US · SMG
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
- Sector
- Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
- Headquarters
- Marysville, OH 43041
- Website
- scottsmiraclegro.com
Price · as of 2025-09-30
$61.72
Market cap 4.07B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $79.27 | +28.43% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $21.32 | -65.46% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $10.85 | -82.42% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $27.76 | $44.32 | $0.00 | $1.11 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $26.40 | $31.60 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $13.53 |
| 2013 | $39.63 | $40.28 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $20.23 |
| 2014 | $43.93 | $40.47 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $24.04 |
| 2015 | $48.30 | $60.30 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $36.77 |
| 2016 | $71.00 | $55.98 | $1.05 | $3.43 | $12.54 |
| 2017 | $76.71 | $58.90 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $5.98 |
| 2018 | $53.99 | $47.49 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $10.08 |
| 2019 | $81.42 | $80.06 | $30.80 | $11.18 | $213.59 |
| 2020 | $158.31 | $117.47 | $584.13 | $0.00 | $262.78 |
| 2021 | $128.20 | $131.66 | $1,297.06 | $14.82 | $243.79 |
| 2022 | $45.12 | $44.45 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $89.73 |
| 2023 | $55.16 | $136.10 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $7.14 |
| 2024 | $71.48 | $61.76 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $53.31 | $79.27 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $10.85 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's (SMG) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $79.27
- Current price
- $61.72
- AI upside
- +28.43%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$21.32
-65.46% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$10.85
-82.42% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| SMG | The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co… | $61.72 | 4.07B | +28% | -65% | — | -82% | 21.15 | -8.59 | 0.90 | 12.72 | — | -3.06 | 30.59% | 10.51% | 4.25% | -38.82% | 11.62% | 5.17% | -6.66 | 2.78 | 1.27 | 0.30 | 5.51 | -50492.00% | -393.00% | -5306.00% | 8.92% | 0.50 | 13.55% | 5.02% | 106.30% | 8.97% | 15.10 | 19.77 | 1.59 | 2.51 |
| AVNT | Avient Corporation | $41.07 | 3.76B | -22% | -51% | — | -81% | 44.74 | 1.58 | 1.15 | 9.39 | — | -4.27 | 32.46% | 6.24% | 2.51% | 3.57% | 3.95% | 1.41% | 0.81 | 2.06 | 1.66 | 1.12 | 2.57 | -5163.00% | 61.00% | 4455.00% | 5.21% | 0.36 | 5.06% | 2.64% | 118.20% | 7.87% | 25.32 | 26.43 | 1.58 | 1.38 |
| CENX | Century Aluminum Company | $51.56 | 4.81B | +183% | -60% | -79% | -82% | 306.18 | 5.86 | 1.91 | 36.92 | — | 5.86 | 10.14% | 6.25% | 1.65% | 2.08% | 13.07% | 0.75% | 0.66 | 3.31 | 1.97 | 0.93 | 2.90 | -8723.00% | 1385.00% | -17933.00% | 1.75% | 0.35 | 7.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.52% | 33.21 | 61.91 | 2.08 | 2.79 |
| FUL | H.B. Fuller Company | $65.72 | 3.57B | -2% | -60% | -91% | -76% | 23.65 | 1.79 | 1.03 | 10.44 | 120.89 | -7.45 | 31.69% | 11.49% | 4.37% | 7.93% | 7.24% | 3.00% | 1.01 | 2.99 | 1.70 | 0.90 | 3.62 | 1957.00% | -267.00% | -2572.00% | 3.37% | 0.35 | 3.17% | 1.40% | 33.10% | 3.09% | 13.79 | 45.41 | 1.58 | 2.27 |
| PRM | Perimeter Solutions, S.A. | $23.48 | 3.47B | +42% | -41% | — | — | -16.77 | 3.05 | 5.30 | -25.75 | -0.51 | -4.16 | 57.46% | -30.78% | -31.61% | -18.02% | -13.47% | -8.14% | 0.03 | -5.13 | 3.22 | 2.23 | 2.38 | 328272.00% | 1638.00% | -11322.00% | -0.66% | 0.04 | -1.75% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 27.15% | -15.77 | -138.66 | 4.85 | 1.12 |
