US · NSSC
Napco Security Technologies, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Security & Protection Services
- Headquarters
- Amityville, NY 11701
- Website
- napcosecurity.com
Price · as of 2025-06-30
$46.72
Market cap 1.66B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $42.77 | -8.45% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $23.00 | -50.77% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $4.99 | -89.32% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $5.38 | -88.49% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $1.27 | $29.77 | $0.00 | $1.07 | $0.39 |
| 2012 | $1.60 | $27.88 | $0.00 | $1.29 | $0.45 |
| 2013 | $2.36 | $26.98 | $0.00 | $1.44 | $0.68 |
| 2014 | $2.56 | $28.00 | $0.00 | $1.58 | $1.09 |
| 2015 | $2.81 | $29.11 | $0.00 | $1.84 | $1.58 |
| 2016 | $3.20 | $24.99 | $0.00 | $2.12 | $2.15 |
| 2017 | $4.08 | $40.09 | $0.00 | $2.26 | $2.04 |
| 2018 | $7.43 | $28.67 | $0.00 | $2.71 | $2.63 |
| 2019 | $12.44 | $32.47 | $0.00 | $3.56 | $6.51 |
| 2020 | $11.22 | $31.03 | $0.00 | $3.13 | $1.40 |
| 2021 | $18.34 | $37.01 | $31.16 | $5.77 | $25.57 |
| 2022 | $29.96 | $51.49 | $9.80 | $6.49 | $4.34 |
| 2023 | $22.79 | $37.99 | $35.44 | $7.62 | $19.00 |
| 2024 | $33.45 | $39.45 | $23.37 | $5.94 | $25.24 |
| 2025 | $39.26 | $42.77 | $7.15 | $4.99 | $5.38 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Napco Security Technologies, Inc.'s (NSSC) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $42.77
- Current price
- $46.72
- AI upside
- -8.45%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$23.00
-50.77% upside
Graham-Dodd
$4.99
-89.32% upside
Graham Formula
$5.38
-88.49% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| NSSC | Napco Security Technologi… | $46.72 | 1.66B | -8% | -51% | -89% | -88% | 32.83 | 8.45 | 7.85 | 27.43 | — | 8.62 | 55.63% | 25.47% | 23.90% | 25.74% | 53.64% | 21.91% | 0.03 | — | 6.75 | 5.37 | -1.60 | -1119.00% | -381.00% | 1745.00% | 3.61% | 2.23 | 68.76% | 0.96% | 31.40% | 3.54% | 28.78 | 25.89 | 7.33 | 32.88 |
| CODI | Compass Diversified | $7.49 | 563.52M | +327% | -61% | — | — | — | 1.25 | 0.29 | -19.30 | — | -0.41 | 43.47% | 2.28% | -12.08% | 0.00% | 1.33% | 0.00% | 4.25 | 0.24 | 2.42 | 0.77 | -14.79 | -142609.00% | 479.00% | -5887.00% | -9.29% | -0.02 | -1.60% | 0.00% | — | 302.26% | 55.37 | -46.14 | 1.26 | 0.39 |
| CYD | China Yuchai Internationa… | $50.28 | 1.89B | -51% | +276,467% | -36% | -68% | 8.68 | 0.59 | 0.28 | 1.41 | 49.76 | 0.74 | 14.73% | 3.12% | 1.69% | 6.75% | 8.43% | 2.35% | 0.28 | 8.06 | 1.55 | 1.18 | -3.19 | 1745.00% | 602.00% | -7630.00% | 4.35% | 0.06 | 4.17% | 1.89% | 16.40% | 13.09% | 2.76 | 7.04 | 0.09 | 1.68 |
| DCO | Ducommun Incorporated | $123.59 | 1.85B | +88% | -58% | -87% | — | -57.36 | 2.94 | 2.36 | 773.79 | — | 6.84 | 26.87% | -3.92% | -4.12% | -5.05% | -3.16% | -2.94% | 0.07 | -2.55 | 3.50 | 0.95 | 0.70 | -20810.00% | 485.00% | -34260.00% | -2.50% | -0.19 | -6.15% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 12.15% | -60.31 | -40.05 | 2.36 | 3.78 |
| EVLV | Evolv Technologies Holdin… | $5.30 | 925.47M | +390% | +347% | — | — | -9.19 | 4.22 | 4.78 | -12.83 | — | 4.22 | 57.08% | -79.24% | -52.01% | -40.93% | -136.90% | -19.06% | 0.22 | — | 1.26 | 0.84 | 0.31 | -5211.00% | 2916.00% | -1734.00% | -13.73% | -0.32 | -113.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -5.71 | -6.90 | 4.53 | -0.39 |
