US · MSBI
Midland States Bancorp, Inc.
- Sector
- Financial Services · Banks - Regional
- Headquarters
- Effingham, IL 62401
- Website
- midlandsb.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$26.39
Market cap 476.94M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $20.27 | -23.19% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $22.23 | -15.76% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $9.20 | -65.14% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $26.69 | +1.15% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $5.44 | $15.01 | |||
| 2011 | $5.59 | $0.35 | |||
| 2012 | $4.85 | $0.00 | |||
| 2013 | $6.78 | $29.62 | |||
| 2014 | $7.35 | $3.55 | |||
| 2015 | $12.97 | $163.11 | |||
| 2016 | $22.24 | $68.72 | $649.58 | $20.02 | $39.07 |
| 2017 | $21.82 | $17.49 | $60.40 | $12.28 | $15.98 |
| 2018 | $16.86 | $32.91 | $37.27 | $14.54 | $79.07 |
| 2019 | $16.40 | $27.25 | $25.36 | $16.97 | $42.84 |
| 2020 | $22.43 | $33.71 | $20.26 | $8.48 | $4.71 |
| 2021 | $23.59 | $37.93 | $27.59 | $23.62 | $26.64 |
| 2022 | $20.06 | $41.85 | $33.64 | $29.61 | $205.57 |
| 2023 | $21.68 | $32.57 | $32.94 | $18.24 | $65.86 |
| 2024 | $17.57 | $20.27 | $29.47 | $9.20 | $26.69 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Midland States Bancorp, Inc.'s (MSBI) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $20.27
- Current price
- $26.39
- AI upside
- -23.19%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$22.23
-15.76% upside
Graham-Dodd
$9.20
-65.14% upside
Graham Formula
$26.69
+1.15% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MSBI | Midland States Bancorp, I… | $26.39 | 476.94M | -23% | -16% | -65% | +1% | 10.01 | 0.54 | 0.70 | -5.59 | — | 0.73 | 43.21% | 8.59% | 6.97% | 5.06% | 18.38% | 0.49% | 0.60 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 6.59 | -4335.00% | 739.00% | 1627.00% | 44.55% | 0.03 | 81.97% | 9.45% | 94.60% | 53.17% | -5.59 | -1.55 | -0.48 | -0.62 |
| BWFG | Bankwell Financial Group,… | $46.70 | 367.88M | -50% | -25% | -38% | -75% | 23.27 | 0.84 | 1.16 | 3.60 | — | 0.85 | 32.90% | 6.81% | 4.99% | 3.64% | 7.74% | 0.30% | 0.59 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | -7.84 | -7366.00% | 125.00% | -187.00% | 12.90% | 0.01 | 23.24% | 2.76% | 64.30% | 15.05% | 4.61 | 2.10 | 0.31 | -0.71 |
| FMAO | Farmers & Merchants Banco… | $25.86 | 355.57M | +285% | +15% | +27% | +39% | 11.09 | 1.00 | 1.95 | 3.53 | 13.95 | 1.32 | 62.27% | 22.49% | 17.61% | 9.44% | 34.43% | 0.98% | 0.81 | 0.61 | — | — | 4.76 | 7947.00% | 710.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.53 | — | 0.79 | 0.45 |
| MVBF | MVB Financial Corp. | $27.00 | 343.49M | +393% | -7% | +36% | +105% | 12.72 | 1.03 | 1.27 | -6.45 | 36.73 | 1.03 | 71.66% | 13.63% | 9.96% | 8.42% | -9.07% | 0.84% | 0.22 | 0.54 | — | — | -4.62 | 3464.00% | 1896.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -6.45 | — | -0.88 | 1.27 |
| OBT | Orange County Bancorp, In… | $33.21 | 443.91M | +54% | +73% | -36% | +26% | 9.48 | 1.42 | 1.85 | -5.08 | — | 1.47 | 69.83% | 24.33% | 19.49% | 15.89% | -11.54% | 1.12% | 0.77 | 0.98 | 0.27 | 0.27 | -0.20 | -573.00% | 917.00% | -1975.00% | 12.44% | 0.02 | -13.60% | 2.02% | 19.10% | 45.32% | -5.37 | -5.68 | -1.31 | -0.55 |
