US · DHI
D.R. Horton, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
- Headquarters
- Arlington, TX 76011
- Website
- drhorton.com
Price · as of 2025-09-30
$149.98
Market cap 46.69B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $161.05 | +7.38% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $66.27 | -55.81% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $111.93 | -25.37% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $16.67 | -88.88% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $10.90 | $29.77 | $0.00 | $7.06 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $16.38 | $142.86 | $0.00 | $23.95 | $81.38 |
| 2013 | $16.71 | $70.07 | $43.75 | $16.86 | $71.86 |
| 2014 | $21.99 | $53.68 | $292.60 | $20.44 | $55.00 |
| 2015 | $28.50 | $52.80 | $1,149.92 | $22.35 | $84.88 |
| 2016 | $26.04 | $45.04 | $688.53 | $25.24 | $47.76 |
| 2017 | $46.36 | $53.52 | $603.89 | $28.36 | $65.01 |
| 2018 | $33.72 | $55.09 | $278.34 | $35.45 | $83.45 |
| 2019 | $50.81 | $63.76 | $85.65 | $39.18 | $74.37 |
| 2020 | $66.33 | $102.84 | $1.44 | $53.91 | $148.47 |
| 2021 | $104.95 | $168.00 | $334.51 | $86.58 | $501.08 |
| 2022 | $82.65 | $169.39 | $494.98 | $124.46 | $463.58 |
| 2023 | $135.33 | $158.12 | $349.71 | $120.76 | $193.19 |
| 2024 | $156.20 | $176.57 | $4.13 | $130.51 | $169.83 |
| 2025 | $158.17 | $161.05 | $3.05 | $111.93 | $16.67 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates D.R. Horton, Inc.'s (DHI) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $161.05
- Current price
- $149.98
- AI upside
- +7.38%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$66.27
-55.81% upside
Graham-Dodd
$111.93
-25.37% upside
Graham Formula
$16.67
-88.88% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| DHI | D.R. Horton, Inc. | $149.98 | 46.69B | +7% | -56% | -25% | -89% | 13.61 | 2.02 | 1.42 | 10.71 | — | 2.03 | 23.70% | 12.92% | 10.47% | 14.48% | 12.52% | 10.02% | 0.25 | — | 17.39 | 1.75 | 0.63 | -1932.00% | -693.00% | 6219.00% | 6.73% | 1.74 | 12.16% | 1.01% | 13.80% | 9.79% | 11.72 | 15.79 | 1.51 | 6.42 |
| CCL | Carnival Corporation & pl… | $31.55 | 43.61B | +36% | +145% | -38% | -5% | 16.08 | 3.61 | 1.67 | 10.19 | 39.93 | 4.22 | 29.62% | 16.84% | 10.37% | 25.63% | 11.86% | 5.48% | 2.28 | 3.32 | 0.32 | 0.20 | 3.77 | 4028.00% | 640.00% | 10100.00% | 5.87% | 0.47 | 6.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.61% | 15.72 | 27.03 | 2.65 | 1.40 |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill, I… | $37.22 | 49.21B | +11% | -60% | -79% | -59% | 31.95 | 17.33 | 4.11 | 24.41 | 1182.13 | 17.47 | 22.35% | 16.84% | 12.88% | 47.36% | 16.68% | 16.88% | 3.48 | — | 1.23 | 1.09 | 4.01 | 270.00% | 541.00% | -423.00% | 2.95% | 1.78 | 15.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.94% | 28.81 | 39.97 | 4.85 | 6.97 |
| CPRT | Copart, Inc. | $38.09 | 36.87B | +38% | -39% | -55% | -27% | 27.36 | 4.61 | 9.12 | 17.84 | 201.57 | 4.92 | 45.18% | 36.51% | 33.41% | 18.53% | 31.78% | 16.72% | 0.01 | — | 8.25 | 8.13 | -1.27 | 1357.00% | 968.00% | 2799.00% | 2.91% | 2.63 | 28.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.03% | 22.20 | 30.61 | 8.11 | 31.50 |
