US · TPL
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
- Sector
- Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
- Headquarters
- Dallas, TX 75201
- Website
- texaspacific.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$433.62
Market cap 36.15B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $281.87 | -35% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $214.45 | -50.54% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $23.91 | -94.49% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $143.58 | -66.89% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $4.50 | $35.04 | $0.00 | $0.37 | $5.87 |
| 2012 | $5.67 | $32.57 | $0.00 | $1.84 | $4.28 |
| 2013 | $13.61 | $35.21 | $0.00 | $1.99 | $14.77 |
| 2014 | $14.68 | $35.26 | $1.08 | $2.20 | $14.83 |
| 2015 | $14.55 | $38.41 | $7.93 | $3.52 | $33.93 |
| 2016 | $26.82 | $41.73 | $0.80 | $2.73 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $51.66 | $62.98 | $50.57 | $4.25 | $133.60 |
| 2018 | $70.92 | $75.64 | $0.01 | $11.68 | $387.29 |
| 2019 | $62.47 | $78.76 | $4.18 | $20.16 | $313.99 |
| 2020 | $150.48 | $88.76 | $1.95 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $138.68 | $105.66 | $11.37 | $10.36 | $212.83 |
| 2022 | $182.98 | $134.90 | $14.79 | $0.00 | $346.96 |
| 2023 | $165.71 | $142.42 | $13.26 | $22.72 | $17.39 |
| 2024 | $455.45 | $234.48 | $5.52 | $0.00 | $127.64 |
| 2025 | $531.09 | $281.87 | $7.69 | $23.91 | $143.58 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Texas Pacific Land Corporation's (TPL) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $281.87
- Current price
- $433.62
- AI upside
- -35%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$214.45
-50.54% upside
Graham-Dodd
$23.91
-94.49% upside
Graham Formula
$143.58
-66.89% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land Corpor… | $433.62 | 36.15B | -35% | -51% | -94% | -67% | 76.07 | 25.10 | 45.88 | 55.70 | 1260.37 | 25.68 | 100.00% | 74.19% | 60.31% | 37.15% | 44.28% | 33.53% | 0.02 | — | 4.40 | 4.27 | -0.17 | 604.00% | 1309.00% | 551.00% | 1.33% | 7.52 | 46.11% | 0.40% | 30.70% | 0.47% | 61.65 | 75.06 | 45.74 | 136.92 |
| CTRA | Coterra Energy Inc. | $30.59 | 23.29B | +12% | -29% | -33% | — | 13.97 | 1.40 | 8.72 | 4.98 | 28.50 | 1.40 | 60.41% | 89.13% | 62.41% | 11.34% | 11.56% | 7.84% | 0.01 | 11.96 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 4901.00% | -4962.00% | 29268.00% | 16.77% | 3.08 | 24.99% | 2.84% | 39.70% | 10.22% | 9.83 | 6.00 | 8.77 | 3.30 |
| DVN | Devon Energy Corporation | $43.53 | 27B | +55% | -37% | -32% | +71% | 10.53 | 1.82 | 1.65 | 4.79 | — | 1.91 | 24.71% | 22.04% | 15.43% | 17.86% | 12.77% | 8.64% | 0.57 | 7.39 | 0.98 | 0.79 | 0.99 | -810.00% | 1001.00% | -46565.00% | 11.05% | 1.64 | 13.64% | 2.19% | 23.10% | 9.48% | 9.42 | 11.41 | 2.08 | 2.44 |
| EC | Ecopetrol S.A. | $11.89 | 24.44B | +324% | -24% | — | -76% | 4.45 | 0.86 | 0.54 | 3.17 | — | 1.15 | 35.14% | 28.85% | 10.38% | 19.90% | 12.92% | 5.53% | 1.43 | 4.53 | 1.53 | 0.86 | 1.90 | -2740.00% | -689.00% | 46397.00% | 45.34% | 1.08 | 18.14% | 23.42% | 104.20% | 23.47% | 4.60 | 5.43 | 1.33 | 1.36 |
