US · SAFT
Safety Insurance Group, Inc.
- Sector
- Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty
- Headquarters
- Boston, MA 02110
- Website
- safetyinsurance.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$75.62
Market cap 1.16B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $58.44 | -22.72% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $243.51 | +222.02% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $38.30 | -49.35% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $138.74 | +83.48% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $22.79 | $31.18 | $0.00 | $17.80 | $17.20 |
| 2012 | $27.22 | $34.47 | $24.73 | $35.91 | $54.13 |
| 2013 | $33.01 | $44.38 | $164.42 | $33.63 | $51.60 |
| 2014 | $36.89 | $47.07 | $103.48 | $32.07 | $49.23 |
| 2015 | $36.97 | $49.12 | $67.70 | $1.27 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $47.95 | $43.40 | $73.18 | $29.02 | $47.53 |
| 2017 | $55.05 | $53.90 | $75.34 | $27.06 | $41.74 |
| 2018 | $63.08 | $54.43 | $73.40 | $32.13 | $39.58 |
| 2019 | $62.92 | $63.12 | $79.96 | $33.97 | $83.36 |
| 2020 | $69.04 | $72.07 | $90.53 | $50.47 | $39.65 |
| 2021 | $71.95 | $176.60 | $64.06 | $0.00 | $95.28 |
| 2022 | $68.26 | $89.03 | $37.20 | $15.89 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $72.72 | $43.23 | $25.39 | $5.61 | $32.63 |
| 2024 | $72.79 | $46.03 | $314.46 | $24.86 | $130.32 |
| 2025 | $77.09 | $58.44 | $645.36 | $38.30 | $138.74 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Safety Insurance Group, Inc.'s (SAFT) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $58.44
- Current price
- $75.62
- AI upside
- -22.72%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$243.51
+222.02% upside
Graham-Dodd
$38.30
-49.35% upside
Graham Formula
$138.74
+83.48% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| SAFT | Safety Insurance Group, I… | $75.62 | 1.16B | -23% | +222% | -49% | +83% | 11.43 | 1.27 | 0.90 | 8.84 | 28.45 | 1.31 | 36.43% | 10.10% | 7.91% | 11.54% | 17.20% | 4.19% | 0.08 | 82.80 | 25.00 | 25.00 | 0.00 | 4017.00% | 1301.00% | 5443.00% | 16.93% | 12.34 | 33.27% | 4.75% | 54.30% | 4.75% | 8.95 | 5.91 | 0.90 | 1.77 |
| ASIC | Ategrity Specialty Holdin… | $22.12 | 1.06B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BOW | Bowhead Specialty Holding… | $25.33 | 830.4M | +227% | +2,362% | -14% | +136% | 15.58 | 1.87 | 1.52 | -11.06 | 67.01 | 1.87 | 40.16% | 12.20% | 9.75% | 13.14% | -6.07% | 2.67% | 0.00 | 33.43 | 5110.75 | 5110.75 | -3.37 | 2326.00% | 2961.00% | -10013.00% | -0.05% | -1.22 | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 16.26% | -11.39 | 2006.63 | -1.39 | 1.47 |
| DGICA | Donegal Group Inc. | $17.62 | 639.97M | +187% | -52% | +91% | +2% | 6.85 | 0.85 | 0.56 | 5.58 | 16.14 | 0.95 | 42.30% | 9.98% | 8.11% | 13.38% | 19.18% | 3.36% | 0.05 | 72.24 | — | — | 0.08 | 4248.00% | -117.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.66 | — | 0.56 | 0.92 |
| NMFC | New Mountain Finance Corp… | $7.65 | 771.17M | +795% | -28% | +49% | -60% | 6.06 | 0.70 | 2.23 | 3.10 | — | 0.70 | 83.64% | 37.99% | 4.45% | 10.76% | 6.22% | 4.43% | 0.17 | 1.14 | 0.57 | 0.55 | 0.38 | -8641.00% | 1225.00% | 80236.00% | 45.83% | 1.74 | 17.20% | 0.47% | 2.80% | 205.19% | 6.70 | 2.49 | 2.55 | 0.63 |
| OCFC | OceanFirst Financial Corp… | $18.06 | 1.04B | +134% | +26% | -25% | -76% | 15.02 | 0.64 | 1.63 | 15.21 | — | 0.94 | 54.48% | 14.11% | 10.83% | 4.22% | 3.54% | 0.51% | 1.03 | 0.33 | 3.86 | 3.86 | 16.99 | -2909.00% | -470.00% | -1028.00% | 7.12% | 0.02 | 3.79% | 4.52% | 67.90% | 4.52% | 15.21 | 18.52 | 2.15 | 0.87 |
