US · GRBK
Green Brick Partners, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
- Headquarters
- Plano, TX 75093
- Website
- greenbrickpartners.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$66.27
Market cap 3.21B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $92.40 | +39.43% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $33.01 | -50.19% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $77.21 | +16.51% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $58.16 | -12.25% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $8.62 | $4.43 | $15,332.14 | $7.41 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $3.44 | $102.77 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $103.44 |
| 2013 | $2.00 | $51.38 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $131.12 |
| 2014 | $7.62 | $121.65 | $0.00 | $15.30 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $7.39 | $710.55 | $0.06 | $10.88 | $9.84 |
| 2016 | $9.10 | $44.56 | $39.11 | $10.30 | $18.18 |
| 2017 | $10.60 | $25.66 | $93.60 | $6.61 | $8.05 |
| 2018 | $8.90 | $22.24 | $185.08 | $11.15 | $44.55 |
| 2019 | $10.38 | $39.84 | $232.98 | $16.14 | $39.42 |
| 2020 | $21.72 | $100.43 | $594.03 | $23.89 | $68.17 |
| 2021 | $21.55 | $151.43 | $1,298.99 | $35.99 | $187.68 |
| 2022 | $31.18 | $139.40 | $1,351.90 | $52.02 | $197.48 |
| 2023 | $52.56 | $82.27 | $322.14 | $58.97 | $58.11 |
| 2024 | $61.90 | $152.37 | $181.75 | $78.40 | $217.32 |
| 2025 | $72.40 | $92.40 | $5.88 | $77.21 | $58.16 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s (GRBK) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $92.40
- Current price
- $66.27
- AI upside
- +39.43%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$33.01
-50.19% upside
Graham-Dodd
$77.21
+16.51% upside
Graham Formula
$58.16
-12.25% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners, Inc… | $66.27 | 3.21B | +39% | -50% | +17% | -12% | 10.12 | 1.71 | 1.51 | 7.56 | — | 1.71 | 30.54% | 19.51% | 14.93% | 17.98% | 16.59% | 13.09% | 0.18 | — | 22.60 | 2.06 | 0.41 | -1633.00% | -2.00% | 86740.00% | 6.57% | 2.26 | 10.78% | 0.09% | 0.90% | 3.45% | 8.19 | 16.08 | 1.60 | 6.35 |
| BKE | The Buckle, Inc. | $53.55 | 2.74B | -20% | -62% | — | -64% | 8.17 | 3.77 | 1.31 | 6.20 | — | 3.77 | 48.68% | 19.82% | 16.05% | 46.71% | 40.78% | 21.68% | 0.77 | — | 2.05 | 1.39 | 0.23 | -1159.00% | -344.00% | -811.00% | 12.50% | 1.13 | 44.51% | 12.40% | 101.30% | 12.40% | 6.77 | 8.18 | 1.34 | 4.79 |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | $67.23 | 1.98B | -7% | -61% | +37% | -85% | 13.41 | 0.76 | 0.48 | 14.89 | — | 0.78 | 21.42% | 9.16% | 3.58% | 5.66% | 7.32% | 3.27% | 0.56 | — | 4.15 | 0.25 | 5.86 | -5327.00% | -638.00% | 4334.00% | 6.28% | 0.18 | 3.18% | 1.75% | 23.50% | 11.09% | 8.65 | 26.26 | 0.79 | 3.24 |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear Compa… | $61.94 | 3.34B | +65% | -61% | -53% | -53% | 18.57 | 1.92 | 0.97 | 11.75 | — | 2.01 | 50.53% | 6.31% | 5.22% | 10.16% | 10.33% | 6.00% | 0.51 | — | 2.59 | 1.57 | 1.48 | -1518.00% | 85.00% | -4974.00% | 6.59% | 0.37 | 13.55% | 1.99% | 37.00% | 8.10% | 15.72 | 15.53 | 0.99 | 3.52 |
