US · ASTH
Astrana Health, Inc.
- Sector
- Healthcare · Medical - Care Facilities
- Headquarters
- Alhambra, CA 91801
- Website
- astranahealth.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$34.89
Market cap 1.02B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $40.67 | +16.57% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $59,464.55 | +170,334.37% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $9.41 | -73.03% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $47.86 | +37.18% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | $5.25 | ||||
| 2017 | $21.41 | $1,899.67 | $14,906,371.63 | $0.00 | $696.82 |
| 2018 | $19.12 | $97.08 | $2,675.58 | $0.00 | $16.98 |
| 2019 | $15.92 | $33.83 | $1,306.43 | $0.00 | $6.34 |
| 2020 | $27.73 | $30.32 | $5.70 | $0.00 | $15.86 |
| 2021 | $40.28 | $63.34 | $10,411.55 | $1.83 | $176.74 |
| 2022 | $34.97 | $44.16 | $18,675.10 | $6.42 | $54.09 |
| 2023 | $44.72 | $41.44 | $15,770.80 | $0.00 | $36.93 |
| 2024 | $29.38 | $40.67 | $11,895.20 | $9.41 | $47.86 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Astrana Health, Inc.'s (ASTH) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $40.67
- Current price
- $34.89
- AI upside
- +16.57%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$59,464.55
+170,334.37% upside
Graham-Dodd
$9.41
-73.03% upside
Graham Formula
$47.86
+37.18% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ASTH | Astrana Health, Inc. | $34.89 | 1.02B | +17% | +170,334% | -73% | +37% | 28.06 | 1.97 | 0.69 | 11.15 | — | 7.99 | 13.34% | 4.39% | 2.12% | 7.53% | 7.20% | 4.36% | 0.66 | 2.70 | 1.75 | 1.68 | 1.29 | -3023.00% | 4672.00% | 1126.00% | 3.15% | 0.14 | 5.76% | 0.29% | 8.10% | 0.35% | 17.71 | 35.82 | 0.78 | 3.26 |
| ACHC | Acadia Healthcare Company… | $23.44 | 2.12B | -60% | -60% | — | — | -1.95 | 1.09 | 0.64 | -6.28 | — | 3.82 | 17.61% | 11.71% | -33.29% | -43.48% | 8.13% | -19.02% | 1.36 | 2.79 | 1.55 | 1.09 | -3.40 | -53741.00% | 504.00% | -2154.00% | -20.69% | 0.25 | -9.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.35% | 11.95 | -10.54 | 1.40 | 1.08 |
| AVAH | Aveanna Healthcare Holdin… | $7.36 | 1.54B | — | +111% | — | — | -67.95 | -6.08 | 0.37 | 11.53 | — | -0.59 | 31.39% | 6.90% | -0.54% | — | — | — | -12.30 | 0.89 | 0.98 | 0.90 | 7.57 | — | — | — | 3.54% | 0.08 | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 15.45 | 82.09 | 1.07 | 0.57 |
| HCSG | Healthcare Services Group… | $21.77 | 1.53B | +60% | -59% | -54% | -44% | 27.23 | 3.15 | 0.88 | 21.88 | 51.55 | 3.80 | 13.03% | 2.64% | 3.21% | 11.69% | 11.87% | 7.28% | 0.05 | 30.72 | 3.38 | 3.16 | -2.09 | 5283.00% | 708.00% | 46875.00% | 8.65% | 0.85 | 39.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.04% | 29.44 | 10.27 | 0.78 | 6.81 |
| LFST | LifeStance Health Group, … | $7.24 | 2.82B | +311% | -6% | -90% | -93% | 285.23 | 1.81 | 1.94 | 34.29 | — | 55.12 | 28.53% | 1.80% | 0.68% | 0.65% | 1.24% | 0.45% | 0.13 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 1.37 | -0.69 | -11333.00% | 1385.00% | 2839.00% | 3.99% | 0.58 | 6.78% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.97% | 105.10 | 24.55 | 1.90 | 2.68 |
| MD | Pediatrix Medical Group, … | $19.85 | 1.7B | +94% | -35% | -74% | -67% | — | 1.93 | 0.87 | 6.67 | — | -4.05 | 24.66% | 12.07% | 8.64% | 0.00% | 16.78% | 0.00% | 0.76 | 6.43 | 1.66 | 1.62 | 1.04 | -26303.00% | -492.00% | 3689.00% | 15.14% | 0.59 | 24.00% | 0.00% | — | 14.02% | 7.92 | 7.24 | 0.96 | 2.03 |
| MNKD | MannKind Corporation | $3.28 | 1.01B | +882% | +28% | — | -83% | 158.21 | -18.18 | 2.66 | 29.19 | — | -7.50 | 82.47% | 11.12% | 1.68% | -9.03% | -19.22% | 0.99% | -0.92 | 2.81 | 1.70 | 1.23 | -1.01 | -7942.00% | 2223.00% | -5829.00% | 1.48% | 0.11 | -6.78% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.16% | 20.70 | 58.68 | 2.30 | -4.20 |
| OMCL | Omnicell, Inc. | $41.10 | 1.89B | +33% | -57% | -73% | -98% | 924.00 | 1.54 | 1.60 | 19.91 | — | 5.86 | 42.49% | 0.44% | 0.17% | 0.17% | 0.17% | 0.10% | 0.18 | 0.84 | 1.43 | 0.87 | 0.21 | -8359.00% | 653.00% | -4256.00% | 4.58% | 0.27 | 6.96% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.09% | 371.46 | 22.06 | 1.62 | 2.26 |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings C… | $14.97 | 1.86B | +47% | -60% | — | +4% | 12.67 | 1.09 | 0.34 | 10.42 | — | -2.45 | 11.54% | 6.14% | 2.68% | 8.63% | 5.42% | 2.55% | 2.17 | 2.85 | 1.04 | 0.90 | 6.93 | -2892.00% | 512.00% | -2908.00% | 20.66% | 0.35 | 7.88% | 1.70% | 21.50% | 7.10% | 16.53 | 14.45 | 1.01 | 1.62 |
| USPH | U.S. Physical Therapy, In… | $82.96 | 1.26B | -9% | -45% | — | -72% | 21.72 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 15.05 | — | -3.24 | 20.15% | 10.30% | 1.93% | 12.02% | 7.45% | 4.89% | 0.89 | 8.50 | 1.01 | 0.72 | 3.56 | -2283.00% | 1633.00% | -725.00% | 4.84% | 0.54 | 7.58% | 2.17% | 47.20% | 2.61% | 20.52 | 27.06 | 2.11 | 2.88 |
About Astrana Health, Inc.
Astrana Health, Inc., Inc., a physician-centric technology-powered healthcare management company, provides medical care services in the United States. It operates through three segments: Care Partners, Care Delivery, and Care Enablement. The company is leveraging its proprietary population health management and healthcare delivery platform, operates an integrated, value-based healthcare model which empowers the providers in its network to deliver care to its patients. It offers care coordination services to patients, families, primary care physicians, specialists, acute care hospitals, alternative sites of inpatient care, physician groups, and health plans. The company's physician network consists of primary care physicians, specialist physicians and extenders, and hospitalists. It serves patients, primarily covered by private or public insurance, such as Medicare, Medicaid, and health maintenance organization plans; and non-insured patients. The company was formerly known as Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Astrana Health, Inc. in February 2024. Astrana Health, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Alhambra, California.
- CEO
- Brandon K. Sim
- Employees
- 1.9K
- Beta
- 0.89
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($59,464.55 ÷ $34.89) − 1 = +170,334.37% (DCF, example).