.69 | 3.91 | 1.49 |
| CRC | California Resources Corp… | $58.84 | 5.25B | -25% | -39% | -20% | +6% | 8.45 | 0.90 | 1.07 | 3.74 | — | 0.90 | 40.65% | 22.02% | 12.72% | 13.06% | 14.11% | 6.75% | 0.35 | 7.48 | 1.04 | 0.86 | 0.79 | -4062.00% | 512.00% | -2391.00% | 11.02% | 0.62 | 10.41% | 3.56% | 30.10% | 9.60% | 6.19 | 11.51 | 1.36 | 1.58 |
| MTDR | Matador Resources Company | $51.40 | 6.39B | +80% | -13% | +9% | +55% | 7.83 | 1.19 | 1.84 | 3.62 | — | 1.19 | 43.74% | 32.46% | 20.76% | 16.02% | 13.23% | 8.12% | 0.37 | 5.69 | 0.79 | 0.01 | 0.86 | -1471.00% | 510.00% | -1371.00% | 3.58% | 2.35 | 3.23% | 2.42% | 18.90% | 3.25% | 7.45 | 36.61 | 2.42 | 2.07 |
| MUR | Murphy Oil Corporation | $33.15 | 4.73B | +14% | -53% | -40% | — | 35.90 | 0.97 | 1.83 | 5.45 | — | 0.97 | 71.85% | 11.08% | 3.83% | 2.69% | 2.59% | 1.42% | 0.43 | 3.14 | 0.85 | 0.62 | 1.46 | -7333.00% | -993.00% | -5171.00% | 7.95% | 1.17 | 5.75% | 3.74% | 134.20% | 5.80% | 22.60 | 17.18 | 2.50 | 1.01 |
| PBF | PBF Energy Inc. | $35.60 | 4.16B | -5% | -56% | -35% | -89% | -27.98 | 0.84 | 0.15 | -27.07 | — | 0.84 | -1.95% | -0.19% | -0.54% | -2.95% | -0.49% | -1.25% | 0.55 | -0.30 | 1.21 | 0.46 | -9.36 | -6978.00% | -1142.00% | 12538.00% | -17.44% | -0.02 | -10.43% | 2.82% | -78.80% | 2.82% | -126.41 | -8.76 | 0.23 | 3.01 |
| UGP | Ultrapar Participações S.… | $5.05 | 5.4B | -78% | -69% | -54% | +9% | 7.04 | 1.10 | 0.12 | 5.49 | — | 1.26 | 6.45% | 3.80% | 1.77% | 16.49% | 13.62% | 6.07% | 1.04 | 3.70 | 1.53 | 1.13 | 2.71 | -452.00% | 591.00% | -2396.00% | 11.71% | 0.36 | 8.31% | 5.01% | 35.30% | 5.91% | 5.48 | 14.27 | 0.21 | 4.68 |
| VAL | Valaris Limited | $95.85 | 6.64B | +12% | -53% | +19% | +21% | 9.11 | 2.06 | 2.76 | 8.94 | 5.34 | 2.06 | 25.03% | 20.93% | 41.49% | 26.53% | 14.59% | 14.76% | 0.38 | 5.02 | 1.72 | 1.57 | 0.74 | 17070.00% | 27.00% | -30331.00% | 3.10% | 0.79 | 5.96% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.74% | 14.37 | 35.16 | 3.01 | 3.33 |
| VIST | Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C… | $57.74 | 6.02B | +58% | +1,000% | -28% | +308% | 9.18 | 2.70 | 2.66 | 4.71 | 58.30 | 2.77 | 76.20% | 37.95% | 28.98% | 33.30% | 24.53% | 13.98% | 0.95 | 9.30 | 0.99 | 0.82 | 0.72 | 1575.00% | 4098.00% | -67354.00% | -2.13% | 0.91 | -4.54% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.28% | 8.26 | -55.24 | 3.13 | 2.22 |
| VVV | Valvoline Inc. | $37.80 | 4.81B | -5% | -36% | -85% | -41% | 18.51 | 11.52 | 2.28 | 10.80 | 993.60 | -9.70 | 38.50% | 22.80% | 12.32% | 80.40% | 15.50% | 8.25% | 4.93 | 5.27 | 0.70 | 0.41 | 3.16 | 186.00% | 564.00% | -663.00% | 0.97% | 0.86 | 2.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.97% | 14.15 | 145.18 | 3.23 | 2.22 |
About Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the United States. Its properties are located primarily in Karnes County and the Giddings Field in South Texas principally comprising the Eagle Ford Shale and the Austin Chalk formation. As of December 31, 2021, the company's assets consisted of a total leasehold position of 4,71,263 net acres, including 23,785 net acres in Karnes and 4,47,478 net acres in the Giddings area, as well as holds 1,292 net wells with a total production capacity of 66.0 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
- CEO
- Christopher G. Stavros
- Employees
- 252
- Beta
- 0.91
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($12.93 ÷ $30.09) − 1 = -57.03% (DCF, example).