US · GFR
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
- Sector
- Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
- Headquarters
- Calgary T2P 2V7
- Website
- greenfireres.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$6.50
Market cap 417.31M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $11.00 | +69.23% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $5.90 | -9.23% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $14.30 | +120% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $29.70 | +356.92% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | |||||
| 2020 | |||||
| 2021 | $9.92 | ||||
| 2022 | $10.31 | $5.35 | $15.60 | ||
| 2023 | $5.15 | $11.14 | $0.59 | $0.00 | $40.80 |
| 2024 | $5.21 | $15.37 | $5.90 | $14.30 | $29.70 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Greenfire Resources Ltd.'s (GFR) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $11.00
- Current price
- $6.50
- AI upside
- +69.23%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$5.90
-9.23% upside
Graham-Dodd
$14.30
+120% upside
Graham Formula
$29.70
+356.92% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| GFR | Greenfire Resources Ltd. | $6.50 | 417.31M | +136% | -9% | +120% | +357% | 4.28 | 0.63 | 0.66 | 3.70 | — | 0.63 | 32.64% | 28.74% | 15.35% | 16.01% | 21.98% | 9.99% | 0.41 | 4.68 | 0.43 | 0.34 | 1.27 | -16827.00% | 1701.00% | 757.00% | 10.99% | 0.43 | 5.53% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.87% | 3.48 | 13.84 | 1.00 | 2.48 |
| BRY | Berry Corporation | $3.26 | 253M | +394% | +261% | -64% | — | 13.80 | 0.36 | 0.34 | 2.87 | — | 0.36 | 56.74% | 36.31% | 2.46% | 2.59% | 16.68% | 1.24% | 0.60 | -7.29 | 0.80 | 0.49 | 1.76 | -4792.00% | -922.00% | -826.00% | 40.59% | 1.12 | 9.22% | 18.45% | 254.70% | 24.71% | 2.41 | 6.36 | 0.87 | 1.36 |
| FET | Forum Energy Technologies… | $58.03 | 690.75M | +56% | -59% | -88% | — | -74.05 | 2.46 | 0.90 | 15.44 | — | 5.39 | 27.67% | 2.42% | -1.22% | -3.16% | 1.63% | -1.23% | 0.47 | 1.04 | 2.17 | 0.86 | 1.91 | -9264.00% | -306.00% | -2339.00% | 9.00% | 0.34 | 13.70% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 22.54% | 42.69 | 12.68 | 1.03 | 2.45 |
| GEOS | Geospace Technologies Cor… | $9.17 | 118.18M | +289% | -36% | -36% | -23% | -19.42 | 1.50 | 1.70 | 166.97 | -37.34 | 1.59 | 29.69% | -10.18% | -8.78% | -7.48% | -11.39% | -6.37% | 0.01 | -66.77 | 3.62 | 2.24 | -25.91 | 5200.00% | -1829.00% | 13342.00% | -16.00% | -0.91 | -30.49% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.38% | -14.49 | -5.41 | 1.48 | 5.52 |
| GPRK | GeoPark Limited | $8.31 | 429.33M | +436% | +10% | -46% | — | 4.19 | 1.99 | 0.61 | 1.58 | — | 1.99 | 55.41% | 41.39% | 14.58% | 50.82% | 21.39% | 8.70% | 2.66 | 5.90 | 1.17 | 0.91 | 0.64 | -670.00% | -1266.00% | 17449.00% | 69.19% | 1.28 | 54.68% | 7.43% | 31.20% | 52.07% | 2.37 | 2.32 | 0.98 | 1.75 |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | $57.38 | 428.03M | +132% | -66% | +12% | +46% | 7.08 | 0.59 | 1.01 | 4.33 | — | 0.60 | 12.52% | 15.02% | 14.19% | 8.57% | 9.10% | 5.76% | 0.27 | 6.41 | 4.08 | 1.98 | 0.59 | -18601.00% | 1067.00% | 1732.00% | -13.56% | 0.34 | -8.26% | 2.77% | 19.60% | 6.93% | 7.75 | -8.54 | 1.16 | 2.40 |
| NGS | Natural Gas Services Grou… | $38.26 | 480.89M | +32% | -65% | -28% | +32% | 15.43 | 1.04 | 1.70 | 6.68 | 5.92 | 1.04 | 36.14% | 21.26% | 10.99% | 7.02% | 6.45% | 3.55% | 0.67 | 2.79 | 2.78 | 1.67 | 2.59 | 26053.00% | 2936.00% | -9530.00% | -2.40% | 3.77 | -1.56% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.02 | -67.87 | 2.77 | 1.72 |
| PNRG | PrimeEnergy Resources Cor… | $198.90 | 327.99M | +59% | +40% | +37% | +1,389% | 5.99 | 1.64 | 1.42 | 2.25 | 5.77 | 1.64 | 37.50% | 29.42% | 23.69% | 30.45% | 29.56% | 18.07% | 0.04 | 44.51 | 0.57 | 0.54 | 0.04 | 10381.00% | 8996.00% | -3010.00% | -1.00% | 2.33 | -1.84% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.04% | 4.91 | -101.43 | 1.44 | 4.10 |
| WTI | W&T Offshore, Inc. | $2.65 | 394.26M | +929% | -78% | — | — | -2.42 | -4.01 | 0.40 | 4.18 | — | -4.01 | 67.41% | -8.03% | -16.59% | 815.01% | -15.33% | -7.88% | -7.51 | -1.04 | 0.89 | 0.81 | 2.41 | -63636.00% | -139.00% | -27119.00% | -27.78% | 0.24 | -23.75% | 2.80% | -6.80% | 2.80% | -11.77 | -8.47 | 0.95 | -0.36 |
About Greenfire Resources Ltd.
Greenfire Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, exploration, and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta. The company operates the Tier-1 oil sands assets located in Western Canada. It utilizes steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) extraction technology, a thermal oil recovery process to recover bitumen. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
- CEO
- Adam R. Waterous
- Employees
- 193
- Beta
- 0.29
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($5.90 ÷ $6.50) − 1 = -9.23% (DCF, example).