US · PCAR
PACCAR Inc
- Sector
- Industrials · Agricultural - Machinery
- Headquarters
- Bellevue, WA 98004
- Website
- paccar.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$116.08
Market cap 66.31B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $86.19 | -25.75% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $62.98 | -45.74% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $18.42 | $27.50 | $353.52 | $13.42 | $123.12 |
| 2012 | $21.04 | $21.37 | $453.17 | $0.00 | $25.35 |
| 2013 | $28.32 | $24.98 | $64.59 | $15.52 | $18.77 |
| 2014 | $27.29 | $23.88 | $0.00 | $7.87 | $47.59 |
| 2015 | $24.41 | $25.13 | $0.00 | $8.94 | $26.25 |
| 2016 | $32.14 | $23.99 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $33.85 | $27.23 | $0.00 | $15.25 | $68.91 |
| 2018 | $34.79 | $33.69 | $12.31 | $14.25 | $116.85 |
| 2019 | $34.94 | $33.84 | $61.24 | $8.78 | $76.82 |
| 2020 | $53.70 | $27.14 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $48.95 | $32.10 | $0.00 | $19.75 | $116.63 |
| 2022 | $64.74 | $49.38 | $1.10 | $25.17 | $171.43 |
| 2023 | $107.40 | $79.86 | $1,358.32 | $30.74 | $254.52 |
| 2024 | $107.31 | $81.57 | $312.36 | $7.59 | $32.59 |
| 2025 | $124.43 | $86.19 | $22.77 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates PACCAR Inc's (PCAR) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $86.19
- Current price
- $116.08
- AI upside
- -25.75%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$62.98
-45.74% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| PCAR | PACCAR Inc | $116.08 | 66.31B | -26% | -46% | — | — | 27.55 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 13.39 | — | 3.40 | 16.23% | 10.41% | 8.35% | 12.92% | 13.86% | 5.41% | 0.00 | 8.55 | 1.70 | 1.42 | -2.20 | -4291.00% | -1550.00% | 462.00% | 4.63% | 0.56 | 18.05% | 3.46% | 95.40% | 31.16% | 18.97 | 18.55 | 1.98 | 2.58 |
| AME | AMETEK, Inc. | $239.22 | 55.07B | -40% | -53% | -88% | -61% | 37.59 | 5.24 | 7.52 | 30.58 | 474.33 | -43.12 | 36.38% | 26.15% | 20.00% | 14.59% | 13.24% | 9.64% | 0.21 | 23.82 | 1.06 | 0.55 | 0.97 | 793.00% | 663.00% | -178.00% | 3.00% | 0.63 | 13.89% | 0.51% | 19.30% | 1.52% | 29.69 | 34.38 | 7.77 | 7.01 |
| CARR | Carrier Global Corporatio… | $64.40 | 53.83B | -27% | -57% | — | -86% | 35.88 | 3.88 | 2.46 | 23.23 | — | -6.68 | 25.91% | 9.89% | 6.87% | 10.71% | 7.47% | 4.00% | 0.92 | 6.23 | 1.20 | 0.59 | 3.99 | -7236.00% | -329.00% | 375682.00% | 3.17% | 0.29 | 7.11% | 1.44% | 51.70% | 6.84% | 30.09 | 38.12 | 2.97 | 2.67 |
| CMI | Cummins Inc. | $583.87 | 80.67B | -31% | -60% | -89% | -75% | 28.15 | 6.48 | 2.38 | 15.70 | — | 10.06 | 25.29% | 11.87% | 8.44% | 25.14% | 18.37% | 8.68% | 0.66 | 12.14 | 1.76 | 0.98 | 0.98 | -2774.00% | -127.00% | 75520.00% | 2.98% | 0.38 | 14.70% | 1.32% | 37.10% | 2.14% | 21.16 | 35.43 | 2.51 | 4.90 |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway… | $112.19 | 68.68B | -27% | -49% | -88% | -54% | 20.86 | 4.57 | 5.69 | 13.16 | 265.89 | 4.68 | 44.87% | 38.07% | 27.28% | 22.14% | 11.66% | 8.16% | 1.01 | 7.21 | 0.67 | 0.40 | 2.36 | 785.00% | 143.00% | 756.00% | 3.44% | 1.91 | 7.97% | 2.24% | 46.80% | 4.40% | 18.21 | 35.37 | 6.93 | 2.69 |
| FERG | Ferguson plc | $260.76 | 50.99B | -38% | -65% | -90% | -58% | 24.71 | 7.86 | 1.49 | 16.72 | 266.77 | 17.36 | 30.67% | 8.47% | 6.03% | 32.42% | 18.41% | 10.82% | 1.02 | 13.72 | 1.68 | 0.77 | 1.73 | 926.00% | 380.00% | 680.00% | 3.50% | 0.32 | 14.78% | 1.07% | 26.30% | 3.13% | 19.63 | 31.91 | 1.66 | 5.35 |