| PBFS | Pioneer Bancorp, Inc. | $14.11 | 353.89M | +218% | +67% | +2% | -0% | 18.21 | 0.94 | 2.82 | -5.96 | — | 0.98 | 75.17% | 19.67% | 15.46% | 5.42% | -7.17% | 0.81% | 0.00 | 0.89 | 0.27 | 0.27 | -6.89 | -2989.00% | 1587.00% | -1088.00% | 8.28% | 0.02 | -10.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.55% | -6.75 | -5.70 | -1.33 | -0.40 |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, In… | $16.25 | 390.02M | +46% | +41% | +51% | -5% | 26.30 | 0.57 | 1.72 | 32.82 | 12.72 | 0.57 | 47.70% | 9.38% | 6.56% | 2.20% | 1.19% | 0.38% | 1.24 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 23.83 | 20667.00% | 2441.00% | -2611.00% | 1.56% | 0.00 | 0.49% | 0.20% | 5.40% | 31.73% | 42.73 | 149.14 | 4.01 | -0.45 |
| SFST | Southern First Bancshares… | $55.84 | 458.8M | -3% | -25% | +16% | -11% | 14.81 | 1.22 | 2.00 | 12.61 | 15.37 | 1.22 | 51.26% | 17.63% | 13.52% | 8.69% | 5.85% | 0.72% | 0.72 | 0.37 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 5.35 | 9634.00% | 529.00% | 2060.00% | 6.64% | 0.01 | 5.75% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.12 | 18.71 | 2.49 | -0.47 |
| USCB | USCB Financial Holdings, … | $18.93 | 343.35M | +101% | -27% | -25% | +162% | 14.27 | 1.63 | 2.45 | 6.94 | 29.97 | 1.63 | 55.23% | 22.56% | 17.14% | 12.11% | 23.66% | 1.00% | 0.80 | 0.53 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 2.86 | 4762.00% | 3279.00% | 5090.00% | 9.59% | 0.02 | 32.38% | 1.12% | 16.00% | 18.00% | 7.06 | 6.79 | 1.59 | -0.74 |
| WTBA | West Bancorporation, Inc. | $24.35 | 412.51M | +183% | -23% | +4% | -33% | 12.86 | 1.57 | 2.11 | 0.76 | 36.53 | 1.57 | 47.99% | 20.87% | 16.40% | 13.19% | -22.55% | 0.80% | 0.40 | 0.40 | — | — | 1.96 | 3521.00% | 33.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 16.22% | 0.76 | — | 0.16 | 0.39 |
About Midland States Bancorp, Inc.
Midland States Bancorp, Inc. operates as a financial holding company for Midland States Bank that provides various banking products and services to individuals, businesses, municipalities, and other entities. It operates through Banking, Wealth Management, and Other segments. The company accepts various deposits, such as checking, savings, money market, and sweep accounts, as well as certificates of deposits. It also offers term loans to purchase capital equipment; lines of credit for working capital and operational purposes; commercial real estate loans for owner occupied and non-owner occupied commercial property, as well as farmland loans; construction and land development loans developers of commercial real estate investment properties, residential developments, individual clients for construction of single family homes, as well as to construct owner-user properties; and residential real estate loans and home equity lines of credit.. In addition, the company provides consumer installment loans for the purchase of cars, boats, and other recreational vehicles, as well as for the purchase of major appliances and other home improvement projects; commercial equipment leasing; and trust and wealth management products and services, including financial and estate planning, trustee and custodial services, investment management, tax and insurance planning, business planning, corporate retirement plan consulting and administration, and retail brokerage services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 52 full-service banking offices. The company was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Effingham, Illinois.
- CEO
- Jeffrey G. Ludwig
- Employees
- 907
- Beta
- 0.61
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($22.23 ÷ $26.39) − 1 = -15.76% (DCF, example).