US · SPCE
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
- Headquarters
- Tustin, CA 92782
- Website
- virgingalactic.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$2.65
Market cap 161.17M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $1.36 | -48.68% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $1.36 | -48.68% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | $200.60 | ||||
| 2018 | $202.50 | $104.48 | $0.00 | $75.89 | $76.80 |
| 2019 | $433.40 | $971.65 | $22.07 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $691.00 | $276.40 | $19.74 | $0.00 | $4,802.85 |
| 2021 | $145.60 | $155.60 | $33.22 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $99.60 | $39.84 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $772.13 |
| 2023 | $34.40 | $13.76 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $3.41 | $1.36 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.'s (SPCE) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $1.36
- Current price
- $2.65
- AI upside
- -48.68%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$1.36
-48.68% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| SPCE | Virgin Galactic Holdings,… | $2.65 | 161.17M | -49% | -49% | — | — | -0.25 | 0.26 | 12.09 | 0.18 | — | 0.26 | -1179.48% | -5352.89% | -4928.08% | -83.78% | -249.66% | -32.39% | 1.30 | -29.14 | 4.19 | 3.75 | -0.76 | -5339.00% | 347.00% | -364.00% | -557.67% | -2.35 | -314.58% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 38.53% | 0.15 | 0.12 | -8.24 | -4.21 |
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group Inc. | $6.90 | 222.42M | +606% | -56% | — | — | -3.10 | -28.33 | 0.14 | -29.70 | -10.31 | -1.85 | 25.85% | 1.26% | -4.37% | -233.43% | 2.95% | -5.70% | -38.59 | 2.13 | 1.43 | 0.41 | -16.72 | 3010.00% | -217.00% | -34444.00% | 13.24% | 0.07 | 4.19% | 1.20% | -3.70% | 351.03% | 24.58 | 17.28 | 0.31 | 1.49 |
| FC | Franklin Covey Co. | $13.02 | 156.11M | +880% | -44% | -70% | -97% | 62.74 | 2.88 | 0.72 | 11.68 | — | 168.84 | 76.22% | 2.14% | 1.15% | 4.09% | 6.91% | 1.22% | 0.12 | 10.10 | 0.82 | 0.64 | -1.65 | -8621.00% | -702.00% | -7863.00% | 6.28% | 0.18 | 28.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.70% | 29.56 | 13.95 | 0.63 | 2.42 |
| FCEL | FuelCell Energy, Inc. | $8.14 | 388.58M | -47% | -63% | — | — | -1.02 | 0.27 | 1.23 | -0.32 | -0.07 | 0.27 | -16.70% | -76.65% | -118.80% | -26.56% | -20.68% | -20.19% | 0.20 | -11.68 | 6.63 | 5.13 | 1.07 | 141429.00% | 4105.00% | -2632.00% | -75.76% | -1.85 | -25.22% | 1.64% | -1.70% | 75.42% | -0.37 | -0.30 | 0.28 | -1.89 |
| ISSC | Innovative Solutions and … | $25.94 | 461.17M | +77% | +474% | -70% | +186% | 11.49 | 2.78 | 2.13 | 7.91 | 9.58 | 5.23 | 48.06% | 23.81% | 18.54% | 28.10% | 19.63% | 16.83% | 0.37 | 11.63 | 3.04 | 1.26 | 0.84 | 12000.00% | 7860.00% | 3217.00% | 3.78% | 0.80 | 8.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.37% | 10.02 | 29.60 | 2.38 | 5.02 |
| NVX | Novonix Limited | $0.95 | 140.87M | +1,681% | -29% | — | — | -1.78 | 1.05 | 29.41 | -4.03 | -5.34 | 1.14 | -433.30% | -929.63% | -1650.76% | -74.56% | -35.21% | -42.79% | 0.70 | -4.37 | 1.07 | 1.03 | -0.56 | 3333.00% | 4389.00% | 11831.00% | -61.97% | -0.51 | -69.66% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.67 | -1.87 | 34.14 | -1.52 |
| PAL | Proficient Auto Logistics… | $7.57 | 210.67M | +480% | +3,104% | — | — | -6.43 | 0.69 | 0.50 | 5.36 | -4.08 | 5.04 | 7.87% | 3.81% | -7.77% | -10.26% | 3.30% | -6.79% | 0.31 | 2.49 | 1.15 | 0.92 | 1.50 | 15745.00% | 7871.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 18.22 | — | 0.69 | 1.71 |
| PAMT | Pamt Corp. | $10.04 | 210.1M | +360% | -41% | -46% | -54% | -9.41 | 1.08 | 0.42 | 6.47 | — | 1.08 | 2.03% | -5.14% | -4.45% | -10.75% | -6.08% | -4.23% | 1.17 | -2.78 | 1.78 | 1.67 | 3.24 | -27590.00% | -1186.00% | -20149.00% | -27.32% | 0.50 | -17.66% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.76% | -13.98 | -6.29 | 0.72 | 1.81 |
| POWW | Outdoor Holding Company | $2.13 | 249.82M | +1,308% | -55% | — | — | -2.38 | 0.70 | 3.14 | -2.80 | -0.39 | 4.81 | 86.91% | -120.87% | -264.84% | -22.49% | -23.47% | -18.62% | 0.01 | -726.68 | 1.16 | 0.65 | 0.63 | 61250.00% | -842.00% | -14507.00% | -8.70% | -0.16 | -5.31% | 1.91% | -4.60% | 6.14% | -2.12 | -9.37 | 2.56 | -0.18 |
| SHMD | SCHMID Group N.V. Class A… | $6.46 | 278.18M | — | — | -24% | -41% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 29.25% | 35.67% | 40.85% | 0.04% | 14.78% | 0.03% | -2.35 | 3.19 | 0.85 | 0.60 | 0.93 | 149652.00% | -506.00% | -18333.00% | — | 0.11 | 1.47% | — | 0.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| VWAV | VisionWave Holdings, Inc. | $7.77 | 128.18M | — | — | — | — | -17.45 | -9.69 | — | -18.00 | -8.26 | -9.69 | 0.00% | — | — | 95.63% | 133.18% | -202.85% | -0.41 | -113.63 | 0.19 | 0.17 | -0.40 | 21111.00% | — | 22918.00% | -2.48% | -0.20 | 56.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -17.33 | -41.16 | — | -16.64 |
About Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. focuses on the development, manufacture, and operation of spaceships and related technologies for conducting commercial human spaceflight and flying commercial research and development payloads into space. It is also involved in the ground and flight testing, and post-flight maintenance of its spaceflight system vehicles. The company serves private individuals, researchers, and government agencies. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2017 is headquartered in Las Cruces, New Mexico. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. was a former subsidiary of Virgin Orbit Holdings, Inc.
- CEO
- Michael A. Colglazier
- Employees
- 744
- Beta
- 2.22
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($1.36 ÷ $2.65) − 1 = -48.68% (DCF, example).