US · NVR
NVR, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
- Headquarters
- Reston, VA 20190
- Website
- nvrinc.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$6,154.14
Market cap 21.37B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $6,158.83 | +0.08% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $3,283.25 | -46.65% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $3,642.74 | -40.81% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $2,872.47 | -53.32% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $721.46 | $745.57 | $20.58 | $369.70 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $1,046.00 | $1,887.09 | $139.12 | $475.55 | $968.65 |
| 2013 | $1,188.79 | $1,033.67 | $5,181.34 | $547.55 | $2,190.01 |
| 2014 | $1,319.97 | $1,251.74 | $10,951.34 | $591.96 | $887.88 |
| 2015 | $1,672.01 | $1,437.16 | $18,339.98 | $784.14 | $2,231.18 |
| 2016 | $2,042.02 | $1,512.76 | $15,372.64 | $891.80 | $2,252.21 |
| 2017 | $3,056.98 | $2,195.29 | $15,613.68 | $1,150.04 | $2,300.11 |
| 2018 | $2,710.00 | $2,113.49 | $13,842.66 | $1,416.07 | $4,118.29 |
| 2019 | $3,845.23 | $2,839.51 | $1,878.58 | $1,849.47 | $2,700.36 |
| 2020 | $4,538.83 | $3,459.99 | $463.10 | $2,061.03 | $2,451.70 |
| 2021 | $4,752.54 | $3,952.57 | $876.53 | $2,565.34 | $9,018.79 |
| 2022 | $5,235.47 | $4,854.73 | $8,961.27 | $3,693.35 | $13,111.72 |
| 2023 | $7,654.99 | $5,936.94 | $1,337.36 | $3,805.49 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $7,393.21 | $6,115.12 | $1,235.47 | $4,057.78 | $9,880.42 |
| 2025 | $7,415.75 | $6,158.83 | $613.91 | $3,642.74 | $2,872.47 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates NVR, Inc.'s (NVR) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $6,158.83
- Current price
- $6,154.14
- AI upside
- +0.08%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$3,283.25
-46.65% upside
Graham-Dodd
$3,642.74
-40.81% upside
Graham Formula
$2,872.47
-53.32% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| NVR | NVR, Inc. | $6,154.14 | 21.37B | 0% | -47% | -41% | -53% | 16.05 | 5.56 | 2.08 | 11.58 | — | 5.56 | 22.96% | 16.19% | 12.98% | 33.18% | 44.41% | 21.90% | 0.31 | 57.97 | 3.95 | 2.12 | -0.42 | -1384.00% | -208.00% | -1847.00% | 5.10% | 1.19 | 38.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.52% | 12.41 | 18.91 | 2.01 | 13.67 |
| DRI | Darden Restaurants, Inc. | $213.85 | 24.87B | -28% | -63% | — | -42% | 22.43 | 10.19 | 1.95 | 15.69 | 545.36 | -33.90 | 21.88% | 11.28% | 8.69% | 46.10% | 15.29% | 8.78% | 2.70 | 7.55 | 0.42 | 0.15 | 3.18 | 411.00% | 603.00% | 524.00% | 4.40% | 0.76 | 13.12% | 2.80% | 62.70% | 4.57% | 21.68 | 28.53 | 2.45 | 2.56 |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | $114.36 | 29.48B | -31% | -60% | -29% | -67% | 13.88 | 1.33 | 0.86 | 10.73 | — | 1.60 | 17.74% | 8.05% | 6.02% | 8.46% | 7.95% | 5.57% | 0.29 | 198.24 | 3.12 | 0.96 | 0.85 | -4423.00% | -364.00% | -9874.00% | 0.10% | 0.04 | 0.11% | 1.78% | 24.70% | 7.96% | 11.55 | 1127.25 | 0.93 | 4.00 |
| LI | Li Auto Inc. | $17.59 | 17.76B | +3% | +131% | -11% | +56% | 25.68 | 2.91 | 1.43 | 8.74 | — | 3.01 | 20.53% | 4.40% | 5.56% | 12.26% | -19.91% | 5.25% | 0.23 | 33.85 | 1.82 | 1.63 | -3.94 | -3183.00% | 1671.00% | -8144.00% | 3.98% | 0.23 | -29.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17.27 | 13.39 | 0.76 | 2.90 |
