US · AEO
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Retail
- Headquarters
- Pittsburgh, PA 15203-2329
- Website
- aeo-inc.com
Price · as of 2025-02-01
$16.94
Market cap 4.16B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $26.38 | +55.73% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $4.10 | -75.8% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $9.02 | -46.74% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $15.83 | -6.55% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $9.77 | $27.61 | $3.07 | $0.00 | $6.39 |
| 2012 | $10.91 | $32.24 | $3.47 | $4.53 | $11.12 |
| 2013 | $13.44 | $35.07 | $4.61 | $0.00 | $20.93 |
| 2014 | $7.89 | $29.70 | $2.08 | $2.51 | $1.52 |
| 2015 | $13.04 | $27.38 | $1.84 | $0.36 | $3.12 |
| 2016 | $11.56 | $30.02 | $1.74 | $3.43 | $16.86 |
| 2017 | $10.66 | $32.01 | $2.49 | $4.92 | $12.21 |
| 2018 | $17.72 | $34.97 | $2.79 | $5.20 | $15.04 |
| 2019 | $17.76 | $35.38 | $2.94 | $6.38 | $21.15 |
| 2020 | $8.32 | $19.67 | $0.00 | $4.71 | $16.49 |
| 2021 | $28.48 | $32.56 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $5.17 |
| 2022 | $14.59 | $71.59 | $18.24 | $9.16 | $99.54 |
| 2023 | $12.45 | $61.06 | $0.00 | $5.44 | $5.33 |
| 2024 | $21.68 | $29.83 | $0.00 | $5.64 | $11.55 |
| 2025 | $10.25 | $26.38 | $0.00 | $9.02 | $15.83 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.'s (AEO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $26.38
- Current price
- $16.94
- AI upside
- +55.73%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$4.10
-75.8% upside
Graham-Dodd
$9.02
-46.74% upside
Graham Formula
$15.83
-6.55% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters… | $16.94 | 4.16B | +56% | -76% | -47% | -7% | 6.01 | 1.12 | 0.37 | 4.65 | 6.30 | 1.32 | 35.31% | 8.44% | 6.18% | 18.80% | 12.59% | 8.92% | 0.82 | 374.97 | 1.53 | 0.70 | 1.73 | 9535.00% | 127.00% | -3742.00% | 12.84% | 0.54 | 9.55% | 4.87% | 29.30% | 15.21% | 6.82 | 12.06 | 0.58 | 3.40 |
| AAP | Advance Auto Parts, Inc. | $53.17 | 3.2B | — | -60% | -71% | -96% | 46.92 | 1.45 | 0.37 | 17.41 | — | 2.66 | 43.73% | 1.87% | 0.51% | — | — | — | 3.40 | 1.16 | 1.75 | 0.84 | 10.04 | — | — | — | -9.34% | -0.01 | — | 1.88% | 88.20% | 1.88% | 46.83 | -25.30 | 0.88 | 1.66 |
| ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch Co. | $97.80 | 4.6B | — | +871% | -16% | +343% | 6.52 | 2.80 | 0.76 | 4.07 | — | 2.80 | 61.00% | 14.79% | 11.44% | — | — | — | 0.71 | 60.62 | 1.48 | 0.88 | 0.19 | — | — | — | 14.10% | 0.63 | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.02% | 5.20 | 7.21 | 0.77 | 4.94 |
| BKE | The Buckle, Inc. | $53.55 | 2.74B | -20% | -62% | — | -64% | 8.17 | 3.77 | 1.31 | 6.20 | — | 3.77 | 48.68% | 19.82% | 16.05% | 46.71% | 40.78% | 21.68% | 0.77 | — | 2.05 | 1.39 | 0.23 | -1159.00% | -344.00% | -811.00% | 12.50% | 1.13 | 44.51% | 12.40% | 101.30% | 12.40% | 6.77 | 8.18 | 1.34 | 4.79 |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear Compa… | $61.94 | 3.34B | +65% | -61% | -53% | -53% | 18.57 | 1.92 | 0.97 | 11.75 | — | 2.01 | 50.53% | 6.31% | 5.22% | 10.16% | 10.33% | 6.00% | 0.51 | — | 2.59 | 1.57 | 1.48 | -1518.00% | 85.00% | -4974.00% | 6.59% | 0.37 | 13.55% | 1.99% | 37.00% | 8.10% | 15.72 | 15.53 | 0.99 | 3.52 |
