US · VSEC
VSE Corporation
- Sector
- Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
- Headquarters
- Miramar, VA 22310
- Website
- vsecorp.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$170.91
Market cap 4.69B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $308.41 | +80.45% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $88.78 | -48.05% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $50.17 | -70.64% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $27.72 | -83.78% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $10.43 | $22.11 | $0.00 | $12.14 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $10.52 | $21.29 | $0.00 | $14.67 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $21.80 | $27.74 | $0.00 | $17.06 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $36.71 | $37.06 | $0.00 | $16.79 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $29.99 | $39.96 | $0.00 | $11.30 | $76.51 |
| 2016 | $34.80 | $21.98 | $9.80 | $14.21 | $90.46 |
| 2017 | $47.60 | $30.63 | $461.38 | $22.86 | $63.16 |
| 2018 | $30.14 | $87.17 | $20.21 | $23.56 | $0.93 |
| 2019 | $26.08 | $25.11 | $16.33 | $19.70 | $53.33 |
| 2020 | $42.46 | $39.45 | $0.00 | $2.97 | $1.57 |
| 2021 | $42.26 | $186.00 | $0.00 | $11.31 | $13.29 |
| 2022 | $41.61 | $166.85 | $0.00 | $20.68 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $76.18 | $419.83 | $0.00 | $26.83 | $98.28 |
| 2024 | $116.00 | $54.04 | $11.43 | $30.40 | $55.68 |
| 2025 | $221.95 | $308.41 | $0.00 | $50.17 | $27.72 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates VSE Corporation's (VSEC) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $308.41
- Current price
- $170.91
- AI upside
- +80.45%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$88.78
-48.05% upside
Graham-Dodd
$50.17
-70.64% upside
Graham Formula
$27.72
-83.78% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| VSEC | VSE Corporation | $170.91 | 4.69B | +80% | -48% | -71% | -84% | 88.07 | 3.27 | 4.24 | 4.22 | 364.88 | 9.39 | 0.00% | 96.48% | 4.81% | 4.41% | 58.04% | 2.84% | 0.04 | 52.20 | 3.76 | 1.10 | -0.02 | 2414.00% | 298.00% | -11103.00% | 0.12% | 0.11 | 0.40% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.07% | 4.37 | 822.06 | 4.22 | 7.75 |
| AIR | AAR Corp. | $117.17 | 4.64B | -52% | +29% | -82% | -92% | 213.00 | 2.20 | 0.96 | 21.32 | — | 5.77 | 18.98% | 6.66% | 0.45% | 1.04% | 3.42% | 0.45% | 0.86 | 2.46 | 2.72 | 1.07 | 5.61 | -7287.00% | 1991.00% | -8993.00% | 0.05% | 0.07 | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.46% | 19.51 | 2581.16 | 1.30 | 3.05 |
| ATMU | Atmus Filtration Technolo… | $64.53 | 5.26B | -13% | -52% | -80% | -47% | 25.99 | 14.24 | 3.05 | 17.95 | 206.05 | 18.35 | 28.88% | 16.37% | 11.76% | 68.46% | 32.45% | 16.32% | 1.51 | 8.65 | 2.42 | 1.51 | 1.05 | 1261.00% | 567.00% | 16197.00% | 2.76% | 0.55 | 21.46% | 0.32% | 8.30% | 3.56% | 19.82 | 38.46 | 3.24 | 6.28 |
| EXPO | Exponent, Inc. | $72.78 | 3.63B | -21% | +76% | — | -65% | 35.43 | 9.62 | 6.45 | 22.98 | — | 9.84 | 24.97% | 20.58% | 18.21% | 26.13% | 34.84% | 13.64% | 0.21 | — | 2.40 | 2.27 | -0.88 | -190.00% | 421.00% | -1109.00% | 3.26% | 0.74 | 49.44% | 1.64% | 58.10% | 4.22% | 30.19 | 29.56 | 6.21 | 8.67 |
| FLY | Firefly Aerospace Inc. | $19.27 | 3.07B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -18.69% | -344.54% | -380.20% | 36.34% | 35.26% | -63.45% | -0.22 | -10.28 | 1.01 | 0.69 | -0.23 | 7009.00% | 1006.00% | 1152.00% | — | -0.88 | 32.04% | — | 0.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| HAYW | Hayward Holdings, Inc. | $16.00 | 3.47B | +140% | -58% | -60% | -36% | 22.84 | 2.17 | 3.08 | 10.52 | 88.08 | 6.26 | 48.00% | 20.79% | 13.51% | 10.05% | 11.23% | 4.94% | 0.01 | 4.64 | 2.94 | 2.10 | -1.08 | 2593.00% | 671.00% | 2022.00% | 6.52% | 0.79 | 13.24% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 31.79% | 13.18 | 13.62 | 2.74 | 2.55 |
