US · LUV
Southwest Airlines Co.
- Sector
- Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services
- Headquarters
- Dallas, TX 75235-1611
- Website
- southwest.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$38.76
Market cap 25.48B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $36.21 | -6.58% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $24.60 | -36.53% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $5.98 | -84.56% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $8.36 | -78.44% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $7.35 | $22.16 | $105.37 | $8.51 | $8.34 |
| 2012 | $10.65 | $17.25 | $145.66 | $10.36 | $9.50 |
| 2013 | $20.25 | $21.37 | $49.38 | $12.78 | $12.29 |
| 2014 | $39.36 | $32.46 | $8.85 | $13.68 | $21.67 |
| 2015 | $38.59 | $44.36 | $16.70 | $22.08 | $47.66 |
| 2016 | $50.13 | $47.66 | $14.99 | $24.50 | $39.37 |
| 2017 | $54.00 | $50.67 | $17.22 | $37.92 | $67.17 |
| 2018 | $47.34 | $41.01 | $16.18 | $28.32 | $50.61 |
| 2019 | $42.38 | $32.03 | $16.47 | $27.48 | $43.76 |
| 2020 | $56.78 | $31.40 | $1.00 | $0.00 | $265.93 |
| 2021 | $37.44 | $69.58 | $49.09 | $24.20 | $131.18 |
| 2022 | $30.65 | $73.46 | $1,338.71 | $20.93 | $51.56 |
| 2023 | $32.77 | $34.94 | $3,889.75 | $9.16 | $13.53 |
| 2024 | $28.58 | $28.45 | $907.70 | $8.79 | $10.34 |
| 2025 | $48.27 | $36.21 | $10.55 | $5.98 | $8.36 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Southwest Airlines Co.'s (LUV) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $36.21
- Current price
- $38.76
- AI upside
- -6.58%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$24.60
-36.53% upside
Graham-Dodd
$5.98
-84.56% upside
Graham Formula
$8.36
-78.44% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| LUV | Southwest Airlines Co. | $38.76 | 25.48B | -7% | -37% | -85% | -78% | 59.11 | 3.27 | 0.93 | 12.89 | 1108.24 | 3.88 | 17.44% | 1.53% | 1.57% | 4.81% | 3.28% | 1.40% | 0.75 | 3.79 | 0.52 | 0.40 | 1.23 | 533.00% | 211.00% | -4864.00% | -3.19% | 0.17 | -8.14% | 1.53% | 90.50% | 11.31% | 67.33 | -34.68 | 1.03 | 2.33 |
| CRS | Carpenter Technology Corp… | $398.07 | 19.83B | -62% | -67% | -85% | -77% | 32.99 | 6.57 | 4.31 | 19.13 | 32.81 | 7.52 | 26.71% | 18.14% | 13.07% | 21.39% | 18.74% | 11.09% | 0.39 | 8.17 | 3.65 | 1.84 | 0.63 | 10054.00% | 425.00% | 6046.00% | 2.31% | 0.91 | 12.77% | 0.32% | 10.70% | 2.11% | 24.58 | 44.83 | 4.46 | 7.10 |
| JBHT | J.B. Hunt Transport Servi… | $233.41 | 22.22B | -48% | -60% | -83% | -81% | 37.89 | 6.36 | 1.89 | 15.53 | 376.22 | 6.76 | 10.52% | 7.21% | 4.99% | 15.79% | 11.64% | 7.18% | 0.53 | 12.19 | 0.83 | 0.71 | 1.18 | 1007.00% | -73.00% | 5338.00% | 4.18% | 0.87 | 16.93% | 0.75% | 28.60% | 4.94% | 28.37 | 25.90 | 2.05 | 6.09 |
| JOBY | Joby Aviation, Inc. | $10.06 | 9.7B | +59,391% | +119% | — | — | -9.13 | 6.02 | 158.83 | -8.03 | -30.54 | 6.52 | -30.06% | -1346.92% | -1740.46% | -80.09% | -1970.51% | -62.02% | 0.04 | — | 24.09 | 23.58 | 0.20 | 2989.00% | 3918309.00% | 1823.00% | -6.64% | -8.49 | -1543.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.14% | -9.92 | -12.66 | 133.61 | 10.67 |
| LTM | LATAM Airlines Group S.A. | $56.16 | 16.18B | -2% | +99% | — | +66% | 10.48 | 11.37 | 1.07 | 6.48 | 18.63 | 70.96 | 29.16% | 16.37% | 10.23% | 141.14% | 32.17% | 8.88% | 6.01 | 3.24 | 0.60 | 0.51 | 1.81 | 5625.00% | 1116.00% | -1181.00% | 9.72% | 0.45 | 22.65% | 3.96% | 41.50% | 7.78% | 9.09 | 14.27 | 1.49 | 1.78 |
