US · ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive · Agricultural Farm Products
- Headquarters
- Chicago, IL 60601
- Website
- adm.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$74.94
Market cap 33.22B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $27.84 | -62.85% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $27.84 | -62.85% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $27.52 | -63.28% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $4.90 | -93.46% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | $18.67 | $0.00 | $26.20 | $34.44 | |
| 2013 | $29.26 | $11.70 | $0.00 | $28.73 | $18.06 |
| 2014 | $33.47 | $13.39 | $0.00 | $29.78 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $27.20 | $10.88 | $0.00 | $23.71 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $34.47 | $13.79 | $0.00 | $18.38 | $1.04 |
| 2017 | $34.19 | $13.68 | $0.00 | $22.78 | $16.36 |
| 2018 | $34.11 | $13.64 | $0.00 | $25.11 | $43.90 |
| 2019 | $31.68 | $12.67 | $0.00 | $19.33 | $20.85 |
| 2020 | $50.65 | $20.26 | $0.00 | $23.66 | $24.47 |
| 2021 | $74.32 | $36.34 | $725.92 | $34.27 | $187.91 |
| 2022 | $69.46 | $37.28 | $1,502.91 | $50.42 | $204.61 |
| 2023 | $51.01 | $31.33 | $438.09 | $42.12 | $5.54 |
| 2024 | $47.76 | $20.90 | $0.00 | $24.86 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $69.61 | $27.84 | $0.00 | $27.52 | $4.90 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Archer-Daniels-Midland Company's (ADM) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $27.84
- Current price
- $74.94
- AI upside
- -62.85%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$27.84
-62.85% upside
Graham-Dodd
$27.52
-63.28% upside
Graham Formula
$4.90
-93.46% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ADM | Archer-Daniels-Midland Co… | $74.94 | 33.22B | -63% | -63% | -63% | -93% | 31.40 | 1.48 | 0.42 | 13.47 | — | 2.11 | 6.27% | 1.77% | 1.34% | 4.78% | 3.87% | 2.44% | 0.37 | 2.33 | 11.20 | 1.31 | 2.43 | -3890.00% | -615.00% | 24262.00% | 12.48% | 6.83 | 13.36% | 2.93% | 92.00% | 13.41% | 28.83 | 9.77 | 0.51 | 4.47 |
| BG | Bunge Global S.A. | $120.65 | 23.33B | -44% | +20,538% | -45% | +59% | 24.45 | 1.15 | 0.28 | 14.45 | — | 1.44 | 4.85% | 1.84% | 1.16% | 6.00% | 4.18% | 2.36% | 0.98 | 2.06 | 1.61 | 0.34 | 6.42 | -3855.00% | 3243.00% | -27615.00% | -4.61% | 0.05 | -3.99% | 2.29% | 56.00% | 5.04% | 27.49 | -38.60 | 0.51 | 2.37 |
| CHD | Church & Dwight Co., Inc. | $104.86 | 25.18B | -24% | -57% | -97% | -72% | 34.24 | 6.30 | 4.07 | 20.80 | 124.85 | -11.81 | 44.73% | 17.37% | 11.88% | 17.62% | 14.31% | 8.28% | 0.55 | 11.32 | 1.07 | 0.67 | 1.38 | 2743.00% | 157.00% | 1194.00% | 4.33% | 0.81 | 18.84% | 1.14% | 39.00% | 4.71% | 25.08 | 24.73 | 4.36 | 5.25 |
| GIS | General Mills, Inc. | $45.23 | 24.13B | +52% | -48% | — | -41% | 11.40 | 2.87 | 1.36 | 10.54 | — | -1.96 | 34.55% | 16.96% | 11.78% | 24.94% | 11.41% | 7.19% | 1.66 | 6.02 | 0.67 | 0.29 | 3.81 | -487.00% | -187.00% | -932.00% | 8.68% | 0.37 | 9.88% | 5.07% | 57.70% | 9.62% | 12.52 | 18.04 | 2.12 | 2.42 |
| HSY | The Hershey Company | $236.28 | 47.91B | -42% | -59% | — | -77% | 54.30 | 10.34 | 4.10 | 36.19 | — | -57.44 | 33.27% | 12.12% | 7.55% | 18.89% | 11.12% | 6.62% | 1.17 | 6.83 | 1.19 | 0.55 | 3.09 | -6033.00% | 438.00% | -917.00% | 3.65% | 0.76 | 18.86% | 2.26% | 122.90% | 2.76% | 37.01 | 29.98 | 4.48 | 4.40 |
| JBS | JBS N.V. | $16.89 | 37.46B | — | — | — | +6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.06% | 5.70% | 2.31% | 21.82% | 12.41% | 4.20% | 3.01 | 14.43 | 1.47 | 0.80 | 2.83 | -151435.00% | 1461.00% | 28620.00% | — | 0.33 | 11.19% | — | 46.10% | — | — | — | — | — |