| GWW | W.W. Grainger, Inc. | $1,144.73 | 54.43B | -32% | -57% | -90% | -61% | 30.53 | 13.33 | 3.08 | 20.89 | — | 15.70 | 39.06% | 15.00% | 9.51% | 48.22% | 32.76% | 20.32% | 0.76 | 33.22 | 2.83 | 1.50 | 0.93 | -855.00% | 451.00% | -1522.00% | 2.41% | 1.04 | 21.78% | 0.85% | 25.80% | 2.74% | 21.47 | 43.40 | 3.22 | 10.34 |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies, In… | $364.54 | 68.19B | -25% | -58% | — | -75% | 44.16 | 3.61 | 3.24 | 21.40 | 526.62 | -10.30 | 25.73% | 10.04% | 7.35% | 8.20% | 5.99% | 3.86% | 0.53 | 3.68 | 1.19 | 0.84 | 2.50 | 839.00% | 253.00% | 2469.00% | 3.78% | 0.43 | 8.81% | 1.27% | 56.20% | 7.12% | 36.58 | 29.94 | 3.67 | 2.86 |
| ROP | Roper Technologies, Inc. | $349.73 | 37.64B | +23% | -52% | -98% | -19% | 24.70 | 1.91 | 4.80 | 14.98 | — | -3.38 | 69.24% | 28.29% | 19.44% | 7.93% | 6.42% | 4.66% | 0.47 | 6.88 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 2.87 | -105.00% | 1226.00% | 712.00% | 6.57% | 0.68 | 9.03% | 0.94% | 23.10% | 2.25% | 21.00 | 18.83 | 5.94 | 2.63 |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | $54.78 | 6.08B | +428% | +1,670% | -99% | — | -459.82 | 29.31 | 2.89 | -110.37 | -459.82 | 78.83 | 18.81% | -5.12% | -0.75% | -6.74% | 15.08% | -0.71% | 0.25 | — | 1.08 | 0.93 | 24.78 | 10000.00% | 2565.00% | -86906.00% | 12.14% | 0.50 | -105.19% | 0.02% | -8.30% | 7.14% | -46.07 | 6.72 | 2.36 | 2.10 |
| URI | United Rentals, Inc. | $840.00 | 53.45B | -26% | -52% | -86% | -40% | 21.19 | 5.89 | 3.28 | 9.62 | — | 38.52 | 35.44% | 24.68% | 15.49% | 28.36% | 12.39% | 8.60% | 1.84 | 5.55 | 0.94 | 0.78 | 2.24 | -21.00% | 491.00% | 5800.00% | 1.25% | 1.36 | 2.76% | 0.88% | 18.60% | 4.60% | 17.33 | 104.02 | 4.28 | 3.23 |
About PACCAR Inc
PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, Europe, Mexico, South America, Australia, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. The Truck segment designs, manufactures, and distributes trucks for the over-the-road and off-highway hauling of commercial and consumer goods. It sells its trucks through a network of independent dealers under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates. The Parts segment distributes aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles. The Financial Services segment conducts full-service leasing operations under the PacLease trade name, as well as provides finance and leasing products and services to customers and dealers. This segment also offers equipment financing and administrative support services for its franchisees; retail loan and leasing services for small, medium, and large commercial trucking companies, as well as independent owners/operators and other businesses; and truck inventory financing services to independent dealers. In addition, this segment offers loans and leases directly to customers for the acquisition of trucks and related equipment. The company also manufactures and markets industrial winches under the Braden, Carco, and Gearmatic nameplates. PACCAR Inc was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.
- CEO
- R. Preston Feight
- Employees
- 30.1K
- Beta
- 1.04
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($62.98 ÷ $116.08) − 1 = -45.74% (DCF, example).