| PEBO | Peoples Bancorp Inc. | $32.27 | 1.15B | +79% | -4% | +22% | -19% | 10.74 | 0.95 | 1.85 | 12.55 | — | 1.41 | 67.46% | 21.80% | 17.27% | 9.21% | 10.71% | 1.13% | 0.61 | 0.85 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 4.05 | -967.00% | 40.00% | -120.00% | 11.75% | 0.02 | 13.51% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 12.55 | 12.56 | 2.74 | 0.10 |
| ROOT | Root, Inc. | $51.88 | 710.9M | +64% | +40,168% | -40% | +80% | 19.07 | 2.70 | 0.51 | 9.59 | 85.10 | 2.99 | 39.08% | 4.07% | 2.66% | 16.52% | -41.26% | 2.66% | 0.70 | 2.89 | — | — | -0.85 | 2240.00% | 2895.00% | 1229.00% | 26.88% | — | -147.24% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.42 | 3.42 | 0.47 | 0.83 |
| SIGI | Selective Insurance Group… | $84.04 | 5.08B | -8% | -60% | -14% | +59% | 11.12 | 1.44 | 0.97 | 7.21 | 8.45 | 1.67 | 40.86% | 11.05% | 8.74% | 13.86% | 16.12% | 3.25% | 0.25 | 11.95 | 650.38 | 164.40 | 1.34 | 13158.00% | 978.00% | 1539.00% | 23.79% | 75.28 | 42.63% | 1.97% | 21.90% | 3.75% | 8.21 | 3.92 | 0.91 | 1.94 |
| UFCS | United Fire Group, Inc. | $38.86 | 991.78M | -1% | +141% | +26% | +113% | 8.77 | 1.10 | 0.75 | 5.53 | 10.03 | 1.10 | 44.86% | 10.67% | 8.52% | 13.72% | 42.55% | 3.23% | 0.00 | 13.13 | — | — | -0.98 | 8745.00% | 1075.00% | -1983.00% | 25.41% | — | 94.79% | 1.57% | 13.80% | 8.56% | 5.95 | 3.34 | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| UVE | Universal Insurance Holdi… | $35.17 | 986.48M | +173% | -20% | +49% | +141% | 5.53 | 1.84 | 0.63 | 2.55 | 2.58 | 1.85 | 38.21% | 15.23% | 11.47% | 39.59% | 159.97% | 8.36% | 0.18 | 50.30 | 19.39 | 19.39 | -1.51 | 21443.00% | 494.00% | 19006.00% | 37.24% | 13.36 | 329.68% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 21.65% | 2.61 | 1.68 | 0.40 | 2.93 |
About Safety Insurance Group, Inc.
Safety Insurance Group, Inc. provides private passenger and commercial automobile, and homeowner insurance in the United States. The company's private passenger automobile policies offer coverage for bodily injury and property damage to others, no-fault personal injury coverage for the insured/insured's car occupants, and physical damage coverage for an insured's own vehicle for collision or other perils. It also provides commercial automobile policies that offer insurance for commercial vehicles used for business purposes, including private passenger-type vehicles, trucks, tractors and trailers, insure individual vehicles, and commercial fleets; and homeowners policies, which provide coverage for homes, condominiums, and apartments for losses to a dwelling and its contents from various perils, and coverage for liability to others arising from ownership or occupancy. In addition, the company offers business owners policies that cover apartments and residential condominiums, restaurants, office condominiums, processing and services businesses, special trade contractors, and wholesalers. Further, it provides personal umbrella policies, which provide personal excess liability coverage over and above the limits of individual automobile, watercraft, and homeowner's insurance policies; and commercial umbrella and business owner policies, as well as underwrites dwelling fire insurance for non-owner-occupied residences. Additionally, the company offers inland marine coverage for homeowners and business owner policies, and watercraft coverage for small and medium sized pleasure crafts. It distributes its products through independent agents. The company was formerly known as Safety Holdings Inc and changed its name to Safety Insurance Group, Inc. in April 2002. Safety Insurance Group, Inc. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
- CEO
- George Michael Murphy
- Employees
- 551
- Beta
- 0.21
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($243.51 ÷ $75.62) − 1 = +222.02% (DCF, example).