| TGLS | Tecnoglass Inc. | $45.56 | 2.12B | +31% | -42% | -50% | +36% | 13.20 | 2.95 | 2.14 | 8.13 | — | 3.14 | 42.84% | 23.46% | 16.22% | 23.74% | 22.62% | 14.02% | 0.24 | — | 1.86 | 1.07 | 0.26 | -29.00% | 1050.00% | -6208.00% | 1.64% | 0.39 | 4.99% | 1.34% | 17.60% | 6.93% | 9.42 | 63.03 | 2.21 | 4.73 |
| TTAM | Titan America S.A. | $18.12 | 3.34B | +39% | -63% | -98% | -47% | 16.61 | 3.68 | 1.69 | 9.19 | 232.51 | 5.54 | 25.49% | 15.38% | 10.16% | 22.60% | 16.20% | 10.84% | 0.61 | 10.00 | 1.61 | 0.59 | 1.28 | 714.00% | 269.00% | 391.00% | 4.08% | 1.04 | 9.77% | 3.08% | 51.20% | 4.95% | 12.75 | 28.47 | 1.96 | 4.25 |
| USLM | United States Lime & Mine… | $114.16 | 3.27B | -12% | -49% | -60% | +2% | 26.76 | 5.70 | 9.64 | 21.01 | 115.25 | 5.70 | 48.94% | 42.35% | 36.03% | 23.80% | 28.98% | 21.94% | 0.00 | — | 19.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2322.00% | 1731.00% | 372.00% | 2.85% | 6.98 | 23.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 22.76 | 35.13 | 9.64 | 44.95 |
| WDFC | WD-40 Company | $238.20 | 3.22B | -38% | -66% | — | -64% | 29.37 | 9.97 | 4.31 | 23.94 | 94.98 | 15.85 | 55.06% | 16.74% | 14.68% | 36.49% | 31.27% | 19.68% | 0.36 | 30.16 | 2.79 | 1.75 | 0.35 | 3092.00% | 498.00% | -505.00% | 3.12% | 0.86 | 28.06% | 1.88% | 55.20% | 2.96% | 26.13 | 32.52 | 4.37 | 11.80 |
About The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company engages in the manufacture, marketing, and sale of products for lawn, garden care, and indoor and hydroponic gardening in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Consumer, Hawthorne, and Other. It provides lawn care products comprising lawn fertilizers, grass seed products, spreaders, other durable products, and outdoor cleaners, as well as lawn-related weed, pest, and disease control products; gardening and landscape products include water-soluble and continuous-release plant foods, potting mixes and garden soils, mulch and decorative groundcover products, plant-related pest and disease control products, organic garden products, and lives goods and seeding solutions. The company also offers hydroponic products that help users to grow plants, flowers, and vegetables using little or no soil; lighting systems and components for use in hydroponic and indoor gardening applications; insect, rodent, and weed control products for home areas; and non-selective weed killer products. It sells its products under the Scotts, Turf Builder, EZ Seed, PatchMaster, Thick'R Lawn, GrubEx, EdgeGuard, Handy Green II, Miracle-Gro, LiquaFeed, Osmocote, Shake 'N Feed, Hyponex, Earthgro, SuperSoil, Fafard, Nature Scapes, Ortho, Miracle-Gro Performance Organics, Miracle-Gro Organic Choice, Whitney Farms, EcoScraps, Mother Earth, Botanicare, Hydroponics, Vermicrop, Gavita, Agrolux, Can-Filters, Sun System, Gro Pro, Hurricane, AeroGarden, Titan, Tomcat, Ortho Weed B Gon, Roundup, Groundclear, and Alchemist brands. The company serves home centers, mass merchandisers, warehouse clubs, large hardware chains, independent hardware stores, nurseries, garden centers, e-commerce platforms, and food and drug stores, as well as indoor gardening and hydroponic distributors, retailers, and growers. The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company was founded in 1868 and is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.
- CEO
- James S. Hagedorn
- Employees
- 5.3K
- Beta
- 1.97
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($21.32 ÷ $61.72) − 1 = -65.46% (DCF, example).