| LULU | Lululemon Athletica Inc. | $185.17 | 20.77B | +35% | +397% | -42% | +40% | 17.80 | 7.47 | 3.05 | 10.80 | 89.00 | 7.78 | 59.22% | 23.67% | 17.14% | 42.42% | 48.31% | 24.70% | 0.36 | — | 2.16 | 1.24 | -0.14 | 2000.00% | 1007.00% | -370.00% | 4.90% | 1.24 | 43.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.07% | 12.73 | 20.14 | 3.01 | 9.48 |
| PHM | PulteGroup, Inc. | $137.20 | 26.39B | +4% | -58% | -21% | -62% | 11.93 | 2.04 | 1.53 | 8.88 | — | 2.05 | 26.41% | 17.32% | 12.82% | 17.67% | 17.45% | 12.53% | 0.19 | 4956.49 | 5.91 | 0.88 | 0.13 | -2430.00% | -354.00% | 1192.00% | 6.61% | 0.73 | 13.35% | 0.67% | 8.00% | 6.39% | 8.96 | 15.37 | 1.55 | 6.22 |
| QSR | Restaurant Brands Interna… | $71.71 | 23.59B | +81% | -52% | — | -36% | 22.35 | 6.61 | 2.55 | 16.69 | — | -1.73 | 41.09% | 23.72% | 8.23% | 31.88% | 8.45% | 4.28% | 4.84 | 4.34 | 0.98 | 0.68 | 6.77 | -2610.00% | 1223.00% | 1129.00% | 6.03% | 0.59 | 7.67% | 4.61% | 103.10% | 4.61% | 18.07 | 27.91 | 4.29 | 1.46 |
| RL | Ralph Lauren Corporation | $362.60 | 21.99B | -30% | -53% | -89% | -52% | 22.95 | 6.59 | 2.41 | 14.52 | 118.03 | 10.41 | 68.55% | 13.17% | 10.49% | 29.49% | 19.35% | 10.89% | 1.03 | 21.14 | 1.78 | 1.26 | 0.61 | 1944.00% | 675.00% | 1260.00% | 5.98% | 0.58 | 27.06% | 1.18% | 27.10% | 11.50% | 18.92 | 17.31 | 2.49 | 5.53 |
| SW | Smurfit Westrock Plc | $47.01 | 24.55B | -33% | +50% | -88% | +24% | 34.33 | 1.11 | 0.72 | 7.99 | 61.64 | 2.03 | 19.42% | 5.67% | 2.33% | 3.33% | 3.99% | 1.34% | 0.64 | 2.27 | 1.48 | 0.64 | 2.77 | 5570.00% | 3875.00% | 590776.00% | 5.00% | 0.41 | 3.45% | 3.75% | 128.80% | 13.10% | 19.50 | 30.60 | 1.11 | 1.36 |
| TOL | Toll Brothers, Inc. | $157.24 | 14.94B | -1% | -63% | -13% | -20% | 10.67 | 1.74 | 1.31 | 8.58 | — | 1.74 | 25.96% | 15.69% | 12.28% | 16.89% | 13.43% | 9.66% | 0.35 | — | 4.17 | 0.46 | 0.89 | -1013.00% | 111.00% | 958.00% | 7.14% | 0.36 | 10.66% | 0.68% | 7.20% | 5.22% | 9.31 | 15.61 | 1.46 | 4.17 |
About NVR, Inc.
NVR, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking. It engages in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes names. The company markets its Ryan Homes products to first-time and first-time move-up buyers; and NVHomes and Heartland Homes products to move-up and luxury buyers. It also provides various mortgage related services to its homebuilding customers, as well as brokers title insurance; performs title searches in connection with mortgage loan closings; and sells mortgage loans to investors in the secondary markets on a servicing released basis. The company primarily serves in Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, New Jersey, Eastern Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio, Western Pennsylvania, Indiana, Illinois, North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida, Tennessee, and Washington, D.C. NVR, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
- CEO
- Eugene James Bredow
- Employees
- 7K
- Beta
- 1.03
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($3,283.25 ÷ $6,154.14) − 1 = -46.65% (DCF, example).