US · FERG
Ferguson plc
- Sector
- Industrials · Industrial - Distribution
- Headquarters
- Newport News RG41 5TS
- Website
- fergusonplc.com
Price · as of 2025-07-31
$264.27
Market cap 50.99B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $161.87 | -38.75% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $92.22 | -65.1% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $26.71 | -89.89% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $109.79 | -58.46% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $17.62 | $17.72 | $0.00 | $18.97 | $27.29 |
| 2012 | $30.38 | $27.76 | $0.00 | $2.59 | $1.09 |
| 2013 | $38.81 | $20.02 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $5.69 |
| 2014 | $41.71 | $29.17 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $38.55 |
| 2015 | $45.97 | $23.77 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $11.26 |
| 2016 | $48.46 | $27.60 | $0.00 | $9.50 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $58.21 | $40.34 | $10.84 | $12.84 | $91.30 |
| 2018 | $65.47 | $53.45 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $79.41 |
| 2019 | $67.09 | $50.85 | $178.37 | $6.77 | $66.76 |
| 2020 | $86.60 | $71.43 | $1.44 | $11.34 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $129.83 | $103.51 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $144.26 |
| 2022 | $101.31 | $124.78 | $341.41 | $23.69 | $316.07 |
| 2023 | $156.48 | $153.26 | $476.25 | $7.64 | $109.43 |
| 2024 | $194.48 | $170.16 | $32.94 | $0.86 | $66.25 |
| 2025 | $230.54 | $161.87 | $0.00 | $26.71 | $109.78 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Ferguson plc's (FERG) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $161.87
- Current price
- $264.27
- AI upside
- -38.75%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$92.22
-65.1% upside
Graham-Dodd
$26.71
-89.89% upside
Graham Formula
$109.79
-58.46% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| FERG | Ferguson plc | $264.27 | 50.99B | -39% | -65% | -90% | -58% | 24.71 | 7.86 | 1.49 | 16.72 | 266.77 | 17.36 | 30.67% | 8.47% | 6.03% | 32.42% | 18.41% | 10.82% | 1.02 | 13.72 | 1.68 | 0.77 | 1.73 | 926.00% | 380.00% | 680.00% | 3.50% | 0.32 | 14.78% | 1.07% | 26.30% | 3.13% | 19.63 | 31.91 | 1.66 | 5.35 |
| AME | AMETEK, Inc. | $239.22 | 55.07B | -40% | -53% | -88% | -61% | 37.59 | 5.24 | 7.52 | 30.58 | 474.33 | -43.12 | 36.38% | 26.15% | 20.00% | 14.59% | 13.24% | 9.64% | 0.21 | 23.82 | 1.06 | 0.55 | 0.97 | 793.00% | 663.00% | -178.00% | 3.00% | 0.63 | 13.89% | 0.51% | 19.30% | 1.52% | 29.69 | 34.38 | 7.77 | 7.01 |
| CARR | Carrier Global Corporatio… | $64.40 | 53.83B | -27% | -57% | — | -86% | 35.88 | 3.88 | 2.46 | 23.23 | — | -6.68 | 25.91% | 9.89% | 6.87% | 10.71% | 7.47% | 4.00% | 0.92 | 6.23 | 1.20 | 0.59 | 3.99 | -7236.00% | -329.00% | 375682.00% | 3.17% | 0.29 | 7.11% | 1.44% | 51.70% | 6.84% | 30.09 | 38.12 | 2.97 | 2.67 |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | $46.04 | 52.86B | -8% | -53% | — | -61% | 42.25 | 13.48 | 6.48 | 32.21 | 469.45 | 13.48 | 45.01% | 20.19% | 15.35% | 33.29% | 31.65% | 25.81% | 0.11 | 267.05 | 4.85 | 2.13 | 0.10 | 900.00% | 867.00% | 1096.00% | 1.98% | 1.81 | 26.41% | 1.89% | 79.80% | 2.01% | 32.21 | 50.76 | 6.50 | 33.19 |
| FER | Ferrovial SE | $74.38 | 53.6B | -15% | -40% | -84% | -75% | 51.77 | 7.78 | 4.78 | 26.26 | — | 8.56 | 88.32% | 12.23% | 9.22% | 14.82% | 9.34% | 3.15% | 1.82 | 2.69 | 1.13 | 0.99 | 3.25 | -7230.00% | 525.00% | 6298.00% | 3.78% | 0.30 | 13.80% | 0.34% | 17.60% | 1.93% | 44.57 | 30.17 | 5.45 | 2.07 |