| EXE | Expand Energy Corporation | $107.92 | 25.94B | +36% | +602% | -37% | +1,154% | 14.15 | 1.39 | 2.21 | 5.94 | — | 1.39 | 46.51% | 17.49% | 15.62% | 10.07% | 7.10% | 6.48% | 0.27 | 8.67 | 1.01 | 0.88 | 0.87 | -26637.00% | 17595.00% | 2288750.00% | 7.14% | 1.58 | 8.04% | 2.97% | 42.10% | 7.80% | 14.65 | 16.23 | 2.56 | 2.48 |
| FTI | TechnipFMC plc | $66.31 | 27.25B | -24% | -38% | -75% | -41% | 29.24 | 8.41 | 2.85 | 19.79 | 143.22 | 9.63 | 17.35% | 9.63% | 9.70% | 29.95% | 23.75% | 9.68% | 0.60 | 9.87 | 1.13 | 0.76 | 0.67 | 2042.00% | 937.00% | 11304.00% | 5.12% | 0.36 | 35.92% | 0.29% | 8.50% | 3.54% | 30.57 | 20.21 | 2.95 | 3.38 |
| HAL | Halliburton Company | $36.00 | 30.3B | -14% | -60% | -83% | -79% | 23.36 | 2.88 | 1.36 | 11.89 | — | 4.01 | 15.76% | 11.95% | 5.78% | 12.32% | 11.71% | 5.11% | 0.78 | 6.34 | 2.04 | 1.28 | 1.95 | -4700.00% | -331.00% | -3099.00% | 5.54% | 0.52 | 10.12% | 1.92% | 44.80% | 6.01% | 13.61 | 21.59 | 1.63 | 3.61 |
| PBA | Pembina Pipeline Corporat… | $43.99 | 25.56B | -18% | -50% | — | -42% | 23.63 | 2.39 | 5.15 | 16.67 | — | 3.84 | 38.36% | 36.11% | 21.78% | 9.88% | 7.11% | 4.74% | 0.79 | 4.79 | 0.61 | 0.46 | 4.13 | -1133.00% | 534.00% | 1018.00% | 6.22% | 1.60 | 8.21% | 4.43% | 104.60% | 4.43% | 18.95 | 21.39 | 6.84 | 1.73 |
| TS | Tenaris S.A. | $54.40 | 29.19B | -21% | -60% | -55% | -73% | 14.68 | 1.71 | 2.37 | 8.95 | — | 1.86 | 34.39% | 19.06% | 16.13% | 11.65% | 12.87% | 9.54% | 0.03 | 48.50 | 3.87 | 2.06 | -0.04 | -4862.00% | -433.00% | -830.00% | 6.99% | 1.11 | 14.01% | 3.17% | 46.60% | 8.08% | 11.36 | 13.09 | 2.17 | 6.62 |
| VG | Venture Global, Inc. | $9.69 | 23.73B | +192% | -62% | -64% | — | 12.70 | 7.66 | 4.46 | 15.66 | — | 7.66 | 66.35% | 35.46% | 31.03% | 79.24% | 6.01% | 4.85% | 10.29 | 3.02 | 1.29 | 1.12 | 8.48 | -4135.00% | -3704.00% | 22669.00% | -52.16% | 0.61 | -49.27% | 0.63% | 8.00% | 0.63% | 27.44 | -4.18 | 9.73 | 0.72 |
About Texas Pacific Land Corporation
Texas Pacific Land Corporation engages in the land and resource management, and water services and operations businesses. The company's Land and Resource Management segment manages approximately 880,000 acres of land. This segment also holds own a 1/128th nonparticipating perpetual oil and gas royalty interest (NPRI) under approximately 85,000 acres of land; a 1/16th NPRI under approximately 371,000 acres of land; and approximately 4,000 additional net royalty acres located in the western part of Texas. In addition, this segment engages in easements and commercial leases activities, such as oil, gas and related hydrocarbons, power line and utility easements, and subsurface wellbore easements. Further, this segment leases its land for processing, storage, and compression facilities and roads; and is involved in sale of materials, such as caliche. Its Water Services and Operations segment provides full-service water offerings, including water sourcing, produced-water gathering/treatment, infrastructure development, disposal solutions, water tracking, analytics, and well testing services to operators in the Permian Basin. This segment also holds royalties for water sourced from its land. Texas Pacific Land Corporation was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
- CEO
- Tyler Glover
- Employees
- 111
- Beta
- 0.93
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($214.45 ÷ $433.62) − 1 = -50.54% (DCF, example).