| DFH | Dream Finders Homes, Inc. | $18.07 | 1.68B | +113% | -61% | +24% | -30% | 28.04 | 1.05 | 0.38 | 6.40 | — | 1.38 | 17.46% | 6.24% | 5.02% | 3.97% | 9.48% | 1.67% | 0.38 | — | 2.92 | 0.35 | 1.14 | -3333.00% | -289.00% | -5519.00% | -7.66% | -0.13 | -5.81% | 0.82% | 23.00% | 44.19% | 7.44 | -15.87 | 0.46 | 2.79 |
| GEF | Greif, Inc. | $72.67 | 3.44B | -17% | -64% | +13% | +75% | 186.82 | 1.06 | 0.72 | 9.97 | 83.67 | 8.15 | 22.16% | 6.85% | 19.58% | 0.66% | 2.56% | 0.27% | 0.54 | 5.24 | 1.47 | 0.81 | 2.98 | 22328.00% | -100.00% | -15027.00% | -2.77% | 0.05 | -1.86% | 3.29% | 613.70% | 54.14% | 14.93 | -51.52 | 1.02 | 2.48 |
| MHO | M/I Homes, Inc. | $142.16 | 3.72B | +38% | -59% | +36% | -34% | 9.38 | 1.19 | 0.86 | 7.37 | — | 1.20 | 23.03% | 11.47% | 9.12% | 13.20% | 11.54% | 8.64% | 0.34 | 25.28 | 24.19 | 3.80 | 0.70 | -2522.00% | -193.00% | -2953.00% | 3.19% | 0.72 | 3.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.35% | 8.25 | 34.59 | 0.95 | 4.70 |
| PRKS | United Parks & Resorts In… | $34.79 | 1.91B | +149% | -39% | — | — | 10.99 | — | 1.11 | 3.27 | — | — | 92.33% | 21.98% | 10.13% | -72.95% | 32.21% | 6.49% | — | 2.72 | 0.70 | 0.70 | -0.19 | -1926.00% | -364.00% | 1356.00% | 14.22% | 2.65 | 31.21% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 127.73% | 4.79 | 6.66 | 1.05 | — |
| TPH | Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. | $46.30 | 3.98B | +125% | -60% | +14% | — | 16.44 | 1.19 | 1.14 | 11.46 | — | 1.25 | 21.96% | 9.74% | 6.94% | 7.25% | 6.98% | 4.86% | 0.36 | — | 9.23 | 2.42 | 0.58 | -4369.00% | -2275.00% | -8089.00% | 3.25% | 0.35 | 3.68% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 12.34 | 32.46 | 1.20 | 4.21 |
| VC | Visteon Corporation | $95.67 | 2.61B | -1% | -42% | -14% | -56% | 12.19 | 1.66 | 0.69 | 5.24 | — | 1.93 | 14.12% | 8.76% | 5.33% | 15.23% | 17.56% | 6.82% | 0.34 | 82.50 | 1.80 | 1.40 | -0.51 | -2587.00% | -253.00% | -448.00% | 10.67% | 0.41 | 23.39% | 0.58% | 7.00% | 4.08% | 7.17 | 8.54 | 0.63 | 3.79 |
| YETI | YETI Holdings, Inc. | $43.71 | 3.55B | — | +58% | -60% | -52% | 21.13 | 5.38 | 1.87 | 13.37 | — | 9.76 | 57.41% | 11.45% | 8.85% | — | — | — | 0.57 | 482.96 | 1.98 | 0.99 | 0.65 | — | — | — | 6.07% | 0.76 | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.52% | 17.18 | 17.33 | 1.97 | 6.87 |
About Green Brick Partners, Inc.
Green Brick Partners, Inc. operates as a homebuilding and land development company in the United States. It operates through Builder operations Central, Builder operations Southeast, and Land development segments. The company is involved in the land acquisition and development, entitlements, design, construction, title and mortgage services, marketing, and sale of townhomes, patio homes, single family homes, and luxury homes in residential neighborhoods, and master planned communities. As of December 31,2021, the company owns or controls approximately 28,600 home sites in Dallas-Forth Worth, Atlanta metropolitan areas, and the Treasure Coast, Florida market. The company sells its homes through sales representatives and independent realtors. Green Brick Partners, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.
- CEO
- James R. Brickman
- Employees
- 650
- Beta
- 0.40
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($33.01 ÷ $66.27) − 1 = -50.19% (DCF, example).