| HTZ | Hertz Global Holdings, In… | $4.54 | 1.41B | +1,659% | -62% | — | — | -1.91 | -2.92 | 0.16 | 47.33 | — | -0.31 | 12.79% | 1.06% | -8.78% | 459.48% | 0.49% | -3.19% | -37.15 | 0.08 | 2.65 | 2.65 | 43.65 | -7420.00% | -602.00% | 294.00% | -644.57% | 1.90 | -51.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 143.71% | 191.44 | -1.99 | 2.03 | 0.30 |
| ICFI | ICF International, Inc. | $83.13 | 1.53B | +51% | -63% | -95% | -93% | 15.56 | 1.39 | 0.76 | 11.15 | — | -4.67 | 34.06% | 8.10% | 4.89% | 9.11% | 7.82% | 4.45% | 0.56 | 18.01 | 1.27 | 0.60 | 3.17 | -1495.00% | -727.00% | -1992.00% | 8.43% | 0.35 | 7.57% | 0.73% | 11.30% | 6.80% | 13.13 | 16.57 | 1.06 | 2.71 |
| JBI | Janus International Group… | $6.96 | 966.22M | +369% | -49% | -51% | — | 16.93 | 2.30 | 1.24 | 8.75 | — | -5.01 | 41.27% | 15.21% | 7.30% | 13.56% | 10.10% | 5.31% | 1.26 | 2.96 | 2.82 | 2.26 | 2.60 | -4674.00% | -962.00% | -3168.00% | 11.24% | 1.13 | 13.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.61% | 11.57 | 12.67 | 1.76 | 2.58 |
| JBLU | JetBlue Airways Corporati… | $5.54 | 2.05B | +111% | -62% | — | — | -3.20 | 0.91 | 0.21 | 20.08 | — | 1.13 | 33.87% | -4.06% | -6.64% | -25.29% | -3.13% | -3.39% | 4.84 | -0.63 | 0.74 | 0.60 | 16.62 | -2751.00% | -234.00% | -3237.00% | -47.57% | -0.02 | -10.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.42% | -26.96 | -10.84 | 1.09 | 0.47 |
| TNC | Tennant Company | $61.03 | 1.13B | +39% | -60% | -75% | -92% | 25.54 | 1.86 | 0.93 | 10.80 | — | 3.29 | 40.24% | 6.74% | 3.64% | 7.17% | 7.60% | 3.56% | 0.57 | 9.01 | 2.05 | 1.24 | 1.90 | -4612.00% | -647.00% | -3660.00% | 3.87% | 0.22 | 5.36% | 1.96% | 50.00% | 9.87% | 16.73 | 31.34 | 1.13 | 3.15 |
| WLDN | Willdan Group, Inc. | $89.14 | 1.31B | — | -33% | -70% | +13% | 24.07 | 4.15 | 1.86 | 19.69 | — | 14.09 | 37.51% | 6.48% | 7.71% | — | — | — | 0.23 | 7.68 | 1.56 | 0.85 | 0.05 | — | — | — | 5.59% | 0.50 | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 28.73 | 17.94 | 1.86 | 5.12 |
About Napco Security Technologies, Inc.
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells electronic security products in the United States and internationally. The company offers access control systems, door-locking products, intrusion and fire alarm systems, and video surveillance systems for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental applications. Its access control systems include various types of identification readers, control panels, PC-based computers, and electronically activated door-locking devices; and door locking devices comprise microprocessor-based electronic door locks with push button, card readers and bio-metric operation, door alarms, mechanical door locks, and simple dead bolt locks. The company's alarm systems include automatic communicators, cellular communication devices, control panels, combination control panels/digital communicators and digital keypad systems, fire alarm control panels, and area detectors; and video surveillance systems comprise video cameras, control panels, video monitors, or PCs. It also buys and resells various identification readers, video cameras, PC-based computers, and peripheral equipment for access control and video surveillance systems; offers school security products; and markets peripheral and related equipment manufactured by other companies. The company markets and sells its products primarily to independent distributors, dealers, and installers of security equipment. Napco Security Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Amityville, New York.
- CEO
- Richard L. Soloway
- Employees
- 1.07K
- Beta
- 1.48
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($23.00 ÷ $46.72) − 1 = -50.77% (DCF, example).