US · VEL
Velocity Financial, Inc.
- Sector
- Financial Services · Financial - Mortgages
- Headquarters
- Westlake Village, CA 91362
- Website
- velfinance.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$19.42
Market cap 723.15M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $116.52 | +500% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $586.22 | +2,918.64% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $26.10 | +34.4% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $551.37 | +2,739.16% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | $17.10 | $39.06 | |||
| 2018 | $16.77 | $22.67 | |||
| 2019 | $12.78 | $26.48 | $0.97 | $2.11 | $5.00 |
| 2020 | $8.77 | $166.33 | $0.00 | $15.36 | $14.47 |
| 2021 | $11.22 | $82.93 | $0.00 | $21.06 | $21.93 |
| 2022 | $8.37 | $69.05 | $0.09 | $16.64 | $43.93 |
| 2023 | $16.73 | $102.01 | $0.39 | $21.36 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $20.48 | $116.52 | $2,431.26 | $26.10 | $551.37 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Velocity Financial, Inc.'s (VEL) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $116.52
- Current price
- $19.42
- AI upside
- +500%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$586.22
+2,918.64% upside
Graham-Dodd
$26.10
+34.4% upside
Graham Formula
$551.37
+2,739.16% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| VEL | Velocity Financial, Inc. | $19.42 | 723.15M | +500% | +2,919% | +34% | +2,739% | 9.77 | 1.29 | 1.39 | 55.68 | 38.07 | 1.35 | 43.62% | 19.97% | 14.17% | 14.41% | 1.43% | 1.38% | 9.40 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.42 | 48.88 | 2566.00% | 26652.00% | -3845.00% | 5.60% | 0.08 | 0.78% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 56.83 | 146.21 | 11.35 | 0.21 |
| AMTB | Amerant Bancorp Inc. | $21.35 | 895.69M | +69% | -2% | +18% | +29% | 17.22 | 0.95 | 1.36 | -7.98 | — | 0.95 | 57.37% | 10.09% | 8.00% | 5.64% | -16.82% | 0.52% | 1.11 | 0.28 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 8.06 | -38636.00% | 1397.00% | 3098.00% | 11.02% | 0.02 | -31.43% | 1.28% | 22.10% | 3.53% | -8.54 | -5.77 | -0.86 | -0.17 |
| BFST | Business First Bancshares… | $27.30 | 808.5M | +103% | -52% | +51% | +112% | 9.31 | 0.91 | 1.60 | -0.26 | 40.48 | 1.08 | 60.92% | 22.15% | 17.16% | 10.36% | 18.38% | 1.09% | 0.61 | 0.59 | 5.62 | 5.62 | 1.18 | 2301.00% | 1184.00% | 5388.00% | 11.25% | 0.07 | 18.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.93% | -0.27 | -0.33 | -0.06 | 1.14 |
| CCNE | CNB Financial Corporation | $28.01 | 825.63M | -26% | -2% | -6% | +82% | 8.66 | 0.77 | 1.31 | -3.02 | — | 0.84 | 59.11% | 18.71% | 15.16% | 9.23% | 183.63% | 0.91% | 0.24 | 0.49 | 0.16 | 0.16 | -3.93 | -627.00% | 1180.00% | 5319.00% | 11.68% | 0.01 | 185.82% | 4.06% | 35.20% | 50.32% | -3.39 | -4.13 | -0.63 | -0.65 |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporat… | $17.71 | 645.13M | +669% | -59% | +51% | +121% | 8.64 | 0.86 | 5.05 | — | — | 0.86 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 58.44% | 10.57% | 0.00% | 5.70% | 0.31 | 0.00 | 25.62 | 25.62 | — | -1333.00% | 1117.00% | -33572.00% | -23.04% | -41.20 | -14.88% | 1.70% | 14.70% | 42.00% | — | -5.43 | 6.32 | 0.72 |
| HRTG | Heritage Insurance Holdin… | $27.87 | 861.5M | +1% | -31% | -30% | +35% | 5.66 | 1.20 | 0.43 | -0.53 | 34.96 | 1.37 | 21.88% | 10.12% | 7.53% | 24.08% | -41.50% | 2.68% | 0.49 | 7.56 | — | — | -3.02 | 1618.00% | 1108.00% | 3030.00% | 22.65% | — | -53.19% | 0.02% | 0.10% | 0.02% | -0.66 | -0.69 | -0.07 | 0.59 |
| MBWM | Mercantile Bank Corporati… | $51.66 | 887.58M | +39% | -1% | +30% | +14% | 9.63 | 1.18 | 2.30 | 0.98 | 89.56 | 1.35 | 64.03% | 27.46% | 23.87% | 13.56% | 209.76% | 1.38% | 1.14 | 0.79 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 3.31 | 1075.00% | 274.00% | -8789.00% | 1.31% | 0.00 | 26.49% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.03 | 9.35 | 0.28 | -0.42 |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | $110.88 | 884.57M | +22% | +249% | +1% | +285% | 10.57 | 1.78 | 2.51 | 6.15 | 32.05 | 1.79 | 58.14% | 35.81% | 23.77% | 19.16% | 19.51% | 2.25% | 0.69 | 0.91 | 0.13 | 0.13 | -0.58 | 3298.00% | 3473.00% | 4802613.00% | 6.06% | 0.02 | 12.49% | 0.04% | 0.40% | 22.46% | 6.30 | 14.83 | 2.26 | -0.38 |
| NCDL | Nuveen Churchill Direct L… | $12.88 | 635.86M | +123% | -52% | -82% | +502% | 7.12 | 0.85 | 4.45 | 16.26 | — | 0.85 | 59.91% | 62.62% | 62.54% | 13.54% | 6.36% | 6.00% | 1.14 | 1.46 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 9.14 | -529.00% | 2916.00% | 8676.00% | 16.46% | 2.23 | 7.46% | 11.49% | 81.90% | 15.54% | 16.26 | 13.88 | 10.18 | 0.67 |
| OPY | Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. | $86.29 | 899.22M | +543% | +41% | +83% | +259% | 6.40 | 1.03 | 0.58 | 3.42 | 6.11 | 1.03 | 51.15% | 22.43% | 9.06% | 16.76% | 21.24% | 8.73% | 0.00 | 4.15 | — | — | 0.00 | 10471.00% | 1435.00% | -26657.00% | 19.88% | — | 15.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 68.96% | 2.58 | 5.03 | 0.58 | 16906.98 |
About Velocity Financial, Inc.
Velocity Financial, Inc. operates as a real estate finance company in the United States. It primarily originates and manages investor loans secured by 14 unit residential rental and small commercial properties. The company offers its products through a network of independent mortgage brokers. Velocity Financial, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Westlake Village, California.
- CEO
- Christopher D. Farrar
- Employees
- 309
- Beta
- 0.81
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($586.22 ÷ $19.42) − 1 = +2,918.64% (DCF, example).