US · MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
- Sector
- Technology · Software - Infrastructure
- Headquarters
- Redmond, WA 98052-6399
- Website
- microsoft.com
Price · as of 2025-06-30
$414.44
Market cap 2.92T
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $293.70 | -29.13% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $312.19 | -24.67% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $50.03 | -87.93% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $307.95 | -25.69% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $19.96 | $44.24 | $36.06 | $9.72 | $53.47 |
| 2012 | $24.67 | $42.23 | $28.00 | $5.00 | $26.89 |
| 2013 | $25.59 | $42.41 | $28.94 | $7.38 | $35.21 |
| 2014 | $38.80 | $48.73 | $33.52 | $5.64 | $51.14 |
| 2015 | $36.98 | $41.64 | $16.91 | $0.00 | $23.25 |
| 2016 | $50.11 | $49.17 | $14.22 | $0.00 | $14.63 |
| 2017 | $67.55 | $59.33 | $15.74 | $0.30 | $45.64 |
| 2018 | $100.58 | $78.89 | $30.08 | $0.00 | $46.73 |
| 2019 | $131.33 | $100.06 | $92.01 | $6.43 | $110.06 |
| 2020 | $204.58 | $139.80 | $148.85 | $9.11 | $123.00 |
| 2021 | $284.95 | $191.22 | $214.63 | $19.98 | $202.68 |
| 2022 | $256.97 | $194.53 | $242.29 | $25.44 | $245.97 |
| 2023 | $327.94 | $225.52 | $186.11 | $27.28 | $142.22 |
| 2024 | $397.06 | $266.38 | $188.71 | $35.44 | $273.41 |
| 2025 | $492.95 | $293.70 | $178.61 | $50.03 | $307.95 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Microsoft Corporation's (MSFT) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $293.70
- Current price
- $414.44
- AI upside
- -29.13%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$312.19
-24.67% upside
Graham-Dodd
$50.03
-87.93% upside
Graham Formula
$307.95
-25.69% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corporation | $414.44 | 2.92T | -29% | -25% | -88% | -26% | 35.98 | 10.67 | 13.01 | 22.66 | 230.75 | 18.20 | 68.82% | 45.62% | 36.15% | 33.28% | 37.17% | 18.00% | 0.18 | 53.89 | 1.35 | 1.16 | 0.19 | 1559.00% | 1493.00% | -332.00% | 1.95% | 0.96 | 25.14% | 0.66% | 23.60% | 1.66% | 28.24 | 50.69 | 12.89 | 9.75 |
| AAPL | Apple Inc. | $264.18 | 3.88T | -36% | -26% | -90% | -60% | 37.17 | 56.47 | 10.00 | 29.23 | 163.76 | 56.47 | 46.91% | 31.97% | 26.92% | 171.42% | 92.70% | 30.93% | 1.52 | — | 0.89 | 0.77 | 0.53 | 2270.00% | 643.00% | -923.00% | 2.37% | 0.67 | 81.54% | 0.37% | 13.80% | 2.85% | 31.73 | 42.74 | 10.14 | 11.02 |
| DOCN | DigitalOcean Holdings, In… | $56.06 | 5.13B | +67% | -35% | -82% | +16% | 20.55 | -185.70 | 5.91 | 16.03 | 11.22 | -11.17 | 59.86% | 17.42% | 28.76% | -223.84% | 20.78% | 14.91% | -25.46 | 8.75 | 0.69 | 0.56 | 1.31 | 18315.00% | 1548.00% | 7645.00% | 3.19% | 0.50 | 22.47% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 16.38% | 36.97 | 34.19 | 6.44 | 2.33 |
| FTNT | Fortinet, Inc. | $79.03 | 60.56B | +2% | +4% | -83% | -31% | 31.75 | 47.55 | 8.65 | 22.82 | 422.04 | 66.65 | 80.84% | 30.62% | 27.26% | 135.72% | -115.01% | 18.39% | 0.81 | 103.58 | 1.17 | 1.05 | -0.61 | 752.00% | 1417.00% | 1844.00% | 3.78% | 0.51 | -152.08% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.89% | 27.02 | 25.27 | 8.27 | 5.20 |