| MYRG | MYR Group Inc. | $269.96 | 4.19B | -53% | +38% | -73% | -54% | 36.19 | 6.49 | 1.17 | 19.45 | 11.62 | 9.07 | 11.59% | 4.56% | 3.24% | 18.78% | 18.39% | 7.36% | 0.16 | 29.45 | 1.33 | 0.96 | -0.21 | 31148.00% | 879.00% | 197744.00% | 5.42% | 0.41 | 34.90% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.62% | 25.43 | 18.25 | 1.16 | 5.80 |
| PL | Planet Labs PBC | $24.14 | 7.67B | +10% | -89% | — | — | -7.52 | 2.10 | 3.79 | -12.60 | — | 3.34 | 57.18% | -47.52% | -50.42% | -25.68% | -48.56% | -18.45% | 0.05 | — | 2.13 | 2.00 | 1.81 | -1600.00% | 1072.00% | -3699.00% | -6.34% | -0.10 | -24.53% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.76% | -6.19 | -12.25 | 2.94 | 0.31 |
| SNDR | Schneider National, Inc. | $28.38 | 4.97B | -21% | -60% | -36% | -69% | — | 1.63 | 0.87 | 8.44 | — | 1.94 | 5.32% | 2.98% | 1.83% | 0.00% | 3.74% | 0.00% | 0.19 | 5.00 | 2.13 | 1.79 | 0.58 | -1061.00% | 725.00% | 13719.00% | 7.06% | 1.15 | 10.28% | 0.00% | — | 2.72% | 31.09 | 15.08 | 0.93 | 3.43 |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdin… | $39.50 | 4.64B | -66% | -66% | — | — | -1.82 | -1.48 | 0.62 | -5.89 | -0.84 | -1.14 | -21.73% | -28.28% | -33.88% | 137.06% | -70.33% | -31.20% | -2.05 | -5.05 | 1.05 | 0.48 | -3.26 | 21592.00% | 444.00% | 24066.00% | -32.76% | -0.31 | -50.20% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -4.89 | -6.85 | 1.38 | 0.03 |
| WSC | WillScot Holdings Corpora… | $21.61 | 3.93B | +42% | -59% | — | — | -74.93 | 4.64 | 1.74 | 13.56 | — | -6.35 | 46.79% | 21.43% | -2.32% | -5.65% | 9.38% | -0.89% | 4.84 | 2.20 | 0.86 | 0.67 | 6.91 | -29333.00% | -477.00% | 18117.00% | 18.58% | 1.25 | 14.80% | 1.29% | -96.50% | 3.80% | 16.57 | 10.98 | 3.55 | 0.94 |
About VSE Corporation
VSE Corporation operates as a diversified aftermarket products and services company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Aviation, Fleet, and Federal and Defense. The Aviation segment provides international parts supply and distribution, supply chain solutions, and component and engine accessory maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services. This segment serves commercial airlines, regional airlines, cargo transporters, MRO integrators and providers, aviation manufacturers, corporate and private aircraft owners, and fixed-base operators. The Fleet segment offers parts supply, inventory management, e-commerce fulfillment, logistics, and other services to assist aftermarket commercial and federal customers with their supply chain management. This segment also provides sale of vehicle parts and supply chain services to support client truck fleets, as well as sustainment solutions and managed inventory services to government and commercial truck fleets. The Federal and Defense segment offers aftermarket refurbishment and sustainment services to extend and maintain the life cycle of military vehicles, ships, and aircraft for the United States Department of Defense (DoD). This segment also provides foreign military sales services, engineering, logistics, maintenance, configuration management, prototyping, technology, and field support services to the DoD and other customers. In addition, this segment offers energy consulting services and IT solutions to various DoD, federal civilian agencies, and commercial clients. The company also provides vehicle and equipment maintenance and refurbishment, logistics, engineering support, energy services, and IT and health care IT solutions, as well as consulting services. VSE Corporation was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in Alexandria, Virginia.
- CEO
- John A. Cuomo
- Employees
- 1.4K
- Beta
- 1.34
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($88.78 ÷ $170.91) − 1 = -48.05% (DCF, example).