US · XPOF
Xponential Fitness, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Leisure
- Headquarters
- Irvine, CA 92614
- Website
- xponential.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$6.58
Market cap 149.82M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $23.27 | +253.65% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $1.85 | -71.88% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2020 | $0.00 | $5.05 | |||
| 2021 | $19.85 | $1,248.88 | $420.42 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $27.64 | $54.68 | $304.78 | $0.00 | $3.00 |
| 2023 | $13.77 | $82.72 | $48.60 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $12.66 | $56.28 | $6.18 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $4.63 | $23.27 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Xponential Fitness, Inc.'s (XPOF) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $23.27
- Current price
- $6.58
- AI upside
- +253.65%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$1.85
-71.88% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| XPOF | Xponential Fitness, Inc. | $6.58 | 149.82M | +254% | -72% | — | — | -3.00 | -0.43 | 0.51 | 15.20 | — | -0.28 | 86.53% | 6.30% | -12.29% | 18.24% | -11.64% | -14.33% | -0.05 | 0.40 | 0.82 | 0.55 | -2.97 | -3524.00% | -171.00% | 25521.00% | 15.35% | 0.24 | -19.64% | 3.53% | -10.60% | 245.13% | 6.79 | 5.45 | 0.43 | -1.84 |
| BARK | BARK, Inc. | $0.78 | 135.03M | +4,110% | -51% | — | — | -5.01 | 1.66 | 0.34 | -8.26 | — | 1.75 | 62.37% | -7.26% | -6.79% | -27.52% | -36.54% | -11.76% | 0.86 | -12.61 | 1.63 | 0.83 | 0.47 | -952.00% | -122.00% | 37766.00% | -8.03% | -0.06 | -13.76% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.23% | -4.44 | -11.78 | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| CHPT | ChargePoint Holdings, Inc… | $6.30 | 149.01M | +52% | -23% | — | +1,666% | -0.95 | 1.91 | 0.63 | -1.60 | — | -1.93 | 24.14% | -60.66% | -66.43% | -119.13% | -96.09% | -27.69% | 2.27 | -10.26 | 1.93 | 1.09 | -0.40 | -4762.00% | -1768.00% | -5435.00% | -60.53% | -0.50 | -60.40% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -1.39 | -2.20 | 0.84 | -2.84 |
| ESCA | Escalade, Incorporated | $14.40 | 198.77M | +117% | -59% | -62% | -74% | 14.76 | 1.17 | 0.84 | 9.38 | 194.03 | 1.92 | 26.68% | 7.80% | 5.70% | 8.01% | 7.64% | 6.11% | 0.11 | 13.38 | 4.28 | 0.39 | 0.35 | 761.00% | -451.00% | -1620.00% | 14.09% | 1.02 | 15.29% | 4.09% | 60.40% | 12.92% | 11.22 | 7.37 | 0.88 | 5.46 |
| FLWS | 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. | $3.48 | 221.54M | +1,675% | -41% | — | — | -1.63 | 1.21 | 0.19 | -3.81 | -0.05 | 2.30 | 38.70% | -12.15% | -11.86% | -54.45% | -34.61% | -21.55% | 1.01 | -13.27 | 1.28 | 0.31 | -1.56 | 321217.00% | -796.00% | -22033.00% | -20.84% | -0.12 | -12.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.13% | -2.69 | -8.11 | 0.33 | 1.91 |
| FNKO | Funko, Inc. | $5.00 | 273.71M | +433% | -28% | -90% | — | -30.96 | 2.00 | 0.44 | 9.53 | — | -8.94 | 41.39% | 1.24% | -1.40% | -6.48% | 2.56% | -1.99% | 1.12 | 0.63 | 0.94 | 0.51 | 3.11 | -9122.00% | -422.00% | -226237.00% | 19.45% | 0.40 | 17.85% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 21.49% | 53.28 | 7.63 | 0.66 | 1.89 |
| GDHG | GOLDEN HEAVEN GROUP HOLDI… | $1.80 | 4.43M | +674,098% | +5,641% | +9,536% | +13,189% | -0.37 | 0.02 | 0.21 | 20.50 | -0.04 | 0.02 | 50.18% | -44.46% | -56.21% | -6.50% | -7.75% | -5.93% | 0.04 | -546.52 | 25.01 | 19.78 | 21.35 | 82564.00% | -3155.00% | -71406.00% | 601.56% | 4.30 | 21.60% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2183.29% | 11.13 | -3.99 | -4.95 | 1.13 |
| JAKK | JAKKS Pacific, Inc. | $21.86 | 246.35M | — | -62% | +8% | — | — | 0.94 | 0.41 | 10.75 | — | 1.10 | 32.43% | 2.49% | 1.73% | — | — | — | 0.37 | 30.19 | 1.82 | 1.30 | 1.53 | — | — | — | -0.46% | 0.06 | — | 0.00% | — | 0.00% | 19.25 | -255.61 | 0.48 | 2.32 |
| LANV | Lanvin Group Holdings Lim… | $1.73 | 202.93M | +1,502% | -54% | — | +1,201% | -1.06 | -45.50 | 0.61 | -4.43 | -2.41 | -0.78 | 55.62% | -47.59% | -50.29% | -229.54% | -46.63% | -29.08% | -76.68 | -5.44 | 0.40 | 0.14 | -2.72 | 4388.00% | -2289.00% | -2802.00% | -36.12% | -0.14 | -21.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.33 | -7.19 | 1.58 | -2.29 |
| SEV | Aptera Motors Corp. | $2.18 | 61M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.00% | — | — | -574.04% | -124.00% | 4209.61% | -1.09 | — | 0.09 | 0.05 | -58.57 | -27373.00% | — | -4147.00% | — | 0.00 | -4.58% | — | 0.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| TWNP | Twin Hospitality Group | $0.07 | 4.08M | +145,385% | +4,879% | — | — | -8.04 | -4.58 | 1.09 | 72.46 | -3.31 | -1.05 | 27.13% | -2.35% | -13.61% | 96.22% | -1.46% | -8.69% | -6.74 | -0.18 | 0.52 | 0.23 | 42.85 | 24286.00% | 5325.00% | 12535.00% | -10.37% | -0.27 | -8.28% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -113.78 | -23.59 | 2.68 | 0.70 |
About Xponential Fitness, Inc.
Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness franchisor in the United States and internationally. The company offers fitness and wellness services, including pilates, barre, cycling, stretching, rowing, yoga, boxing, dancing, running, and functional training under the Club Pilates, Pure Barre, CycleBar, StretchLab, Row House, YogaSix, Rumble, AKT, Stride, and BFT brands. As of December 31, 2021, it had 1,556 franchisees operating 1,954 open studios on an adjusted basis. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
- CEO
- Michael Nuzzo
- Employees
- 288
- Beta
- 1.49
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($1.85 ÷ $6.58) − 1 = -71.88% (DCF, example).