US · PHM
PulteGroup, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
- Headquarters
- Atlanta, GA 30326
- Website
- pultegroup.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$119.21
Market cap 26.39B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $142.04 | +19.15% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $58.03 | -51.32% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $108.04 | -9.37% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $52.53 | -55.93% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $7.70 | $28.76 | $0.00 | $2.33 | $0.48 |
| 2012 | $17.29 | $47.67 | $0.00 | $8.44 | $12.97 |
| 2013 | $17.48 | $52.26 | $0.00 | $44.83 | $172.06 |
| 2014 | $18.33 | $35.15 | $29.89 | $16.31 | $13.60 |
| 2015 | $16.29 | $30.56 | $21.83 | $15.40 | $14.98 |
| 2016 | $21.24 | $34.48 | $130.26 | $16.96 | $62.61 |
| 2017 | $27.49 | $29.92 | $189.77 | $15.27 | $28.46 |
| 2018 | $25.59 | $48.10 | $334.07 | $29.36 | $94.11 |
| 2019 | $39.03 | $54.23 | $14.13 | $31.57 | $30.82 |
| 2020 | $45.65 | $69.08 | $1.01 | $43.13 | $82.68 |
| 2021 | $44.67 | $87.91 | $45.87 | $57.60 | $236.23 |
| 2022 | $52.21 | $121.63 | $174.89 | $84.12 | $265.25 |
| 2023 | $111.03 | $154.05 | $79.25 | $96.33 | $100.72 |
| 2024 | $107.05 | $164.37 | $35.97 | $119.91 | $287.68 |
| 2025 | $133.72 | $142.04 | $5.47 | $108.04 | $52.53 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates PulteGroup, Inc.'s (PHM) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $142.04
- Current price
- $119.21
- AI upside
- +19.15%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$58.03
-51.32% upside
Graham-Dodd
$108.04
-9.37% upside
Graham Formula
$52.53
-55.93% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| PHM | PulteGroup, Inc. | $119.21 | 26.39B | +19% | -51% | -9% | -56% | 11.93 | 2.04 | 1.53 | 8.88 | — | 2.05 | 26.41% | 17.32% | 12.82% | 17.67% | 17.45% | 12.53% | 0.19 | 4956.49 | 5.91 | 0.88 | 0.13 | -2430.00% | -354.00% | 1192.00% | 6.61% | 0.73 | 13.35% | 0.67% | 8.00% | 6.39% | 8.96 | 15.37 | 1.55 | 6.22 |
| DRI | Darden Restaurants, Inc. | $213.85 | 24.87B | -28% | -63% | — | -42% | 22.43 | 10.19 | 1.95 | 15.69 | 545.36 | -33.90 | 21.88% | 11.28% | 8.69% | 46.10% | 15.29% | 8.78% | 2.70 | 7.55 | 0.42 | 0.15 | 3.18 | 411.00% | 603.00% | 524.00% | 4.40% | 0.76 | 13.12% | 2.80% | 62.70% | 4.57% | 21.68 | 28.53 | 2.45 | 2.56 |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | $114.36 | 29.48B | -31% | -60% | -29% | -67% | 13.88 | 1.33 | 0.86 | 10.73 | — | 1.60 | 17.74% | 8.05% | 6.02% | 8.46% | 7.95% | 5.57% | 0.29 | 198.24 | 3.12 | 0.96 | 0.85 | -4423.00% | -364.00% | -9874.00% | 0.10% | 0.04 | 0.11% | 1.78% | 24.70% | 7.96% | 11.55 | 1127.25 | 0.93 | 4.00 |
| NVR | NVR, Inc. | $7,525.08 | 21.37B | -18% | -56% | -52% | -62% | 16.05 | 5.56 | 2.08 | 11.58 | — | 5.56 | 22.96% | 16.19% | 12.98% | 33.18% | 44.41% | 21.90% | 0.31 | 57.97 | 3.95 | 2.12 | -0.42 | -1384.00% | -208.00% | -1847.00% | 5.10% | 1.19 | 38.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.52% | 12.41 | 18.91 | 2.01 | 13.67 |
| QSR | Restaurant Brands Interna… | $71.71 | 23.59B | +81% | -52% | — | -36% | 22.35 | 6.61 | 2.55 | 16.69 | — | -1.73 | 41.09% | 23.72% | 8.23% | 31.88% | 8.45% | 4.28% | 4.84 | 4.34 | 0.98 | 0.68 | 6.77 | -2610.00% | 1223.00% | 1129.00% | 6.03% | 0.59 | 7.67% | 4.61% | 103.10% | 4.61% | 18.07 | 27.91 | 4.29 | 1.46 |
| TOL | Toll Brothers, Inc. | $157.24 | 14.94B | -1% | -63% | -13% | -20% | 10.67 | 1.74 | 1.31 | 8.58 | — | 1.74 | 25.96% | 15.69% | 12.28% | 16.89% | 13.43% | 9.66% | 0.35 | — | 4.17 | 0.46 | 0.89 | -1013.00% | 111.00% | 958.00% | 7.14% | 0.36 | 10.66% | 0.68% | 7.20% | 5.22% | 9.31 | 15.61 | 1.46 | 4.17 |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty, Inc. | $684.79 | 30.7B | -56% | -47% | -74% | -67% | 14.21 | 6.86 | 1.51 | 9.90 | — | 6.89 | 38.84% | 13.98% | 10.63% | 50.39% | 33.65% | 20.52% | 0.77 | — | 1.70 | 0.52 | 0.66 | -265.00% | 79.00% | -738.00% | 5.65% | 0.75 | 27.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.02% | 11.58 | 18.96 | 1.62 | 6.26 |
| WSM | Williams-Sonoma, Inc. | $205.65 | 24.55B | -28% | -69% | -87% | -67% | 16.38 | 8.60 | 2.39 | 11.18 | 78.96 | 8.92 | 46.45% | 18.55% | 14.59% | 52.70% | 47.79% | 21.28% | 0.63 | — | 1.44 | 0.70 | 0.08 | 2074.00% | -50.00% | -2367.00% | 6.18% | 0.71 | 50.24% | 1.52% | 24.90% | 5.90% | 12.98 | 16.30 | 2.41 | 6.46 |
| XPEV | XPeng Inc. | $17.56 | 16.68B | -40% | +13,679% | -98% | — | -27.49 | 5.09 | 3.90 | -48.86 | — | 6.66 | 14.30% | -16.29% | -14.17% | -17.13% | -38.09% | -6.94% | 0.51 | -19.36 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 0.91 | -4866.00% | 3322.00% | 22761.00% | -2.79% | -0.05 | -25.71% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -21.39 | -32.07 | 3.48 | 1.53 |
About PulteGroup, Inc.
PulteGroup, Inc., through its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the homebuilding business in the United States. It acquires and develops land primarily for residential purposes; and constructs housing on such land. The company also offers various home designs, including single-family detached, townhomes, condominiums, and duplexes under the Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb, DiVosta Homes, American West, and John Wieland Homes and Neighborhoods brand names. As of December 31, 2021, it controlled 228,296 lots, of which 109,078 were owned and 119,218 were under land option agreements. In addition, the company arranges financing through the origination of mortgage loans primarily for homebuyers; sells the servicing rights for the originated loans; and provides title insurance policies, and examination and closing services to homebuyers. PulteGroup, Inc. was formerly known as Pulte Homes, Inc. and changed its name to PulteGroup, Inc. in March 2010. The company was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
- CEO
- Ryan R. Marshall
- Employees
- 6.79K
- Beta
- 1.34
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($58.03 ÷ $119.21) − 1 = -51.32% (DCF, example).