US · ORGN
Origin Materials, Inc.
- Sector
- Basic Materials · Chemicals
- Headquarters
- West Sacramento, CA 95605
- Website
- originmaterials.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$2.66
Market cap 23.73M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $24.93 | +837.22% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $0.58 | -78.2% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | |||||
| 2020 | $10.77 | ||||
| 2021 | $6.07 | ||||
| 2022 | $4.13 | ||||
| 2023 | $0.61 | ||||
| 2024 | $0.82 | $24.93 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Origin Materials, Inc.'s (ORGN) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $24.93
- Current price
- $2.66
- AI upside
- +837.22%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$0.58
-78.2% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ORGN | Origin Materials, Inc. | $2.66 | 23.73M | +837% | -78% | — | — | -1.40 | 0.35 | 3.74 | -0.33 | — | 0.35 | 1.34% | -271.28% | -267.56% | -22.00% | -32.69% | -19.93% | 0.03 | -228.74 | 11.09 | 9.93 | 0.65 | -44118.00% | 860.00% | -6493.00% | -51.04% | -4.05 | -23.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.28 | -0.40 | 0.76 | 1.37 |
| ALTO | Alto Ingredients, Inc. | $2.28 | 176.47M | +1,054% | -74% | — | +321% | -1.87 | 0.49 | 0.11 | -7.08 | -1.78 | 0.50 | 1.01% | -5.35% | -6.11% | -23.38% | -15.68% | -13.79% | 0.51 | -6.76 | 2.65 | 1.62 | -2.96 | 10500.00% | -2107.00% | 9434.00% | -13.23% | -0.06 | -4.43% | 1.15% | -2.20% | 1.15% | -3.67 | -12.99 | 0.20 | -0.23 |
| ATLX | Atlas Lithium Corporation | $5.29 | 95.46M | — | -60% | — | — | -1.72 | 3.59 | 114.36 | -1.63 | — | 3.66 | 39.83% | -6574.16% | -6331.77% | -311.61% | -2258.01% | -87.58% | 0.49 | — | 2.86 | 2.74 | 0.12 | -2920.00% | — | 23108.00% | -60.46% | -3.30 | -2374.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -1.62 | -1.54 | 106.56 | -4.49 |
| FEAM | 5E Advanced Materials Inc… | $2.00 | 47.02M | — | — | — | — | -0.87 | 0.44 | — | -4.80 | -0.37 | 0.44 | 0.00% | — | — | -85.40% | -66.98% | -39.39% | 0.00 | -6.77 | 0.72 | 0.60 | 0.73 | 23475.00% | — | -3023.00% | -86.39% | -3.67 | -36.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 232.27% | -0.55 | -1.01 | — | -4.46 |
| LGO | Largo Inc. | $1.68 | 107.72M | +1,465% | -58% | — | +1,170% | -2.23 | 0.68 | 0.90 | -3.27 | -3.38 | 0.69 | -16.73% | -37.05% | -39.89% | -24.53% | -14.91% | -14.14% | 0.11 | -4.89 | 0.82 | 0.28 | 0.14 | 6596.00% | -3713.00% | -443.00% | -27.53% | 0.10 | -14.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 33.27% | -2.34 | -3.48 | 0.87 | -0.26 |
| LOOP | Loop Industries, Inc. | $1.30 | 62.84M | +81,976% | +2,435% | — | — | -3.16 | 129.66 | 4.37 | -2.71 | — | -35.49 | 95.19% | -52.59% | -138.28% | -207.55% | -1165.21% | -76.96% | 8.41 | -9.27 | 3.50 | 3.44 | 0.71 | -2869.00% | 701699.00% | -8914.00% | -5.40% | -0.54 | -523.09% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.13% | -6.58 | -14.66 | 3.46 | -12.70 |
| NEXM | NexMetals Mining Corp. | $4.11 | 88.18M | — | — | — | — | -1.39 | -17.05 | — | -1.91 | — | -17.05 | 0.00% | — | — | -2172.02% | -461.11% | -158.27% | -5.58 | -12.94 | 1.64 | 1.52 | -0.35 | 0.00% | — | 1282.00% | -65.71% | -8.08 | -442.64% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -1.79 | -1.86 | — | -12.18 |
About Origin Materials, Inc.
Micromidas, Inc., doing business as Origin Materials, produces and commercializes plant-based PET plastic. It develops a platform for turning the carbon found in biomass into useful materials, while capturing carbon in the process. The company serves tire filler, carbon black, agriculture, and activated carbon markets. Micromidas, Inc. has a strategic alliance with Palantir Technologies Inc. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is based in West Sacramento, California with a facility in Sarnia, Canada.
- CEO
- John Bissell
- Employees
- 109
- Beta
- 0.98
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($0.58 ÷ $2.66) − 1 = -78.2% (DCF, example).