US · FAST
Fastenal Company
- Sector
- Industrials · Industrial - Distribution
- Headquarters
- Winona, MN 55987-1500
- Website
- fastenal.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$44.91
Market cap 52.86B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $42.32 | -5.77% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $21.47 | -52.19% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $17.94 | -60.06% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $9.21 | $30.72 | $3.51 | $0.32 | $8.85 |
| 2012 | $9.22 | $28.62 | $13.75 | $0.00 | $7.37 |
| 2013 | $8.95 | $28.83 | $6.54 | $0.38 | $5.31 |
| 2014 | $7.62 | $28.36 | $4.06 | $0.00 | $8.25 |
| 2015 | $9.00 | $28.06 | $1.45 | $0.00 | $5.13 |
| 2016 | $10.04 | $28.03 | $0.71 | $0.00 | $4.50 |
| 2017 | $11.77 | $29.52 | $1.31 | $0.00 | $9.26 |
| 2018 | $12.85 | $30.12 | $5.64 | $0.00 | $13.47 |
| 2019 | $14.67 | $29.72 | $5.04 | $0.00 | $10.49 |
| 2020 | $20.90 | $31.16 | $1.87 | $0.00 | $10.24 |
| 2021 | $24.44 | $33.13 | $1.10 | $0.00 | $11.47 |
| 2022 | $23.93 | $34.21 | $4.94 | $0.00 | $22.33 |
| 2023 | $36.22 | $37.88 | $8.82 | $0.00 | $13.23 |
| 2024 | $39.17 | $38.60 | $3.14 | $0.00 | $10.86 |
| 2025 | $46.33 | $42.32 | $1.84 | $0.00 | $17.94 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Fastenal Company's (FAST) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $42.32
- Current price
- $44.91
- AI upside
- -5.77%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$21.47
-52.19% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$17.94
-60.06% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | $44.91 | 52.86B | -6% | -52% | — | -60% | 42.25 | 13.48 | 6.48 | 32.21 | 469.45 | 13.48 | 45.01% | 20.19% | 15.35% | 33.29% | 31.65% | 25.81% | 0.11 | 267.05 | 4.85 | 2.13 | 0.10 | 900.00% | 867.00% | 1096.00% | 1.98% | 1.81 | 26.41% | 1.89% | 79.80% | 2.01% | 32.21 | 50.76 | 6.50 | 33.19 |
| AME | AMETEK, Inc. | $239.22 | 55.07B | -40% | -53% | -88% | -61% | 37.59 | 5.24 | 7.52 | 30.58 | 474.33 | -43.12 | 36.38% | 26.15% | 20.00% | 14.59% | 13.24% | 9.64% | 0.21 | 23.82 | 1.06 | 0.55 | 0.97 | 793.00% | 663.00% | -178.00% | 3.00% | 0.63 | 13.89% | 0.51% | 19.30% | 1.52% | 29.69 | 34.38 | 7.77 | 7.01 |
| CARR | Carrier Global Corporatio… | $64.40 | 53.83B | -27% | -57% | — | -86% | 35.88 | 3.88 | 2.46 | 23.23 | — | -6.68 | 25.91% | 9.89% | 6.87% | 10.71% | 7.47% | 4.00% | 0.92 | 6.23 | 1.20 | 0.59 | 3.99 | -7236.00% | -329.00% | 375682.00% | 3.17% | 0.29 | 7.11% | 1.44% | 51.70% | 6.84% | 30.09 | 38.12 | 2.97 | 2.67 |
| FER | Ferrovial SE | $74.38 | 53.6B | -15% | -40% | -84% | -75% | 51.77 | 7.78 | 4.78 | 26.26 | — | 8.56 | 88.32% | 12.23% | 9.22% | 14.82% | 9.34% | 3.15% | 1.82 | 2.69 | 1.13 | 0.99 | 3.25 | -7230.00% | 525.00% | 6298.00% | 3.78% | 0.30 | 13.80% | 0.34% | 17.60% | 1.93% | 44.57 | 30.17 | 5.45 | 2.07 |
| FERG | Ferguson plc | $260.76 | 50.99B | -38% | -65% | -90% | -58% | 24.71 | 7.86 | 1.49 | 16.72 | 266.77 | 17.36 | 30.67% | 8.47% | 6.03% | 32.42% | 18.41% | 10.82% | 1.02 | 13.72 | 1.68 | 0.77 | 1.73 | 926.00% | 380.00% | 680.00% | 3.50% | 0.32 | 14.78% | 1.07% | 26.30% | 3.13% | 19.63 | 31.91 | 1.66 | 5.35 |
| GWW | W.W. Grainger, Inc. | $1,144.73 | 54.43B | -32% | -57% | -90% | -61% | 30.53 | 13.33 | 3.08 | 20.89 | — | 15.70 | 39.06% | 15.00% | 9.51% | 48.22% | 32.76% | 20.32% | 0.76 | 33.22 | 2.83 | 1.50 | 0.93 | -855.00% | 451.00% | -1522.00% | 2.41% | 1.04 | 21.78% | 0.85% | 25.80% | 2.74% | 21.47 | 43.40 | 3.22 | 10.34 |