| GWW | W.W. Grainger, Inc. | $1,144.73 | 54.43B | -32% | -57% | -90% | -61% | 30.53 | 13.33 | 3.08 | 20.89 | — | 15.70 | 39.06% | 15.00% | 9.51% | 48.22% | 32.76% | 20.32% | 0.76 | 33.22 | 2.83 | 1.50 | 0.93 | -855.00% | 451.00% | -1522.00% | 2.41% | 1.04 | 21.78% | 0.85% | 25.80% | 2.74% | 21.47 | 43.40 | 3.22 | 10.34 |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies, In… | $364.54 | 68.19B | -25% | -58% | — | -75% | 44.16 | 3.61 | 3.24 | 21.40 | 526.62 | -10.30 | 25.73% | 10.04% | 7.35% | 8.20% | 5.99% | 3.86% | 0.53 | 3.68 | 1.19 | 0.84 | 2.50 | 839.00% | 253.00% | 2469.00% | 3.78% | 0.43 | 8.81% | 1.27% | 56.20% | 7.12% | 36.58 | 29.94 | 3.67 | 2.86 |
| PCAR | PACCAR Inc | $126.09 | 66.31B | -32% | -50% | — | — | 27.55 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 13.39 | — | 3.40 | 16.23% | 10.41% | 8.35% | 12.92% | 13.86% | 5.41% | 0.00 | 8.55 | 1.70 | 1.42 | -2.20 | -4291.00% | -1550.00% | 462.00% | 4.63% | 0.56 | 18.05% | 3.46% | 95.40% | 31.16% | 18.97 | 18.55 | 1.98 | 2.58 |
| ROK | Rockwell Automation, Inc. | $407.45 | 45.81B | -37% | -59% | — | -83% | 60.62 | 12.43 | 5.44 | 34.75 | — | -43.28 | 48.14% | 17.06% | 10.42% | 20.94% | 16.67% | 6.67% | 1.00 | 9.12 | 1.14 | 0.70 | 2.27 | -737.00% | 97.00% | 11249.00% | 2.99% | 0.45 | 19.48% | 1.30% | 78.90% | 3.20% | 34.14 | 35.78 | 5.82 | 5.52 |
| ROP | Roper Technologies, Inc. | $349.73 | 37.64B | +23% | -52% | -98% | -19% | 24.70 | 1.91 | 4.80 | 14.98 | — | -3.38 | 69.24% | 28.29% | 19.44% | 7.93% | 6.42% | 4.66% | 0.47 | 6.88 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 2.87 | -105.00% | 1226.00% | 712.00% | 6.57% | 0.68 | 9.03% | 0.94% | 23.10% | 2.25% | 21.00 | 18.83 | 5.94 | 2.63 |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | $54.78 | 6.08B | +428% | +1,670% | -99% | — | -459.82 | 29.31 | 2.89 | -110.37 | -459.82 | 78.83 | 18.81% | -5.12% | -0.75% | -6.74% | 15.08% | -0.71% | 0.25 | — | 1.08 | 0.93 | 24.78 | 10000.00% | 2565.00% | -86906.00% | 12.14% | 0.50 | -105.19% | 0.02% | -8.30% | 7.14% | -46.07 | 6.72 | 2.36 | 2.10 |
About Ferguson plc
Ferguson plc distributes plumbing and heating products in the United States and Canada. It offers plumbing and heating solutions to customers in the residential, commercial, civil/infrastructure, and industrial end markets. The company also distributes pipes, valves, fittings, plumbing supplies, water heaters, kitchen and bathroom fixtures, and appliances; heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration products and supplies; and plumbing parts and supplies, fire sprinkler systems, hangers, struts, and fasteners. In addition, it distributes water meters and automation products, irrigation and drainage products, geosynthetics, and stormwater management products; flanges, general industrial maintenance repair and operations products, high density polyethylene products, and fabrication products; water and wastewater treatment products; and PVF solutions. Further, the company offers services, including consultation, advice and project management, pro pick-up, and delivery services; online tools; quotation, jobsite delivery and logistics, project management, and fabrication services; digitally enhanced estimation, and design services; advanced metering infrastructure services; and supply chain and equipment rental services. The company also sells its products through online channels. It operates a network of 1,679 branches and 11 distribution centers. Ferguson plc was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Wokingham, the United Kingdom.
- CEO
- Kevin Murphy
- Employees
- 35K
- Beta
- 1.13
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($92.22 ÷ $264.27) − 1 = -65.1% (DCF, example).