| MTZ | MasTec, Inc. | $298.02 | 23.51B | -59% | +170% | -87% | -59% | — | 7.11 | 1.66 | 22.23 | — | 55.24 | 12.54% | 4.56% | 2.79% | 0.00% | 12.19% | 0.00% | 0.09 | 3.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 14612.00% | 1622.00% | -7063.00% | 1.20% | 0.17 | 6.52% | 0.00% | — | 8.18% | 36.78 | 84.01 | 1.68 | 3.42 |
| TRU | TransUnion | $78.55 | 15.25B | -1% | -60% | -99% | -49% | 33.43 | 3.43 | 3.33 | 13.53 | 55.71 | -3.88 | 59.09% | 18.74% | 9.95% | 10.52% | 7.19% | 4.12% | 1.15 | 3.64 | 1.75 | 1.52 | 2.95 | 6000.00% | 938.00% | 2804.00% | 4.35% | 0.86 | 7.59% | 0.59% | 19.90% | 4.66% | 22.70 | 29.43 | 4.26 | 2.49 |
| ULS | UL Solutions Inc. | $83.97 | 16.88B | -28% | -57% | -96% | -75% | 57.13 | 14.35 | 6.08 | 25.87 | — | 38.28 | 49.06% | 17.11% | 10.78% | 29.57% | 23.15% | 11.36% | 0.64 | 12.74 | 1.32 | 1.21 | 0.73 | -123.00% | 638.00% | 4042.00% | 2.17% | 0.79 | 23.90% | 0.56% | 32.00% | 1.10% | 36.57 | 47.40 | 6.26 | 8.58 |
| WWD | Woodward, Inc. | $386.76 | 23.2B | -54% | +15% | -87% | -71% | 40.85 | 7.04 | 5.06 | 27.12 | 208.05 | 13.83 | 26.81% | 14.33% | 12.39% | 18.64% | 15.07% | 9.83% | 0.28 | 11.19 | 2.08 | 1.28 | 0.58 | 1963.00% | 730.00% | -71.00% | 1.88% | 0.52 | 11.84% | 0.36% | 14.70% | 2.52% | 36.10 | 54.22 | 5.17 | 7.73 |
| XPO | XPO Logistics, Inc. | $210.47 | 24.71B | -52% | -59% | -92% | -88% | 80.35 | 13.64 | 3.11 | 23.83 | — | 8463.75 | 12.00% | 8.94% | 3.87% | 18.26% | 8.99% | 3.97% | 2.53 | 3.33 | 1.05 | 0.86 | 3.51 | -1827.00% | 105.00% | 209333.00% | 1.30% | 0.63 | 5.61% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.49% | 40.85 | 90.52 | 3.65 | 3.86 |
| ZTO | ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. | $24.38 | 19.45B | -21% | +4% | -88% | +39% | 13.04 | 1.87 | 2.62 | 7.38 | 1382.62 | 2.25 | 30.98% | 26.60% | 19.91% | 14.59% | 15.85% | 9.83% | 0.28 | 34.85 | 1.07 | 1.01 | 0.26 | 94.00% | 1526.00% | -1739.00% | 4.77% | 0.40 | 9.82% | 4.84% | 63.10% | 5.83% | 9.42 | 20.07 | 2.51 | 3.86 |
About Southwest Airlines Co.
Southwest Airlines Co. operates as a passenger airline company that provide scheduled air transportation services in the United States and near-international markets. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated a total fleet of 728 Boeing 737 aircrafts; and served 121 destinations in 42 states, the District of Columbia, and the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, as well as 10 near-international countries, including Mexico, Jamaica, the Bahamas, Aruba, the Dominican Republic, Costa Rica, Belize, Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and Turks and Caicos. It also provides inflight entertainment and connectivity services on Wi-Fi enabled aircrafts; and Rapid Rewards loyalty program that enables program members to earn points for dollars spent on Southwest base fares. In addition, the company offers a suite of digital platforms to support customers' travel needs, including websites and apps; and SWABIZ, an online booking tool. Further, it provides ancillary services, such as Southwest's EarlyBird Check-In, upgraded boarding, and transportation of pets and unaccompanied minors. The company was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
- CEO
- Robert E. Jordan
- Employees
- 71.51K
- Beta
- 1.11
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($24.60 ÷ $38.76) − 1 = -36.53% (DCF, example).