US · DCO
Ducommun Incorporated
- Sector
- Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
- Headquarters
- Santa Ana, CA 92707-5759
- Website
- ducommun.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$141.24
Market cap 1.85B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $232.37 | +64.52% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $52.11 | -63.11% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $16.59 | -88.26% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $13.73 | $176.03 | $46.16 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $16.87 | $2,130.17 | $390.85 | $12.39 | $55.13 |
| 2013 | $27.15 | $39.82 | $325.43 | $11.64 | $5.93 |
| 2014 | $25.49 | $30.23 | $0.00 | $18.20 | $16.22 |
| 2015 | $14.62 | $99.46 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $10.79 |
| 2016 | $28.86 | $47.16 | $0.00 | $22.94 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $30.84 | $48.78 | $0.00 | $19.36 | $16.84 |
| 2018 | $45.39 | $38.65 | $0.00 | $14.57 | $16.16 |
| 2019 | $41.78 | $42.51 | $0.00 | $24.67 | $62.27 |
| 2020 | $62.57 | $143.04 | $0.00 | $26.07 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $50.65 | $197.61 | $0.00 | $79.85 | $121.14 |
| 2022 | $53.32 | $6,339.17 | $0.00 | $38.64 | $43.10 |
| 2023 | $49.64 | $47.95 | $0.00 | $34.35 | $16.33 |
| 2024 | $56.57 | $45.15 | $0.00 | $40.30 | $25.49 |
| 2025 | $130.28 | $232.37 | $0.00 | $16.59 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Ducommun Incorporated's (DCO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $232.37
- Current price
- $141.24
- AI upside
- +64.52%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$52.11
-63.11% upside
Graham-Dodd
$16.59
-88.26% upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| DCO | Ducommun Incorporated | $141.24 | 1.85B | +65% | -63% | -88% | — | -57.36 | 2.94 | 2.36 | 773.79 | — | 6.84 | 26.87% | -3.92% | -4.12% | -5.05% | -3.16% | -2.94% | 0.07 | -2.55 | 3.50 | 0.95 | 0.70 | -20810.00% | 485.00% | -34260.00% | -2.50% | -0.19 | -6.15% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 12.15% | -60.31 | -40.05 | 2.36 | 3.78 |
| CDRE | Cadre Holdings, Inc. | $44.39 | 1.81B | +7% | +422% | -92% | -49% | 37.30 | 4.33 | 2.37 | 18.63 | — | 24.15 | 41.14% | 11.76% | 6.37% | 14.21% | 13.05% | 6.67% | 0.77 | 8.54 | 3.48 | 2.32 | 1.45 | -1176.00% | 1762.00% | -6073.00% | 1.94% | 0.34 | 7.66% | 1.03% | 38.60% | 1.03% | 21.89 | 55.98 | 2.58 | 4.02 |
| CMRE | Costamare Inc. | $17.57 | 2.12B | -43% | -49% | +43% | +576% | 3.82 | 0.48 | 0.58 | 4.51 | — | 0.48 | 26.71% | 22.18% | 15.35% | 12.92% | 11.12% | 6.06% | 0.94 | 3.08 | 1.40 | 1.13 | 2.66 | -1729.00% | 3788.00% | 42452.00% | 21.27% | 0.72 | 6.19% | 6.13% | 23.40% | 27.33% | 6.04 | 10.86 | 1.34 | 1.40 |
| CODI | Compass Diversified | $7.49 | 563.52M | +327% | -61% | — | — | — | 1.25 | 0.29 | -19.30 | — | -0.41 | 43.47% | 2.28% | -12.08% | 0.00% | 1.33% | 0.00% | 4.25 | 0.24 | 2.42 | 0.77 | -14.79 | -142609.00% | 479.00% | -5887.00% | -9.29% | -0.02 | -1.60% | 0.00% | — | 302.26% | 55.37 | -46.14 | 1.26 | 0.39 |
| CYD | China Yuchai Internationa… | $50.28 | 1.89B | -51% | +276,467% | -36% | -68% | 8.68 | 0.59 | 0.28 | 1.41 | 49.76 | 0.74 | 14.73% | 3.12% | 1.69% | 6.75% | 8.43% | 2.35% | 0.28 | 8.06 | 1.55 | 1.18 | -3.19 | 1745.00% | 602.00% | -7630.00% | 4.35% | 0.06 | 4.17% | 1.89% | 16.40% | 13.09% | 2.76 | 7.04 | 0.09 | 1.68 |
| EVEX | Eve Holding, Inc. | $3.00 | 902.65M | — | — | — | — | -8.25 | 9.20 | — | -7.24 | -189.71 | 9.20 | 0.00% | — | — | -95.63% | 2123.20% | -49.03% | 1.07 | -42.71 | 5.27 | 5.12 | -0.57 | 435.00% | — | 4912.00% | -12.39% | -2.29 | 1916.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -6.19 | -6.86 | — | 0.73 |