| JD | JD.com, Inc. | $26.53 | 37.65B | +15% | +321% | +2% | +108% | 10.10 | 1.88 | 0.39 | 6.48 | 13.20 | 2.67 | 9.79% | 3.34% | 3.57% | 18.96% | 32.71% | 6.73% | 0.38 | 13.38 | 1.29 | 0.88 | -0.39 | 7651.00% | 684.00% | 1207.00% | 9.81% | 0.19 | 43.14% | 1.83% | 18.50% | 10.93% | 7.92 | 6.93 | 0.26 | 2.86 |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | $114.36 | 29.48B | -31% | -60% | -29% | -67% | 13.88 | 1.33 | 0.86 | 10.73 | — | 1.60 | 17.74% | 8.05% | 6.02% | 8.46% | 7.95% | 5.57% | 0.29 | 198.24 | 3.12 | 0.96 | 0.85 | -4423.00% | -364.00% | -9874.00% | 0.10% | 0.04 | 0.11% | 1.78% | 24.70% | 7.96% | 11.55 | 1127.25 | 0.93 | 4.00 |
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands Corp. | $56.72 | 38.35B | -26% | +724% | — | -6% | 20.87 | 24.49 | 2.99 | 11.39 | 104.89 | 38.29 | 28.18% | 23.73% | 12.50% | 83.42% | 19.38% | 8.76% | 10.15 | 4.14 | 1.14 | 1.09 | 2.73 | 1990.00% | 1522.00% | 185.00% | 4.25% | 0.67 | 12.31% | 2.14% | 44.60% | 7.83% | 16.59 | 30.98 | 3.94 | 2.54 |
| NVR | NVR, Inc. | $7,525.08 | 21.37B | -18% | -56% | -52% | -62% | 16.05 | 5.56 | 2.08 | 11.58 | — | 5.56 | 22.96% | 16.19% | 12.98% | 33.18% | 44.41% | 21.90% | 0.31 | 57.97 | 3.95 | 2.12 | -0.42 | -1384.00% | -208.00% | -1847.00% | 5.10% | 1.19 | 38.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.52% | 12.41 | 18.91 | 2.01 | 13.67 |
| PHM | PulteGroup, Inc. | $137.20 | 26.39B | +4% | -58% | -21% | -62% | 11.93 | 2.04 | 1.53 | 8.88 | — | 2.05 | 26.41% | 17.32% | 12.82% | 17.67% | 17.45% | 12.53% | 0.19 | 4956.49 | 5.91 | 0.88 | 0.13 | -2430.00% | -354.00% | 1192.00% | 6.61% | 0.73 | 13.35% | 0.67% | 8.00% | 6.39% | 8.96 | 15.37 | 1.55 | 6.22 |
| TCOM | Trip.com Group Limited | $52.62 | 34.39B | -8% | +275% | -32% | +88% | 17.20 | 2.08 | 5.56 | 17.29 | 25.42 | 4.31 | 81.25% | 26.60% | 32.02% | 13.01% | 11.49% | 7.46% | 0.28 | 8.17 | 1.51 | 1.33 | -0.54 | 6766.00% | 1973.00% | -1105.00% | 6.42% | 0.27 | 17.76% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.82% | 18.32 | 13.65 | 4.87 | 2.66 |
About D.R. Horton, Inc.
D.R. Horton, Inc. operates as a homebuilding company in East, North, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and Northwest regions in the United States. It engages in the acquisition and development of land; and construction and sale of residential homes in 31 states and 98 markets under the names of D.R. Horton, America's Builder, Express Homes, Emerald Homes, and Freedom Homes. The company constructs and sells single-family detached homes; and attached homes, such as town homes, duplexes, and triplexes. It also provides mortgage financing services; and title insurance policies, and examination and closing services, as well as engages in the residential lot development business. In addition, the company develops, constructs, owns, leases, and sells multi-family and single-family rental properties; owns non-residential real estate, including ranch land and improvements; and owns and operates energy related assets. It primarily serves homebuyers. D.R. Horton, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas.
- CEO
- Paul J. Romanowski
- Employees
- 14.77K
- Beta
- 1.45
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($66.27 ÷ $149.98) − 1 = -55.81% (DCF, example).