| GDDY | GoDaddy Inc. | $87.16 | 12.07B | +41% | -48% | -92% | +18% | 13.65 | 55.54 | 2.41 | 11.43 | — | -2.71 | 61.57% | 22.88% | 17.67% | 192.90% | 32.38% | 10.76% | 18.15 | 7.49 | 0.61 | 0.39 | 2.19 | -341.00% | 826.00% | 2493.00% | 13.19% | 0.53 | 48.21% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.41% | 13.04 | 9.37 | 2.98 | 1.34 |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc. | $311.76 | 3.77T | -31% | -20% | -76% | -21% | 28.10 | 8.94 | 9.22 | 20.33 | 81.56 | 9.72 | 59.67% | 32.05% | 32.80% | 35.70% | 34.94% | 25.28% | 0.17 | 903.26 | 2.01 | 1.85 | 0.23 | 3445.00% | 1513.00% | 69.00% | 1.97% | 1.60 | 23.81% | 0.27% | 7.60% | 1.50% | 28.33 | 49.94 | 9.08 | 14.74 |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | $177.19 | 4.31T | -23% | +3,513% | -83% | +97% | 36.94 | 28.20 | 20.54 | 30.33 | 55.41 | 33.31 | 71.07% | 60.38% | 55.60% | 101.49% | 145.12% | 75.42% | 0.07 | 501.49 | 3.91 | 3.14 | 0.01 | 6667.00% | 6547.00% | 5887.00% | 2.18% | 3.19 | 126.76% | 0.02% | 0.80% | 0.95% | 33.62 | 45.35 | 20.30 | 58.41 |
| ORCL | Oracle Corporation | $145.40 | 417.89B | +13% | -3% | — | -50% | 55.80 | 33.95 | 12.10 | 32.92 | 328.61 | -14.98 | 70.51% | 30.80% | 21.68% | 85.36% | 15.09% | 8.04% | 5.09 | 4.94 | 0.75 | 0.61 | 3.90 | 1698.00% | 838.00% | -10334.00% | -0.06% | 0.64 | -0.38% | 0.68% | 38.10% | 0.90% | 44.53 | -1998.09 | 13.72 | 3.33 |
| RPD | Rapid7, Inc. | $6.22 | 409.86M | +490% | -60% | — | -43% | 17.33 | 2.62 | 0.47 | 11.14 | — | -0.83 | 70.15% | 1.41% | 2.72% | 27.12% | 1.53% | 1.38% | 6.65 | 1.16 | 1.20 | 1.12 | 9.08 | -1000.00% | 187.00% | -1409.00% | 35.67% | 0.26 | 23.65% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 79.23 | 6.63 | 1.12 | -0.03 |
| SPSC | SPS Commerce, Inc. | $56.51 | 2.13B | +37% | +30% | -58% | +10% | 23.71 | 2.27 | 2.94 | 11.37 | 115.14 | 10.23 | 64.23% | 15.74% | 12.42% | 10.21% | 12.23% | 8.48% | 0.01 | — | 1.74 | 1.42 | -0.78 | 2059.00% | 1783.00% | 1086.00% | 6.88% | 1.16 | 20.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.16% | 17.51 | 13.60 | 2.76 | 8.38 |
About Microsoft Corporation
Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, Microsoft Viva, and Skype for Business; Skype, Outlook.com, OneDrive, and LinkedIn; and Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based and on-premises business solutions for organizations and enterprise divisions. The Intelligent Cloud segment licenses SQL, Windows Servers, Visual Studio, System Center, and related Client Access Licenses; GitHub that provides a collaboration platform and code hosting service for developers; Nuance provides healthcare and enterprise AI solutions; and Azure, a cloud platform. It also offers enterprise support, Microsoft consulting, and nuance professional services to assist customers in developing, deploying, and managing Microsoft server and desktop solutions; and training and certification on Microsoft products. The More Personal Computing segment provides Windows original equipment manufacturer (OEM) licensing and other non-volume licensing of the Windows operating system; Windows Commercial, such as volume licensing of the Windows operating system, Windows cloud services, and other Windows commercial offerings; patent licensing; and Windows Internet of Things. It also offers Surface, PC accessories, PCs, tablets, gaming and entertainment consoles, and other devices; Gaming, including Xbox hardware, and Xbox content and services; video games and third-party video game royalties; and Search, including Bing and Microsoft advertising. The company sells its products through OEMs, distributors, and resellers; and directly through digital marketplaces, online stores, and retail stores. Microsoft Corporation was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, Washington.
- CEO
- Satya Nadella
- Employees
- 228K
- Beta
- 1.08
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($312.19 ÷ $414.44) − 1 = -24.67% (DCF, example).