| HSII | Heidrick & Struggles Inte… | $59.01 | 1.23B | +674% | -31% | -86% | -89% | 107.80 | 2.08 | 0.84 | 5.15 | — | 3.11 | 25.20% | 0.67% | 0.78% | 1.91% | 8.15% | 0.75% | 0.22 | — | 1.60 | 1.46 | -4.47 | -8435.00% | 715.00% | -40855.00% | 13.19% | 0.31 | 335.80% | 1.37% | 148.10% | 12.61% | 63.52 | 3.85 | 0.43 | 2.25 |
| JBI | Janus International Group… | $6.96 | 966.22M | +369% | -49% | -51% | — | 16.93 | 2.30 | 1.24 | 8.75 | — | -5.01 | 41.27% | 15.21% | 7.30% | 13.56% | 10.10% | 5.31% | 1.26 | 2.96 | 2.82 | 2.26 | 2.60 | -4674.00% | -962.00% | -3168.00% | 11.24% | 1.13 | 13.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.61% | 11.57 | 12.67 | 1.76 | 2.58 |
| NSSC | Napco Security Technologi… | $46.61 | 1.66B | -8% | -51% | -89% | -88% | 32.83 | 8.45 | 7.85 | 27.43 | — | 8.62 | 55.63% | 25.47% | 23.90% | 25.74% | 53.64% | 21.91% | 0.03 | — | 6.75 | 5.37 | -1.60 | -1119.00% | -381.00% | 1745.00% | 3.61% | 2.23 | 68.76% | 0.96% | 31.40% | 3.54% | 28.78 | 25.89 | 7.33 | 32.88 |
| RDW | Redwire Corporation | $9.07 | 1.5B | +213% | -24% | — | — | -50.23 | 10.74 | 33.93 | -63.21 | — | -205.98 | 5.15% | -68.48% | -67.55% | -44.95% | -39.30% | -26.01% | 0.04 | -5.78 | 1.62 | 0.85 | 0.29 | -298.00% | 1029.00% | 70351.00% | -1.68% | -1.14 | -36.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.86% | -49.33 | -59.37 | 33.78 | 16.74 |
| WLDN | Willdan Group, Inc. | $89.14 | 1.31B | — | -33% | -70% | +13% | 24.07 | 4.15 | 1.86 | 19.69 | — | 14.09 | 37.51% | 6.48% | 7.71% | — | — | — | 0.23 | 7.68 | 1.56 | 0.85 | 0.05 | — | — | — | 5.59% | 0.50 | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 28.73 | 17.94 | 1.86 | 5.12 |
About Ducommun Incorporated
Ducommun Incorporated provides engineering and manufacturing products and services primarily to the aerospace and defense, industrial, medical, and other industries in the United States. It operates through two segments, Electronic Systems and Structural Systems. The Electronic Systems segment provides cable assemblies and interconnect systems; printed circuit board assemblies; higher-level electronic, electromechanical, and mechanical components and assemblies, as well as lightning diversion systems; and radar enclosures, aircraft avionics racks, shipboard communications and control enclosures, shipboard communications and control enclosures, printed circuit board assemblies, cable assemblies, wire harnesses, interconnect systems, lightning diversion strips, surge suppressors, conformal shields, and other assemblies. It also supplies engineered products, including illuminated pushbutton switches and panels for aviation and test systems; microwave and millimeter switches and filters for radio frequency systems and test instrumentation; and motors and resolvers for motion control. In addition, this segment provides engineering expertise for aerospace system design, development, integration, and testing. The Structural Systems segment designs, engineers, and manufactures contoured aluminum, titanium, and Inconel aero structure components; structural assembly products, such as winglets, engine components, and fuselage structural panels; and metal and composite bonded structures and assemblies comprising aircraft wing spoilers, large fuselage skins, rotor blades on rotary-wing aircraft and components, flight control surfaces, engine components, ammunition handling systems, and magnetic seals. It serves commercial aircraft, military fixed-wing aircraft, military and commercial rotary-wing aircraft, and space programs, as well as industrial, medical, and other end-use markets. The company was founded in 1849 and is headquartered in Santa Ana, California.
- CEO
- Stephen G. Oswald
- Employees
- 2.18K
- Beta
- 1.06
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($52.11 ÷ $141.24) − 1 = -63.11% (DCF, example).