US · FLY
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
- Headquarters
- Cedar Park, TX 78613
- Website
- fireflyspace.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$33.80
Market cap 3.07B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | — | — |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | — | — |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2024 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Firefly Aerospace Inc.'s (FLY) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- —
- Current price
- $33.80
- AI upside
- —
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
—
— upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| FLY | Firefly Aerospace Inc. | $33.80 | 3.07B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -18.69% | -344.54% | -380.20% | 36.34% | 35.26% | -63.45% | -0.22 | -10.28 | 1.01 | 0.69 | -0.23 | 7009.00% | 1006.00% | 1152.00% | — | -0.88 | 32.04% | — | 0.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| AIR | AAR Corp. | $117.17 | 4.64B | -52% | +29% | -82% | -92% | 213.00 | 2.20 | 0.96 | 21.32 | — | 5.77 | 18.98% | 6.66% | 0.45% | 1.04% | 3.42% | 0.45% | 0.86 | 2.46 | 2.72 | 1.07 | 5.61 | -7287.00% | 1991.00% | -8993.00% | 0.05% | 0.07 | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.46% | 19.51 | 2581.16 | 1.30 | 3.05 |
| EAF | GrafTech International Lt… | $6.95 | 179.45M | +264% | -58% | — | — | -8.54 | -7.23 | 3.72 | -597.60 | -12.81 | -7.23 | -3.11% | -15.29% | -43.61% | 129.88% | -10.59% | -19.51% | -4.22 | -0.74 | 3.78 | 1.65 | -201.66 | 6667.00% | -643.00% | 6196.00% | -6.42% | -0.64 | -16.56% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | -36.77 | -23.52 | 5.62 | 0.15 |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | $62.67 | 3.27B | +45% | -33% | -72% | -47% | 14.96 | 2.01 | 1.36 | 7.37 | 35.28 | 4.43 | 26.00% | 12.54% | 8.91% | 13.95% | 18.51% | 6.66% | 0.31 | 17.01 | 1.83 | 1.72 | -0.98 | 4241.00% | -123.00% | 3193.00% | 8.03% | 0.38 | 22.17% | 2.23% | 33.30% | 6.59% | 9.49 | 10.88 | 1.19 | 2.97 |
| LUNR | Intuitive Machines, Inc. | $16.48 | 1.77B | +669% | +929% | — | — | -1.57 | -0.54 | 2.36 | -7.29 | — | -0.54 | 16.50% | -25.17% | -124.30% | 55.55% | 8.39% | -155.63% | -0.04 | — | 2.97 | 2.74 | 3.37 | -29536.00% | 18672.00% | -996.00% | -12.57% | -0.58 | 9.90% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 39.30% | -6.42 | -5.44 | 1.62 | -2.24 |
| MYRG | MYR Group Inc. | $269.96 | 4.19B | -53% | +38% | -73% | -54% | 36.19 | 6.49 | 1.17 | 19.45 | 11.62 | 9.07 | 11.59% | 4.56% | 3.24% | 18.78% | 18.39% | 7.36% | 0.16 | 29.45 | 1.33 | 0.96 | -0.21 | 31148.00% | 879.00% | 197744.00% | 5.42% | 0.41 | 34.90% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.62% | 25.43 | 18.25 | 1.16 | 5.80 |
| PL | Planet Labs PBC | $24.14 | 7.67B | +10% | -89% | — | — | -7.52 | 2.10 | 3.79 | -12.60 | — | 3.34 | 57.18% | -47.52% | -50.42% | -25.68% | -48.56% | -18.45% | 0.05 | — | 2.13 | 2.00 | 1.81 | -1600.00% | 1072.00% | -3699.00% | -6.34% | -0.10 | -24.53% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.76% | -6.19 | -12.25 | 2.94 | 0.31 |
| PLUG | Plug Power Inc. | $1.79 | 1.85B | +1,147% | -60% | — | +2,638% | -0.73 | 0.88 | 2.43 | -1.21 | -11.13 | 0.93 | -99.38% | -321.21% | -334.71% | -90.88% | -62.11% | -49.49% | 0.62 | -43.32 | 1.97 | 0.61 | -0.44 | 652.00% | -2945.00% | -4104.00% | -69.56% | -0.97 | -32.72% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.72% | -1.19 | -2.26 | 3.82 | -3.48 |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdin… | $39.50 | 4.64B | -66% | -66% | — | — | -1.82 | -1.48 | 0.62 | -5.89 | -0.84 | -1.14 | -21.73% | -28.28% | -33.88% | 137.06% | -70.33% | -31.20% | -2.05 | -5.05 | 1.05 | 0.48 | -3.26 | 21592.00% | 444.00% | 24066.00% | -32.76% | -0.31 | -50.20% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -4.89 | -6.85 | 1.38 | 0.03 |
| TPC | Tutor Perini Corporation | $75.37 | 3.98B | +9% | +2,812% | -42% | +135% | 14.58 | 3.18 | 0.70 | 10.21 | — | 4.08 | 11.68% | 4.18% | 4.80% | 22.60% | 27.09% | 5.66% | 0.01 | 4.22 | 1.27 | 0.60 | -2.33 | -14824.00% | 2811.00% | 6048.00% | 19.30% | 0.23 | 87.37% | 0.08% | 1.20% | 20.69% | 13.61 | 4.22 | 0.57 | 2.04 |
| VSEC | VSE Corporation | $227.07 | 4.69B | +36% | -61% | -78% | -88% | 88.07 | 3.27 | 4.24 | 4.22 | 364.88 | 9.39 | 0.00% | 96.48% | 4.81% | 4.41% | 58.04% | 2.84% | 0.04 | 52.20 | 3.76 | 1.10 | -0.02 | 2414.00% | 298.00% | -11103.00% | 0.12% | 0.11 | 0.40% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.07% | 4.37 | 822.06 | 4.22 | 7.75 |
About Firefly Aerospace Inc.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers. It offers integrated launch and space services technology that is committed to enabling launch, transit, and operations in space. The company also provides Alpha, a responsive small launch service; Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicle; Blue Ghost, a lunar delivery and operation service; Elytra, which offers space maneuverability and servicing; and Ocula, a lunar imaging service. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Cedar Park, Texas.
- CEO
- Jason Kim
- Employees
- 780
- Beta
- -4.68
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as (— ÷ $33.80) − 1 = — (DCF, example).