US · GFL
GFL Environmental Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Waste Management
- Headquarters
- Vaughan, ON L4K 0H9
- Website
- gflenv.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$38.50
Market cap 15.29B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $118.60 | +208.05% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $18.08 | -53.04% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $2.00 | -94.81% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2019 | $16.86 | $31.08 | $63.84 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $33.00 | $27.88 | $208.63 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $28.43 | $25.47 | $101.82 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $31.97 | $27.92 | $164.72 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $34.66 | $26.75 | $13.25 | $0.00 | $1.70 |
| 2024 | $46.80 | $30.71 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $45.21 | $165.72 | $0.00 | $2.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates GFL Environmental Inc.'s (GFL) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $118.60
- Current price
- $38.50
- AI upside
- +208.05%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$18.08
-53.04% upside
Graham-Dodd
$2.00
-94.81% upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| GFL | GFL Environmental Inc. | $38.50 | 15.29B | +330% | -53% | -95% | — | 112.80 | 59.22 | 65.37 | 246.62 | — | -320.58 | 20.67% | 6.04% | 57.95% | 53.69% | 2.30% | 18.93% | 1.09 | 0.67 | 0.58 | 0.44 | 4.40 | -57346.00% | -1585.00% | -4971.00% | 0.04% | 0.66 | 1.07% | 0.01% | 0.80% | 1.29% | 1101.12 | 2521.97 | 66.56 | 22.35 |
| APG | APi Group Corporation | $44.46 | 19.18B | +3% | -58% | -91% | -67% | 61.41 | 5.44 | 2.34 | 23.75 | 264.53 | -13.81 | 31.44% | 7.00% | 3.82% | 9.50% | 7.19% | 3.53% | 0.96 | 3.93 | 1.50 | 1.15 | 2.70 | 2321.00% | 1272.00% | 2369.00% | 3.58% | 0.35 | 11.76% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.27% | 37.76 | 31.55 | 2.64 | 3.25 |
| CLH | Clean Harbors, Inc. | $293.20 | 15.67B | -38% | -59% | -79% | -74% | 40.41 | 5.75 | 2.62 | 16.11 | — | 25.75 | 29.51% | 11.17% | 6.48% | 14.70% | 9.91% | 5.21% | 1.26 | 3.98 | 2.33 | 1.90 | 2.31 | -189.00% | 239.00% | 2786.00% | 2.80% | 0.76 | 8.78% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.58% | 27.17 | 41.41 | 3.03 | 3.77 |
| CRS | Carpenter Technology Corp… | $398.07 | 19.83B | -62% | -67% | -85% | -77% | 32.99 | 6.57 | 4.31 | 19.13 | 32.81 | 7.52 | 26.71% | 18.14% | 13.07% | 21.39% | 18.74% | 11.09% | 0.39 | 8.17 | 3.65 | 1.84 | 0.63 | 10054.00% | 425.00% | 6046.00% | 2.31% | 0.91 | 12.77% | 0.32% | 10.70% | 2.11% | 24.58 | 44.83 | 4.46 | 7.10 |
| KTOS | Kratos Defense & Security… | $86.18 | 14.68B | -25% | -41% | -90% | -96% | 710.30 | 7.83 | 11.60 | 146.87 | 3906.63 | 11.60 | 22.15% | 2.06% | 1.63% | 1.31% | 1.23% | 1.00% | 0.09 | 2.64 | 4.06 | 3.27 | -3.67 | 1818.00% | 1853.00% | 151647.00% | -0.88% | -0.14 | -9.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.14% | 550.38 | -110.96 | 11.32 | 20.59 |
| LUV | Southwest Airlines Co. | $49.26 | 25.48B | -26% | -50% | -88% | -83% | 59.11 | 3.27 | 0.93 | 12.89 | 1108.24 | 3.88 | 17.44% | 1.53% | 1.57% | 4.81% | 3.28% | 1.40% | 0.75 | 3.79 | 0.52 | 0.40 | 1.23 | 533.00% | 211.00% | -4864.00% | -3.19% | 0.17 | -8.14% | 1.53% | 90.50% | 11.31% | 67.33 | -34.68 | 1.03 | 2.33 |
| MTZ | MasTec, Inc. | $298.02 | 23.51B | -59% | +170% | -87% | -59% | — | 7.11 | 1.66 | 22.23 | — | 55.24 | 12.54% | 4.56% | 2.79% | 0.00% | 12.19% | 0.00% | 0.09 | 3.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 14612.00% | 1622.00% | -7063.00% | 1.20% | 0.17 | 6.52% | 0.00% | — | 8.18% | 36.78 | 84.01 | 1.68 | 3.42 |
| TRU | TransUnion | $78.55 | 15.25B | -1% | -60% | -99% | -49% | 33.43 | 3.43 | 3.33 | 13.53 | 55.71 | -3.88 | 59.09% | 18.74% | 9.95% | 10.52% | 7.19% | 4.12% | 1.15 | 3.64 | 1.75 | 1.52 | 2.95 | 6000.00% | 938.00% | 2804.00% | 4.35% | 0.86 | 7.59% | 0.59% | 19.90% | 4.66% | 22.70 | 29.43 | 4.26 | 2.49 |
| ULS | UL Solutions Inc. | $83.97 | 16.88B | -28% | -57% | -96% | -75% | 57.13 | 14.35 | 6.08 | 25.87 | — | 38.28 | 49.06% | 17.11% | 10.78% | 29.57% | 23.15% | 11.36% | 0.64 | 12.74 | 1.32 | 1.21 | 0.73 | -123.00% | 638.00% | 4042.00% | 2.17% | 0.79 | 23.90% | 0.56% | 32.00% | 1.10% | 36.57 | 47.40 | 6.26 | 8.58 |
| WWD | Woodward, Inc. | $386.76 | 23.2B | -54% | +15% | -87% | -71% | 40.85 | 7.04 | 5.06 | 27.12 | 208.05 | 13.83 | 26.81% | 14.33% | 12.39% | 18.64% | 15.07% | 9.83% | 0.28 | 11.19 | 2.08 | 1.28 | 0.58 | 1963.00% | 730.00% | -71.00% | 1.88% | 0.52 | 11.84% | 0.36% | 14.70% | 2.52% | 36.10 | 54.22 | 5.17 | 7.73 |
| ZTO | ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. | $24.38 | 19.45B | -21% | +4% | -88% | +39% | 13.04 | 1.87 | 2.62 | 7.38 | 1382.62 | 2.25 | 30.98% | 26.60% | 19.91% | 14.59% | 15.85% | 9.83% | 0.28 | 34.85 | 1.07 | 1.01 | 0.26 | 94.00% | 1526.00% | -1739.00% | 4.77% | 0.40 | 9.82% | 4.84% | 63.10% | 5.83% | 9.42 | 20.07 | 2.51 | 3.86 |
About GFL Environmental Inc.
GFL Environmental Inc. operates as a diversified environmental services company in Canada and the United States. The company offers non-hazardous solid waste management, infrastructure and soil remediation, and liquid waste management services. Its solid waste management business line includes the collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal of non-hazardous solid waste for municipal, residential, and commercial and industrial customers. The company's infrastructure and soil remediation business line provides remediation of contaminated soils, as well as complementary services, including civil, demolition, and excavation and shoring services. Its liquid waste management business collects, manages, transports, processes, and disposes of a range of industrial and commercial liquid wastes, as well as resells liquid waste products. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vaughan, Canada.
- CEO
- Patrick Dovigi
- Employees
- 15K
- Beta
- 0.56
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($18.08 ÷ $38.50) − 1 = -53.04% (DCF, example).