| PCAR | PACCAR Inc | $126.09 | 66.31B | -32% | -50% | — | — | 27.55 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 13.39 | — | 3.40 | 16.23% | 10.41% | 8.35% | 12.92% | 13.86% | 5.41% | 0.00 | 8.55 | 1.70 | 1.42 | -2.20 | -4291.00% | -1550.00% | 462.00% | 4.63% | 0.56 | 18.05% | 3.46% | 95.40% | 31.16% | 18.97 | 18.55 | 1.98 | 2.58 |
| ROK | Rockwell Automation, Inc. | $407.45 | 45.81B | -37% | -59% | — | -83% | 60.62 | 12.43 | 5.44 | 34.75 | — | -43.28 | 48.14% | 17.06% | 10.42% | 20.94% | 16.67% | 6.67% | 1.00 | 9.12 | 1.14 | 0.70 | 2.27 | -737.00% | 97.00% | 11249.00% | 2.99% | 0.45 | 19.48% | 1.30% | 78.90% | 3.20% | 34.14 | 35.78 | 5.82 | 5.52 |
| ROP | Roper Technologies, Inc. | $349.73 | 37.64B | +23% | -52% | -98% | -19% | 24.70 | 1.91 | 4.80 | 14.98 | — | -3.38 | 69.24% | 28.29% | 19.44% | 7.93% | 6.42% | 4.66% | 0.47 | 6.88 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 2.87 | -105.00% | 1226.00% | 712.00% | 6.57% | 0.68 | 9.03% | 0.94% | 23.10% | 2.25% | 21.00 | 18.83 | 5.94 | 2.63 |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | $54.78 | 6.08B | +428% | +1,670% | -99% | — | -459.82 | 29.31 | 2.89 | -110.37 | -459.82 | 78.83 | 18.81% | -5.12% | -0.75% | -6.74% | 15.08% | -0.71% | 0.25 | — | 1.08 | 0.93 | 24.78 | 10000.00% | 2565.00% | -86906.00% | 12.14% | 0.50 | -105.19% | 0.02% | -8.30% | 7.14% | -46.07 | 6.72 | 2.36 | 2.10 |
| XYL | Xylem Inc. | $129.56 | 31.56B | -23% | -59% | -93% | -59% | 33.05 | 2.73 | 3.47 | 17.85 | 446.73 | 35.84 | 38.46% | 13.54% | 10.59% | 8.59% | 8.34% | 5.57% | 0.17 | 42.17 | 1.62 | 1.13 | 0.26 | 740.00% | 552.00% | -340.00% | 2.90% | 0.43 | 7.72% | 1.25% | 41.20% | 3.02% | 26.05 | 35.01 | 3.53 | 4.36 |
About Fastenal Company
Fastenal Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of industrial and construction supplies in the United States, Canada, Mexico, North America, and internationally. It offers fasteners, and related industrial and construction supplies under the Fastenal name. The company's fastener products include threaded fasteners, bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and related washers, which are used in manufactured products and construction projects, as well as in the maintenance and repair of machines. It also offers miscellaneous supplies and hardware, including pins, machinery keys, concrete anchors, metal framing systems, wire ropes, strut products, rivets, and related accessories. The company serves the manufacturing market comprising original equipment manufacturers; maintenance, repair, and operations; and non-residential construction market, which includes general, electrical, plumbing, sheet metal, and road contractors. It also serves farmers, truckers, railroads, mining companies, schools, and retail trades; and oil exploration, production, and refinement companies, as well as federal, state, and local governmental entities. The company distributes its products through a network of 3,209 in-market locations and 15 distribution centers. Fastenal Company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, Minnesota.
- CEO
- Daniel L. Florness
- Employees
- 21.34K
- Beta
- 0.89
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($21.47 ÷ $44.91) − 1 = -52.19% (DCF, example).