US · NCDL
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
- Sector
- Financial Services · Asset Management
- Headquarters
- New York City, MD
- Website
- churchillam.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$14.82
Market cap 635.86M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $28.66 | +93.39% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $6.12 | -58.7% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $2.28 | -84.61% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $77.51 | +423.01% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | $4.48 | $437.24 | |||
| 2020 | $24.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2021 | $22.55 | $728.87 | |||
| 2022 | $3.93 | $19.67 | |||
| 2023 | $12.91 | $36.35 | $0.00 | $5.38 | $470.16 |
| 2024 | $15.31 | $28.66 | $0.00 | $2.28 | $77.51 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s (NCDL) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $28.66
- Current price
- $14.82
- AI upside
- +93.39%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$6.12
-58.7% upside
Graham-Dodd
$2.28
-84.61% upside
Graham Formula
$77.51
+423.01% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| NCDL | Nuveen Churchill Direct L… | $14.82 | 635.86M | +93% | -59% | -85% | +423% | 7.12 | 0.85 | 4.45 | 16.26 | — | 0.85 | 59.91% | 62.62% | 62.54% | 13.54% | 6.36% | 6.00% | 1.14 | 1.46 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 9.14 | -529.00% | 2916.00% | 8676.00% | 16.46% | 2.23 | 7.46% | 11.49% | 81.90% | 15.54% | 16.26 | 13.88 | 10.18 | 0.67 |
| BCSF | Bain Capital Specialty Fi… | $12.91 | 837.45M | +132% | -53% | -97% | -16% | 8.25 | 0.86 | 4.63 | 18.75 | — | 0.86 | 64.92% | 58.20% | 56.10% | 10.49% | 4.96% | 4.68% | 1.22 | 1.66 | 1.92 | 1.33 | 10.79 | -314.00% | -235.00% | -1055.00% | 11.42% | 1.10 | 4.67% | 11.59% | 95.70% | 11.59% | 18.75 | 20.63 | 10.91 | 0.66 |
| ECC | Eagle Point Credit Compan… | $4.03 | 527.26M | +484% | +70% | — | — | 7.98 | 0.68 | 5.52 | 10.18 | — | 0.68 | 84.18% | 73.73% | 69.26% | 9.60% | 8.49% | 6.53% | 0.29 | 4.66 | 2.22 | 2.21 | 2.69 | -5057.00% | -1494.00% | 2153.00% | 16.17% | 2.36 | 10.28% | 25.58% | 204.00% | 25.58% | 10.18 | 8.40 | 7.51 | 0.69 |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporat… | $17.71 | 645.13M | +669% | -59% | +51% | +121% | 8.64 | 0.86 | 5.05 | — | — | 0.86 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 58.44% | 10.57% | 0.00% | 5.70% | 0.31 | 0.00 | 25.62 | 25.62 | — | -1333.00% | 1117.00% | -33572.00% | -23.04% | -41.20 | -14.88% | 1.70% | 14.70% | 42.00% | — | -5.43 | 6.32 | 0.72 |
| GAIN | Gladstone Investment Corp… | $13.69 | 545.16M | +98% | -58% | — | — | 7.17 | 0.94 | 5.21 | 13.92 | — | 0.94 | 68.57% | 72.67% | 72.67% | 13.17% | 7.14% | 6.72% | 0.91 | 2.31 | 3.69 | 3.69 | 6.76 | -2794.00% | -1288.00% | 3249.00% | 24.34% | 18.46 | 12.46% | 13.02% | 93.30% | 13.02% | 13.92 | 7.98 | 10.12 | 0.87 |
| MBWM | Mercantile Bank Corporati… | $51.66 | 887.58M | +39% | -1% | +30% | +14% | 9.63 | 1.18 | 2.30 | 0.98 | 89.56 | 1.35 | 64.03% | 27.46% | 23.87% | 13.56% | 209.76% | 1.38% | 1.14 | 0.79 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 3.31 | 1075.00% | 274.00% | -8789.00% | 1.31% | 0.00 | 26.49% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.03 | 9.35 | 0.28 | -0.42 |
| MSIF | MSC Income Fund, Inc. | $12.34 | 585.42M | +106% | -59% | +83% | +292% | 61.75 | 0.79 | 4.53 | 9.25 | 174.13 | 0.79 | 72.72% | 97.47% | 50.50% | 1.39% | 9.77% | 0.73% | 0.82 | 3.72 | — | — | 4.61 | 3546.00% | 2742.00% | 15057.00% | -11.99% | — | -5.67% | 0.20% | 12.50% | 0.20% | 9.25 | -16.62 | 9.02 | 0.93 |
| SLRC | SLR Investment Corp. | $14.42 | 786.68M | +196% | -59% | +85% | +275% | — | 0.81 | 3.65 | 11.83 | — | 0.81 | 73.34% | 72.88% | 42.04% | 0.00% | 8.59% | 0.00% | 1.15 | 2.36 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 6.91 | -341.00% | 2476.00% | -14613.00% | -8.96% | -0.82 | -3.85% | 0.02% | — | 0.02% | 12.06 | -26.86 | 8.79 | 0.50 |
| TYG | Tortoise Energy Infrastru… | $49.82 | 858.36M | -34% | -18% | — | — | 48.55 | 0.96 | 86.72 | 31.62 | — | 0.96 | 0.70% | 441.93% | 178.64% | 2.51% | 2.47% | 1.96% | 0.28 | 5.26 | 0.00 | 1.58 | 7.23 | -9525.00% | -9494.00% | 18539.00% | 3.80% | 17.02 | 3.67% | 8.43% | 409.40% | 8.43% | 25.43 | 34.09 | 112.38 | 2.09 |
| VINP | Vinci Compass Investments… | $11.89 | 745.66M | -24% | +105,076% | — | -18% | 2327.74 | 1.46 | 4.27 | 7.91 | — | 3.21 | 68.19% | 28.39% | 17.77% | 0.07% | 19.19% | 0.04% | 0.51 | 2.69 | 5.86 | 5.64 | 2.91 | -4774.00% | 1776.00% | 733.00% | 6.71% | 0.60 | 27.03% | 7.16% | 16672.40% | 10.34% | 10.93 | 10.84 | 3.10 | 1.98 |
About Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (the Company) is business development company and was formed on March 13, 2018, as a limited liability company under the laws of the State of Delaware and was converted into a Maryland corporation on June 18, 2019 prior to the commencement of operations. The Company is a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified management investment company that has elected to be regulated as a business development company (BDC) under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended (the 1940 Act). The Company's investment objective is to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns primarily through current income by investing primarily in senior secured loans to private equity-owned U.S. middle market companies, which the Company defines as companies with approximately $10.0 million to $100.0 million of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA). The Company will focus on privately originated debt to performing U.S. middle market companies, with a portfolio expected to comprise primarily of first-lien senior secured debt and unitranche loans (other than last-out positions in unitranche loans) (collectively Senior Loans). The Company will also opportunistically invest in junior capital opportunities (second-lien loans, subordinated debt, last-out positions in unitranche loans and equity-related securities) (collectively Junior Capital Investments).
- CEO
- Kenneth John Kencel
- Employees
- 0
- Beta
- 0.43
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($6.12 ÷ $14.82) − 1 = -58.7% (DCF, example).