| K | Kellanova | $83.44 | 29.03B | -21% | -55% | — | -74% | 20.42 | 7.33 | 2.17 | 14.04 | 50.32 | -9.27 | 36.78% | 15.86% | 10.53% | 39.02% | 17.52% | 8.68% | 1.68 | 5.71 | 0.81 | 0.48 | 2.38 | 4058.00% | -284.00% | 1694.00% | 4.09% | 0.38 | 12.01% | 2.80% | 57.20% | 4.98% | 16.49 | 29.45 | 2.61 | 3.43 |
| KHC | The Kraft Heinz Company | $24.61 | 29.13B | -25% | -60% | — | — | -4.97 | 0.70 | 1.17 | -12.67 | — | -1.61 | 33.31% | -18.72% | -23.44% | -12.87% | -7.47% | -6.88% | 0.46 | -4.93 | 1.15 | 0.68 | -4.73 | -31814.00% | -350.00% | 1585.00% | 12.58% | 0.51 | 5.86% | 6.52% | -32.50% | 14.34% | -9.58 | 12.22 | 1.79 | 0.49 |
| KMB | Kimberly-Clark Corporatio… | $111.44 | 36.99B | -22% | -61% | — | — | 17.84 | 24.34 | 2.12 | 13.85 | — | -88.30 | 35.61% | 14.46% | 11.74% | 174.98% | 24.20% | 12.13% | 4.77 | 9.72 | 0.75 | 0.36 | 2.09 | -1960.00% | -1417.00% | -3478.00% | 4.48% | 0.39 | 20.86% | 4.54% | 81.00% | 6.06% | 17.29 | 26.26 | 2.50 | 3.54 |
| KVUE | Kenvue Inc. | $19.12 | 36.63B | +85% | -56% | -77% | -76% | 24.63 | 3.36 | 2.39 | 14.88 | 60.47 | -4.87 | 58.13% | 17.88% | 9.72% | 14.39% | 11.19% | 5.58% | 0.79 | 7.13 | 0.96 | 0.18 | 2.54 | 4074.00% | -214.00% | 2899.00% | 4.76% | 0.37 | 9.69% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.52% | 16.15 | 25.36 | 2.89 | 2.20 |
| TSN | Tyson Foods, Inc. | $64.99 | 23.15B | -64% | -66% | -98% | -79% | 38.42 | 1.08 | 0.36 | 10.50 | — | 6.51 | 6.54% | 2.65% | 0.87% | 2.78% | 3.64% | 1.37% | 0.49 | 3.21 | 1.55 | 0.59 | 2.95 | -3956.00% | 212.00% | -1927.00% | 6.04% | 0.34 | 4.51% | 3.58% | 137.50% | 6.99% | 18.79 | 23.01 | 0.50 | 3.08 |
About Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company procures, transports, stores, processes, and merchandises agricultural commodities, products, and ingredients in the United States, Switzerland, Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds, Carbohydrate Solutions, and Nutrition. It procures, stores, cleans, and transports agricultural raw materials, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, and barley. The company also engages in the agricultural commodity and feed product import, export, and distribution; and structured trade finance activities. In addition, it offers vegetable oils and protein meals; ingredients for the food, feed, energy, and industrial customers; crude vegetable oils, salad oils, margarine, shortening, and other food products; and partially refined oils to produce biodiesel and glycols for use in chemicals, paints, and other industrial products. Further, the company provides peanuts, peanut-derived ingredients, and cotton cellulose pulp; sweeteners, corn and wheat starches, syrup, glucose, wheat flour, and dextrose; alcohol and other food and animal feed ingredients; ethyl alcohol and ethanol; corn gluten feed and meal; distillers' grains; and citric acids. Additionally, the company provides natural flavors, flavor systems, natural colors, proteins, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, and natural health and nutrition products, including probiotics, prebiotics, enzymes, and botanical extracts; and other specialty food and feed ingredients; edible beans; formula feeds, and animal health and nutrition products; and contract and private label pet treats and foods. It also offers futures commission merchant; commodity brokerage services; cash margins and securities pledged to commodity exchange clearinghouses; and cash pledged as security under certain insurance arrangements. The company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
- CEO
- Juan Ricardo Luciano
- Employees
- 42.38K
- Beta
- 0.68
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($27.84 ÷ $74.94) − 1 = -62.85% (DCF, example).