| GEF | Greif, Inc. | $72.67 | 3.44B | -17% | -64% | +13% | +75% | 186.82 | 1.06 | 0.72 | 9.97 | 83.67 | 8.15 | 22.16% | 6.85% | 19.58% | 0.66% | 2.56% | 0.27% | 0.54 | 5.24 | 1.47 | 0.81 | 2.98 | 22328.00% | -100.00% | -15027.00% | -2.77% | 0.05 | -1.86% | 3.29% | 613.70% | 54.14% | 14.93 | -51.52 | 1.02 | 2.48 |
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners, Inc… | $73.66 | 3.21B | +25% | -55% | +5% | -21% | 10.12 | 1.71 | 1.51 | 7.56 | — | 1.71 | 30.54% | 19.51% | 14.93% | 17.98% | 16.59% | 13.09% | 0.18 | — | 22.60 | 2.06 | 0.41 | -1633.00% | -2.00% | 86740.00% | 6.57% | 2.26 | 10.78% | 0.09% | 0.90% | 3.45% | 8.19 | 16.08 | 1.60 | 6.35 |
| LCII | LCI Industries | $133.20 | 3.22B | -21% | -60% | — | +2% | 17.45 | 2.41 | 0.80 | 8.15 | 49.61 | 9.78 | 23.78% | 6.79% | 4.57% | 13.70% | 11.32% | 6.20% | 0.22 | 7.84 | 2.85 | 0.98 | 0.17 | 3518.00% | 1018.00% | -1513.00% | 8.47% | 0.70 | 15.25% | 3.47% | 60.60% | 30.48% | 11.99 | 12.06 | 0.81 | 3.01 |
| VSCO | Victoria's Secret & Co. | $62.70 | 5.03B | +11% | -89% | -78% | -70% | 8.18 | 2.11 | 0.22 | 6.76 | 17.50 | -13.11 | 36.66% | 4.98% | 2.65% | 31.22% | 7.95% | 3.61% | 4.22 | 3.60 | 1.05 | 0.28 | 4.37 | 4676.00% | 78.00% | 8571.00% | 18.29% | 0.31 | 8.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.74% | 12.33 | 15.47 | 0.61 | 1.93 |
| YETI | YETI Holdings, Inc. | $43.71 | 3.55B | — | +58% | -60% | -52% | 21.13 | 5.38 | 1.87 | 13.37 | — | 9.76 | 57.41% | 11.45% | 8.85% | — | — | — | 0.57 | 482.96 | 1.98 | 0.99 | 0.65 | — | — | — | 6.07% | 0.76 | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.52% | 17.18 | 17.33 | 1.97 | 6.87 |
| ZGN | Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. | $11.27 | 2.86B | +207% | -73% | -76% | -67% | 18.24 | 1.81 | 0.85 | 5.90 | — | 5.49 | 66.60% | 8.57% | 3.96% | 10.35% | 7.48% | 3.24% | 1.13 | 4.21 | 1.41 | 0.68 | 2.01 | -3750.00% | 221.00% | -2223.00% | 9.27% | 0.33 | 9.89% | 1.83% | 33.30% | 1.83% | 14.36 | 15.60 | 1.23 | 1.90 |
About American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer that provides clothing, accessories, and personal care products under the American Eagle and Aerie brands. The company provides jeans, and specialty apparel and accessories for women and men; and intimates, apparel, activewear, and swim collections, as well as personal care products for women. It also offers graphic tees and other clothing products under the Tailgate brand name; and menswear products under the Todd Snyder New York brand name. As of January 29, 2022, the company operated 880 American Eagle stores, 244 Aerie brand stand-alone stores, and five Todd Snyder stores in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Hong Kong. It also ships to 81 countries through its Websites; and offers its merchandise at 260 locations operated by licensees in 28 countries, as well as provides products through its Websites ae.com, aerie.com, and toddsnyder.com. American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
- CEO
- Jay L. Schottenstein
- Employees
- 9K
- Beta
- 1.38
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($4.10 ÷ $16.94) − 1 = -75.8% (DCF, example).